NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	105		Excitement	11.1 [41]		MVP	Jumaine Jones (CHA): +5.5%
Charlotte Bobcats	107		Comeback	43.8 [44]		LVP	Ricky Davis (BOS): -38.9%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Scalabrine	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	3	83%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Reed	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	70%	0.05	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Ryan Gomes	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Orien Greene	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Raef LaFrentz	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	58%	0.05	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Dan Dickau	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.01	-0.08	-0.00	3	62%	0.04	2	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Paul Pierce	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.36,0.36,0.28,0.28,0.2,0.11,-0.12	0.11	-0.22	0.01	20	64%	0.01	3	-0.14	10	90%	0.10
Kendrick Perkins	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.15	-0.03	-0.12	0.00	1	0%	-0.15	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Al Jefferson	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	0.04	-0.20	0.00	9	55%	-0.16	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.30
Mark Blount	-0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.20	-0.04	-0.03	9	35%	-0.03	8	-0.18	2	50%	-0.01
Delonte West	-0.27	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.11,-0.24,-0.24,-0.17,-0.17,-0.27,-0.27	0.01	-0.28	0.01	6	64%	-0.13	2	-0.15	2	100%	0.01
Ricky Davis	-0.39	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.22,-0.22,-0.29,-0.29,-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.02	26	39%	-0.26	3	-0.13	2	50%	-0.01

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.02	0.00	7	61%	0.09	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Primoz Brezec	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	3	82%	0.10	4	-0.08	5	60%	-0.01
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.12,0.07,0.02	0.02	0.11	-0.06	0.02	16	62%	0.07	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.02
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	40%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Sean May	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	7	43%	0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Matt Carroll	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.08	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	0.02	-0.12	0.01	13	60%	0.04	4	-0.16	9	78%	0.00
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.04	-0.07	0.01	6	23%	-0.12	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.22,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.07	-0.08	0.00	12	43%	-0.08	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
Melvin Ely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,0.02,-0.2,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.08	-0.20	0.00	8	43%	-0.17	3	-0.10	12	67%	-0.17

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	29.5	1.7	31.4	16.4	27.8	1.8	42.4	1.5	21.5	173.9
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	1.8	17.8	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +26.3%

CHA +24.6%

BOS -5.4%

CHA +14.8%

BOS -10.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	CHA	NBA	BOS	CHA	NBA
this game	14.6	14.3	15.6	95.5	97.3	104.4
season	14.8	14.8		103.3	100.5
opponent	15.4	15.8		104.6	104.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
BOS	14.0	14.4	13.6	15.2	17.5	14.6
CHA	13.7	13.8	15.8	14.8	11.9	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dan Dickau	46	47	0.46	-0.96	1.43	0.05	14	-16	30	13.7	15.3	-1.62	14.7	14.0	0.68
Justin Reed	30	29	0.43	-0.93	1.36	0.23	7	-9	16	12.7	15.3	-2.62	14.0	14.4	-0.32
Mark Blount	59	62	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.07	-1	-1	0	14.0	15.4	-1.37	13.9	14.8	-0.92
Ryan Gomes	4	4	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.03	-2	0	-2	11.7	14.7	-3.00	18.0	14.1	3.87
Al Jefferson	41	36	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.13	-1	-1	0	15.5	14.1	1.32	15.4	13.7	1.66
Raef LaFrentz	47	51	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.09	-9	7	-16	15.0	14.4	0.56	14.4	14.2	0.22
Kendrick Perkins	52	50	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.55	12	-14	26	14.2	15.0	-0.84	15.0	13.7	1.30
Orien Greene	17	16	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.05	-9	7	-16	14.1	14.7	-0.61	11.9	14.7	-2.81
Paul Pierce	94	93	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.54	0	-2	2	14.5	15.4	-0.86	13.9	16.1	-2.11
Ricky Davis	98	99	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.39	-7	5	-12	15.3	9.4	5.86	14.3	13.6	0.71
Brian Scalabrine	19	19	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.46	-5	3	-8	15.9	14.4	1.58	12.7	14.6	-1.92
Delonte West	43	44	-0.82	0.32	-1.14	-0.56	-9	7	-16	16.0	13.8	2.16	14.5	14.1	0.34

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Emeka Okafor	80	80	0.86	-0.36	1.23	0.45	14	-12	26	14.1	14.8	-0.68	15.0	13.6	1.47
Gerald Wallace	85	86	0.83	-0.33	1.15	0.50	11	-9	20	13.9	15.6	-1.72	14.9	13.8	1.03
Brevin Knight	86	86	0.80	-0.30	1.11	0.45	12	-10	22	14.2	14.7	-0.56	14.7	14.4	0.28
Keith Bogans	59	60	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.41	8	-6	14	13.1	15.6	-2.49	14.8	14.4	0.36
Melvin Ely	61	62	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.55	1	1	0	14.5	14.0	0.42	14.9	14.3	0.54
Primoz Brezec	51	50	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	5	-8	13.8	14.7	-0.84	13.6	15.5	-1.83
Matt Carroll	21	22	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	-0.01	-6	8	-14	16.8	13.7	3.14	15.6	14.4	1.19
Sean May	29	27	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	-0.00	-8	10	-18	14.7	14.1	0.61	15.0	14.5	0.48
Raymond Felton	24	24	-0.30	0.80	-1.11	-0.01	-10	12	-22	14.7	14.2	0.56	14.4	14.7	-0.28
Jumaine Jones	54	53	-0.44	0.94	-1.38	-0.18	-9	11	-20	15.4	13.2	2.23	13.6	15.6	-2.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.39,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.57,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.3,0.2,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.13,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.22,0.42,0.46,0.61,0.45,0.66,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 98, CLE 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.51,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.39,0.44,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.45,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.24,0.23,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.07,0.15,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.11,0.21,0.09,0.28,0.54,0.45,0.55,0.78,0.83,1	90.4%
NYK 115, MIL 119	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.39,0.33,0.28,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.1,0.13,0.21,0.33,0.37,0.21,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.14,0.59,0.54,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.98,1	89.0%
SAC 104, HOU 109	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.34,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.48,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.29,0.34,0.4,0.32,0.38,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.19,0.17,0.24,0.1,0.1,0.28,0.55,0.73,0.54,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.73,1	88.5%