NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	98		Excitement	9.9 [79]		MVP	Drew Gooden (CLE): +30.5%
Cleveland Cavaliers	100		Comeback	14.2 [117]		LVP	LeBron James (CLE): -42.3%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Wallace	0.10	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.02	0.07	-0.00	15	55%	0.12	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Primoz Brezec	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	15	60%	0.10	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jason Hart	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kapono	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	9	61%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jahidi White	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bernard Robinson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Melvin Ely	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	5	54%	0.02	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.03
Emeka Okafor	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	9	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Sampson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kareem Rush	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	6	33%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.18,-0.15	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	9	60%	0.16	5	-0.31	7	100%	0.08
Keith Bogans	-0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.27,-0.27,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33	0.01	-0.30	0.04	16	50%	-0.11	1	-0.23	2	50%	-0.02

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.11,0.17,0.25,0.25,0.32,0.31	0.31	0.03	0.27	-0.01	13	61%	0.36	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.05,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	11	69%	0.21	2	-0.15	10	100%	0.10
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	4	44%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ira Newble	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	4	42%	-0.03	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.2	-0.20	-0.03	-0.15	0.02	5	64%	-0.07	3	-0.13	1	0%	-0.01
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35	-0.35	-0.09	-0.27	-0.01	15	27%	-0.35	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.05,-0.12,-0.16,-0.37,-0.43,-0.43,-0.52,-0.52,-0.42	-0.42	-0.12	-0.31	-0.01	24	53%	-0.15	8	-0.28	7	71%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.2	2.5	30.2	16.5	25.0	1.5	28.9	0.8	21.8	149.5
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	1.9	17.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA -37.5%

CLE +4.6%

CLE +47.2%

CLE +26.5%

CLE +9.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	CLE	NBA	CHA	CLE	NBA
this game	16.5	16.3	15.5	101.0	103.1	104.0
season	15.5	16.2		99.0	104.6
opponent	15.3	15.1		103.9	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CHA	18.7	16.4	14.4	17.4	14.8	16.5
CLE	15.6	14.2	16.9	18.6	16.7	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Sampson	23	26	0.28	-0.78	1.05	0.04	8	-10	18	16.0	16.6	-0.58	17.3	15.9	1.43
Kareem Rush	31	30	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.05	3	-5	8	16.9	16.3	0.57	16.6	16.2	0.44
Jason Kapono	30	30	0.03	-0.53	0.57	0.15	-4	2	-6	16.8	16.3	0.50	14.3	17.2	-2.94
Bernard Robinson	8	8	0.02	-0.52	0.55	0.02	0	-2	2	14.5	16.7	-2.16	15.1	16.4	-1.28
Melvin Ely	24	24	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.14	-4	2	-6	16.9	16.3	0.57	15.7	16.5	-0.73
Jason Hart	25	24	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.16	-5	3	-8	17.3	16.2	1.07	14.7	16.8	-2.11
Jahidi White	7	6	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	0	-2	14.7	16.6	-1.91	12.0	16.6	-4.58
Primoz Brezec	68	68	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.56	3	-5	8	16.4	16.7	-0.24	16.6	15.6	1.02
Brevin Knight	72	73	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.60	3	-5	8	16.2	17.3	-1.07	16.8	14.7	2.11
Gerald Wallace	67	67	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.59	2	-4	6	16.3	16.8	-0.50	17.2	14.3	2.94
Keith Bogans	58	59	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.42	-5	3	-8	16.6	16.4	0.17	16.3	16.3	0.02
Emeka Okafor	72	70	-0.78	0.28	-1.07	-0.52	-9	7	-16	16.7	15.8	0.92	16.2	16.6	-0.46

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Snow	57	56	0.98	-0.48	1.47	0.43	19	-17	36	15.8	17.0	-1.15	16.6	16.3	0.33
Drew Gooden	62	63	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.57	5	-3	8	16.4	16.1	0.29	16.5	16.5	-0.07
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	68	69	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.56	4	-2	6	16.7	15.3	1.46	16.9	15.6	1.28
LeBron James	90	91	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.41	7	-5	12	16.3	16.3	0.01	16.4	17.7	-1.26
Jeff McInnis	64	63	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.59	-10	12	-22	16.7	15.4	1.33	16.0	17.3	-1.25
Lucious Harris	23	23	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.10	7	-5	12	16.2	16.3	-0.16	18.1	16.0	2.16
Robert Traylor	29	28	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.12	0	2	-2	15.3	16.7	-1.46	15.6	16.9	-1.28
Sasha Pavlovic	21	21	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	-0.03	-7	9	-16	17.1	16.1	1.02	15.1	16.9	-1.77
Ira Newble	36	37	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	0.03	-10	12	-22	15.9	16.6	-0.70	17.0	16.2	0.79
Anderson Varejao	35	34	-0.28	0.78	-1.05	-0.13	-5	7	-12	16.1	16.4	-0.29	16.5	16.5	0.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.51,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.39,0.44,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.45,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.24,0.23,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.07,0.15,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.11,0.21,0.09,0.28,0.54,0.45,0.55,0.78,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 105, CHA 107	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.39,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.57,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.3,0.2,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.13,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.22,0.42,0.46,0.61,0.45,0.66,0.73,1	90.4%
PHX 117, UTA 120	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.59,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.35,0.41,0.33,0.16,0.1,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.18,0.19,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.46,0.55,0.64,0.69,0.58,1	90.4%
GSW 96, HOU 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.32,0.31,0.23,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.19,0.17,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.46,0.39,0.63,0.66,0.96,1	90.4%