NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	86		Excitement	8.7 [177]		MVP	Reggie Miller (IND): +27.8%
Indiana Pacers	90		Comeback	11.0 [159]		LVP	Anthony Johnson (IND): -23.2%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zoran Planinic	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	3	62%	0.01	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Nenad Krstic	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.00
Travis Best	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	6	55%	0.01	1	-0.05	8	87%	0.04
Jason Collins	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	5	36%	-0.07	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.02
Jason Kidd	-0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.06,-0.07,-0.13	0.01	-0.13	-0.00	19	60%	0.08	4	-0.20	10	70%	-0.01
Clifford Robinson	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16	-0.05	-0.12	-0.00	8	39%	-0.14	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.07
Vince Carter	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.23,-0.17	-0.04	-0.14	-0.00	20	50%	-0.08	3	-0.10	4	50%	-0.02

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.08	0.21	0.01	16	59%	0.28	0	0.00	5	100%	0.04
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.18,0.23	0.23	0.10	0.14	0.00	7	87%	0.30	1	-0.07	2	100%	0.05
Eddie Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.11	-0.02	0.01	3	137%	0.13	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.01,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.00	-0.12	-0.00	15	43%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.05	-0.02	19	39%	-0.10	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.10	-0.08	-0.00	1	50%	-0.02	4	-0.16	4	75%	-0.00
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19	-0.19	-0.11	-0.09	-0.01	5	8%	-0.17	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23	-0.23	-0.15	-0.10	-0.02	10	29%	-0.18	3	-0.05	4	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.5	27.5	16.0	28.2	2.5	36.5	139.3
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +14.5%

IND +9.6%

IND +9.5%

IND +19.4%

NJN -2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	IND	NBA	NJN	IND	NBA
this game	14.3	17.9	15.5	95.6	101.1	104.0
season	16.0	16.8		99.2	101.9
opponent	15.5	15.6		101.6	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	12.7	15.3	16.0	13.5	14.3
IND	16.8	20.6	17.5	17.3	17.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Scalabrine	70	68	0.39	-0.89	1.28	0.12	9	-13	22	14.9	12.1	2.71	18.8	15.2	3.54
Zoran Planinic	5	4	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.01	0	-4	4	15.6	14.2	1.42	19.7	17.9	1.89
Nenad Krstic	49	49	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.18	-3	-1	-2	14.3	14.2	0.07	17.3	18.7	-1.46
Jason Collins	68	69	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.26	-1	-3	2	15.2	11.2	4.07	18.0	17.8	0.12
Travis Best	54	53	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.30	-2	-2	0	13.4	15.6	-2.17	18.3	17.4	0.89
Jason Kidd	80	78	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.30	-4	0	-4	14.1	15.4	-1.29	17.8	18.6	-0.79
Vince Carter	70	72	-0.77	0.27	-1.05	-0.48	-10	6	-16	14.3	14.2	0.01	17.3	20.8	-3.56
Clifford Robinson	54	52	-0.78	0.28	-1.07	-0.52	-9	5	-14	13.1	15.9	-2.77	18.0	17.8	0.18

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Jackson	66	67	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.38	15	-11	26	17.4	19.5	-2.07	14.9	12.4	2.50
James Jones	49	49	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.63	2	2	0	17.4	18.5	-1.10	12.7	16.2	-3.52
Anthony Johnson	70	69	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.36	7	-3	10	17.6	19.4	-1.81	14.2	14.4	-0.23
Dale Davis	57	56	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.41	3	1	2	17.5	18.7	-1.21	14.6	13.6	0.98
Reggie Miller	71	72	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.25	8	-4	12	17.5	19.6	-2.09	14.5	13.4	1.01
Jeff Foster	32	34	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	3	-2	18.7	17.5	1.21	13.6	14.6	-0.98
Scot Pollard	10	11	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	6	-8	16.2	18.2	-1.96	15.4	14.1	1.26
Eddie Gill	19	21	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	7	-10	19.4	17.6	1.81	14.4	14.2	0.23
Fred Jones	30	31	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.04	-5	9	-14	19.1	17.3	1.79	13.5	14.7	-1.18
Austin Croshere	48	47	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	-0.17	-2	6	-8	19.2	16.4	2.79	14.7	13.8	0.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.26,0.32,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.25,0.21,0.16,0.2,0.21,0.28,0.28,0.38,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.44,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.76,0.58,0.69,0.58,0.39,0.39,0.21,0.43,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 87, IND 89	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.36,0.3,0.25,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.28,0.3,0.39,0.32,0.25,0.34,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.41,0.35,0.46,0.31,0.37,0.33,0.82,1	90.6%
BOS 88, ATL 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.18,0.26,0.28,0.31,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.37,0.46,0.48,0.67,0.71,0.81,0.7,0.59,0.4,0.62,0.45,0.78,0.74,1	90.5%
BOS 93, PHI 99	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.28,0.32,0.25,0.29,0.17,0.18,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.48,0.41,0.45,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.47,0.3,0.4,0.32,0.29,0.57,0.96,1	90.1%