NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	88		Excitement	8.4 [171]		MVP	Dion Glover (ATL): +22.4%
Atlanta Hawks	93		Comeback	6.4 [363]		LVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): -41.1%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Walter McCarty	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.10	0.12	0.00	8	89%	0.30	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Jumaine Jones	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	7	57%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mihm	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	62%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Mike James	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.01	0.04	14	46%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Banks	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	8	44%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.03
Vin Baker	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	-0.03	11	24%	-0.09	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.08
Jiri Welsch	-0.17	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.06,-0.17,-0.17	-0.04	-0.12	0.00	7	53%	-0.02	2	-0.14	5	80%	0.02
Paul Pierce	-0.41	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.29,-0.29,-0.41	-0.20	-0.22	-0.01	16	38%	-0.15	6	-0.26	7	100%	0.07

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dion Glover	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.08	0.14	0.00	8	90%	0.29	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.06,0.06,0.11	0.11	-0.06	0.14	-0.02	15	60%	0.29	5	-0.18	12	75%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.04	-0.01	14	53%	0.11	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Lee Nailon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.03	-0.01	8	50%	0.07	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	5	50%	0.00	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.02
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	6	43%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.23,-0.23,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.10	-0.12	-0.00	18	34%	-0.18	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.08	-0.15	0.00	0	0%	0.00	4	-0.23	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	2.3	29.5	17.3	25.4	2.3	37.5	138.0
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +42.8%

BOS -18.8%

ATL +38.0%

BOS -11.6%

BOS -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	ATL	NBA	BOS	ATL	NBA
this game	14.2	15.3	15.7	90.7	94.9	100.5
season	14.4	15.3		99.5	98.2
opponent	15.5	15.9		103.0	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	12.9	13.5	14.5	16.2	14.2
ATL	15.4	19.2	12.7	14.5	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Banks	19	18	0.27	-0.77	1.04	0.07	7	-12	19	12.8	14.6	-1.81	17.8	14.7	3.12
Chris Mihm	22	21	0.26	-0.76	1.02	-0.06	11	-16	27	11.5	15.1	-3.55	15.2	15.3	-0.06
Jumaine Jones	8	8	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.07	-2	-3	1	18.0	13.9	4.09	22.5	14.6	7.86
Ricky Davis	37	37	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.08	0	-5	5	12.4	15.4	-3.07	14.1	16.0	-1.98
Walter McCarty	65	63	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.34	4	-9	13	13.5	15.8	-2.38	15.6	14.8	0.80
Mark Blount	42	44	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.01	-9	4	-13	16.4	12.6	3.76	16.7	14.1	2.62
Jiri Welsch	78	80	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.33	-2	-3	1	13.9	15.7	-1.85	15.1	16.2	-1.15
Paul Pierce	84	85	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.47	-5	0	-5	14.2	14.4	-0.16	14.3	21.7	-7.39
Vin Baker	61	62	-0.67	0.17	-0.85	-0.29	-13	8	-21	14.7	13.4	1.28	14.6	16.5	-1.88
Mike James	69	72	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.31	-16	11	-27	15.6	11.0	4.57	15.3	15.1	0.23

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Jackson	79	79	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.36	12	-7	19	15.2	15.6	-0.43	14.9	11.4	3.44
Boris Diaw	47	46	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.40	-2	7	-9	15.0	15.6	-0.63	12.9	15.4	-2.50
Jacque Vaughn	31	32	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.10	8	-3	11	16.7	14.6	2.08	14.6	14.1	0.52
Dion Glover	70	68	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.34	-1	6	-7	14.3	17.7	-3.45	13.9	15.0	-1.02
Jason Terry	75	73	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.16	3	2	1	15.1	15.9	-0.82	14.4	13.7	0.77
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	75	75	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.28	-2	7	-9	14.9	16.6	-1.73	14.2	14.4	-0.15
Lee Nailon	25	25	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.09	4	1	3	16.1	15.0	1.12	13.4	14.5	-1.09
Nazr Mohammed	37	36	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.08	0	5	-5	17.1	14.2	2.93	13.7	14.5	-0.79
Theo Ratliff	51	51	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.04	3	2	1	15.4	15.2	0.14	15.2	13.2	1.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.18,0.26,0.28,0.31,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.37,0.46,0.48,0.67,0.71,0.81,0.7,0.59,0.4,0.62,0.45,0.78,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 73, NYK 77	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.27,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.33,0.42,0.4,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.79,0.65,0.78,0.61,0.54,0.83,0.9,1	91.3%
MIN 93, POR 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.33,0.27,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.27,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.66,0.66,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.59,0.53,0.69,0.79,0.67,0.73,1	90.6%
NJN 86, IND 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.26,0.32,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.25,0.21,0.16,0.2,0.21,0.28,0.28,0.38,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.44,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.76,0.58,0.69,0.58,0.39,0.39,0.21,0.43,0.85,1	90.5%