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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Memphis Grizzlies 93 Excitement6.9 [465] MVPBonzi Wells (MEM): +11.0%
Milwaukee Bucks 82 Comeback1.6 [423] LVPJoe Smith (MIL): -38.1%


Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bonzi Wells0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.020.09-0.00959%0.131-0.024100%0.03
Earl Watson0.070,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.070.010.070.00667%0.102-0.0300%0.00
Antonio Burks0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.010.00560%0.0400.0000%0.00
Mike Miller-0.000,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,00.05-0.030.031064%0.021-0.032100%0.00
Pau Gasol-0.010,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,00.00-0.000.001267%0.134-0.136100%0.03
Stromile Swift-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.02-0.00350%-0.021-0.02475%0.00
Shane Battier-0.120,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.08-0.04-0.011453%0.075-0.18683%-0.00
Lorenzen Wright-0.130,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.07-0.040.01731%-0.091-0.04250%-0.02
Brian Cardinal-0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.09-0.07-0.00629%-0.072-0.092100%0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Zaza Pachulia0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.002100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Erick Strickland0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.010.001100%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Desmond Mason0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.050.03-0.011556%0.053-0.061362%-0.02
Anthony Goldwire0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.02-0.00325%-0.0600.002100%0.01
Dan Gadzuric0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.09-0.01-0.03932%-0.0800.00786%0.02
Michael Redd0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.07-0.08-0.021350%-0.063-0.07887%0.02
Toni Kukoc0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.07-0.07-0.00844%-0.043-0.102100%0.01
Mo Williams0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.2,-0.21-0.21-0.12-0.13-0.031042%-0.094-0.12475%-0.01
Joe Smith0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.3,-0.26,-0.26,-0.21,-0.21,-0.25,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.37,-0.37,-0.38-0.38-0.23-0.16-0.011025%-0.224-0.16837%-0.10
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.82.034.015.428.32.535.2141.3
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MEM +63.0%
MIL -2.9%
MIL -7.7%
MIL -3.7%
MEM +1.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMEMMILNBAMEMMILNBA
this game15.715.315.5100.088.2104.0
season16.416.0103.7104.4
opponent15.015.5107.4101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MEM16.913.616.815.815.7
MIL14.414.617.514.915.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Pau Gasol66670.73-0.230.950.2018-72515.316.6-1.2214.916.4-1.53
Shane Battier78800.62-0.120.740.0619-82715.317.8-2.5215.215.8-0.57
Earl Watson60610.61-0.110.730.2014-31715.116.7-1.5214.317.1-2.72
Mike Miller67670.58-0.080.660.28101915.316.7-1.3914.317.9-3.67
Bonzi Wells55530.330.170.160.1956-116.414.61.8316.114.21.85
Lorenzen Wright30300.050.45-0.410.08-112-1317.215.02.1815.215.3-0.12
Brian Cardinal41410.040.46-0.42-0.0229-715.715.70.0317.413.63.77
Antonio Burks3938-0.140.64-0.79-0.06-314-1715.815.60.2316.314.61.71
Stromile Swift2928-0.310.81-1.13-0.05-920-2916.415.31.1015.115.3-0.20

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Zaza Pachulia24230.25-0.750.990.047-182514.815.4-0.6615.615.7-0.16
Erick Strickland23230.15-0.650.800.015-162113.515.9-2.3914.316.1-1.78
Anthony Goldwire23210.04-0.540.57-0.022-131516.414.91.4816.115.60.53
Dan Gadzuric4544-0.08-0.420.34-0.02-2-9715.714.90.7515.915.50.46
Toni Kukoc5557-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.15-7-4-315.714.70.9615.815.60.17
Mo Williams7072-0.540.04-0.57-0.16-132-1514.916.4-1.4815.616.1-0.53
Michael Redd8685-0.620.12-0.73-0.24-132-1515.216.9-1.7115.418.4-2.94
Joe Smith7173-0.660.16-0.81-0.19-165-2115.913.42.4516.313.62.66
Desmond Mason6867-0.690.19-0.88-0.16-187-2515.015.9-0.8815.715.7-0.06


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.31,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.48,0.59,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.46,0.34,0.43,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.4,0.19,0.1,0.03,0.02,0
GameSimilarity Score
HOU 83, DEN 740.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.48,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.11,0.16,0.03,0.01,093.9%
MEM 103, DEN 960.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.38,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.38,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.58,0.42,0.59,0.47,0.39,0.19,0.21,0.11,0.02,092.8%
SAC 102, MIL 890.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.29,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.4,0.32,0.05,0.01,0,092.2%