NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	113		Excitement	3.9 [1057]		MVP	Ricky Davis (BOS): +16.2%
New Orleans Hornets	100		Comeback	2.1 [297]		LVP	Jamaal Magloire (NOH): -14.0%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ricky Davis	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.13	0.03	-0.01	14	75%	0.19	2	-0.03	8	100%	0.03
Gary Payton	0.14	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.11	0.04	0.00	6	88%	0.14	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Delonte West	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	75%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	0.01	0.05	12	77%	0.07	3	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
Raef LaFrentz	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	56%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Justin Reed	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Mark Blount	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	4	30%	-0.00	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Marcus Banks	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.01	0.02	13	62%	0.04	4	-0.07	3	100%	0.00
Al Jefferson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	9	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bostjan Nachbar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.13	0.02	0.01	8	95%	0.18	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.02	-0.02	9	67%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maciej Lampe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Dickau	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.03	9	62%	0.01	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.00
Lee Nailon	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	12	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Casey Jacobsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01	3	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
J.R. Smith	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.07	-0.04	0.09	17	57%	-0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Jackson Vroman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.11	0.00	-0.03	8	12%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.16	-0.03	-0.04	12	43%	-0.02	6	-0.12	4	50%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.9	2.4	27.6	15.3	24.5	2.3	30.3	125.3
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +28.3%

BOS +15.5%

NOH -3.6%

BOS +11.4%

NOH -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	NOH	NBA	BOS	NOH	NBA
this game	14.5	16.1	15.5	118.9	107.5	104.0
season	14.4	16.5		104.7	97.7
opponent	15.7	16.0		105.2	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.1	12.8	14.8	16.6	14.5
NOH	14.7	18.0	17.3	14.7	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antoine Walker	66	64	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.23	23	-10	33	14.0	15.7	-1.61	17.2	13.7	3.58
Paul Pierce	70	69	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.06	17	-4	21	14.3	15.3	-1.01	16.8	14.2	2.52
Tony Allen	57	58	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.08	9	4	5	14.9	14.0	0.85	15.6	17.0	-1.37
Gary Payton	61	59	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.07	14	-1	15	14.3	14.9	-0.63	16.7	15.2	1.48
Raef LaFrentz	56	55	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.06	11	2	9	14.5	14.6	-0.18	16.3	15.9	0.33
Ricky Davis	56	54	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.19	1	12	-11	14.0	15.3	-1.22	16.2	15.9	0.29
Mark Blount	34	34	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.18	1	12	-11	14.2	14.7	-0.52	16.6	15.9	0.69
Delonte West	23	23	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.02	4	9	-5	13.8	14.8	-1.00	17.0	15.8	1.17
Al Jefferson	27	27	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.20	-4	17	-21	15.0	14.4	0.65	13.9	17.0	-3.09
Marcus Banks	13	12	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.17	-5	18	-23	17.8	14.0	3.74	11.2	16.8	-5.59
Kendrick Perkins	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	18	-23	19.6	14.1	5.44	10.3	16.5	-6.18
Justin Reed	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	14	-15	17.8	14.4	3.44	12.2	16.3	-4.04

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maciej Lampe	8	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-18	23	10.6	16.6	-6.01	18.1	14.2	3.92
Speedy Claxton	30	29	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.00	-6	-7	1	15.1	16.6	-1.50	12.7	15.3	-2.61
Bostjan Nachbar	44	45	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.13	-2	-11	9	15.9	16.3	-0.48	13.7	15.3	-1.57
Casey Jacobsen	43	43	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.06	-6	-7	1	16.2	16.1	0.13	15.1	14.1	1.02
J.R. Smith	64	65	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.19	-3	-10	7	16.3	15.8	0.47	14.3	15.0	-0.68
Jackson Vroman	62	63	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.16	-4	-9	5	16.1	16.1	-0.02	14.0	15.6	-1.64
Lee Nailon	49	50	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.01	-11	-2	-9	16.3	15.9	0.48	15.3	13.7	1.57
Dan Dickau	49	53	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.01	-11	-2	-9	16.5	15.7	0.79	15.3	13.5	1.82
Jamaal Magloire	57	58	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.01	-11	-2	-9	16.3	15.8	0.56	15.2	13.6	1.59
P.J. Brown	59	61	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.08	-16	3	-19	16.7	15.2	1.48	14.0	15.4	-1.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.33,0.29,0.37,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.21,0.15,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 119, SAC 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.33,0.26,0.4,0.2,0.22,0.14,0.11,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0	96.0%
ORL 103, DET 85	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.3,0.24,0.2,0.18,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%
SAC 116, MEM 99	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.57,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.26,0.23,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.25,0.15,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%