inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 98 Excitement8.0 [276] MVPDwyane Wade (MIA): +20.7%
New York Knicks 96 Comeback14.7 [47] LVPShaquille O'Neal (MIA): -20.2%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dwyane Wade0.210,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.210.000.20-0.001563%0.494-0.28887%0.02
Damon Jones0.090,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.09,0.090.19-0.080.018112%0.131-0.0300%0.00
Keyon Dooling0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.020.05-0.00558%0.0700.002100%0.03
Eddie Jones0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.000.06-0.011155%0.132-0.0600%0.00
Shandon Anderson0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.000.020.00367%0.051-0.0300%0.00
Michael Doleac-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.00250%-0.001-0.0200%0.00
Christian Laettner-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.00250%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Udonis Haslem-0.060,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.010.00555%-0.003-0.0610%-0.02
Shaquille O'Neal-0.200,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.2,-0.14,-0.11,-0.2,-0.2-0.11-0.10-0.011552%0.034-0.231421%-0.23

New York Knicks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Stephon Marbury0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,0.19,0.26,0.19,0.19,0.190.190.080.11-0.001275%0.303-0.11887%0.02
Tim Thomas0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.060.02-0.001659%0.121-0.03250%-0.01
Malik Rose0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.030.030.04-0.000.00671%0.051-0.022100%0.01
Maurice Taylor0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.02-0.00560%0.051-0.0300%0.00
Trevor Ariza0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.020.02-0.01360%0.031-0.02450%-0.02
Jerome Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.00-0.000.001100%0.031-0.0300%0.00
Kurt Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.06,0.06,-0.09-0.090.01-0.11-0.011254%0.021-0.112100%0.01
Michael Sweetney0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.08-0.02-0.00533%-0.042-0.0520%-0.04
Anfernee Hardaway0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.07-0.03-0.00329%-0.032-0.0610%-0.01
Jamal Crawford0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.17-0.17-0.08-0.10-0.011135%-0.142-0.031100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.01.828.116.427.40.232.4132.3
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +65.8%
NYK -1.1%
MIA +8.9%
NYK -21.6%
NYK -2.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIANYKNBAMIANYKNBA
this game16.015.815.5108.9105.5104.0
season15.715.8107.9103.9
opponent15.315.5106.5101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA14.216.916.217.316.0
NYK15.218.214.515.515.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shaquille O'Neal71730.65-0.150.790.418-61415.517.9-2.4315.317.6-2.27
Eddie Jones78790.55-0.050.610.4920215.718.0-2.2715.716.7-1.01
Damon Jones61620.490.010.480.4902-215.417.4-2.0414.718.0-3.29
Dwyane Wade74750.420.080.330.45-13-415.817.1-1.2515.119.1-3.97
Keyon Dooling29300.390.110.280.274-2617.415.42.0417.415.02.45
Udonis Haslem61600.070.43-0.350.0702-215.616.9-1.2215.216.8-1.59
Christian Laettner29300.050.45-0.410.0502-216.915.61.2217.415.02.40
Shandon Anderson28280.030.47-0.44-0.063-1417.515.42.0818.014.83.24
Michael Doleac1918-0.150.65-0.790.03-68-1417.915.52.4317.615.32.27

New York Knicks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Anfernee Hardaway34340.12-0.620.74-0.118-101816.415.40.9917.215.31.84
Michael Sweetney41400.08-0.580.660.080-2215.316.2-0.9515.116.8-1.64
Malik Rose33350.04-0.540.57-0.177-91617.215.02.2816.215.90.32
Jerome Williams88-0.09-0.410.330.06-53-813.416.0-2.6517.615.91.75
Maurice Taylor2627-0.13-0.370.24-0.10-1-1018.214.83.3617.815.32.54
Trevor Ariza1918-0.32-0.18-0.13-0.351-3415.715.8-0.1418.615.43.15
Jamal Crawford7677-0.45-0.05-0.39-0.33-42-615.915.40.4715.618.4-2.75
Kurt Thomas7370-0.48-0.02-0.47-0.45-1-1015.118.8-3.7215.617.6-2.01
Tim Thomas7372-0.600.10-0.70-0.39-75-1215.616.6-0.9515.418.6-3.15
Stephon Marbury7269-0.680.18-0.85-0.44-86-1415.417.2-1.7915.916.4-0.52


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.37,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.44,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.67,0.63,0.72,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.82,0.87,0.82,0.83,0.77,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.7,0.66,0.4,0.68,0.55,0.16,0.58,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 84, PHI 790.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.77,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.84,0.9,0.81,0.75,0.81,0.85,0.82,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.71,0.67,0.55,0.45,0.32,0.27,091.0%
TOR 103, DET 1010.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.65,0.72,0.79,0.84,0.79,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.76,0.72,0.61,0.72,0.55,0.84,088.9%
BOS 101, UTA 990.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.34,0.32,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.35,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.66,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.8,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.75,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.68,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.46,0.31,0.42,088.8%