NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	91		Excitement	3.8 [1072]		MVP	John Salmons (PHI): +7.7%
Philadelphia 76ers	108		Comeback	1.7 [921]		LVP	Chucky Atkins (LAL): -14.5%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Slava Medvedenko	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.01	-0.05	12	50%	0.05	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Brian Grant	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tierre Brown	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	11	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	0%	-0.02
Luke Walton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	4	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	0.00	0.02	10	50%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.07	8	67%	-0.02	1	-0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Caron Butler	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	8	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Chris Mihm	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	8	30%	-0.05	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Kobe Bryant	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	15	54%	0.00	4	-0.11	7	71%	0.01
Chucky Atkins	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.13	-0.02	-0.01	6	7%	-0.12	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.02	5	100%	0.08	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.03	0.01	-0.08	22	61%	0.13	6	-0.06	15	93%	0.04
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	-0.03	5	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.05	-0.00	14	47%	0.02	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.05
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.02	0.04	7	83%	0.08	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.03	9	58%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	-0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.02	5	58%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Josh Davis	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	0.03	3	50%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Chris Webber	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.02	-0.03	8	28%	-0.09	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.4	26.2	14.0	32.0	2.0	27.0	126.9
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +38.1%

PHI +13.7%

LAL -0.7%

PHI +4.4%

LAL -5.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	PHI	NBA	LAL	PHI	NBA
this game	15.6	13.1	15.5	90.1	108.0	104.0
season	15.7	13.9		105.8	101.1
opponent	15.8	15.3		101.9	108.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	16.8	16.4	15.7	13.3	15.6
PHI	12.7	12.2	11.4	16.0	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sasha Vujacic	18	19	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.38	13	-30	43	12.9	16.1	-3.26	16.1	12.4	3.67
Luke Walton	25	26	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.37	12	-29	41	14.2	16.0	-1.81	14.9	12.4	2.49
Brian Cook	30	30	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.23	7	-24	31	12.6	16.8	-4.22	14.7	12.4	2.36
Jumaine Jones	49	49	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.13	0	-17	17	14.6	16.5	-1.97	14.2	12.0	2.12
Brian Grant	18	19	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.13	-9	-8	-1	14.2	15.9	-1.70	11.6	13.4	-1.79
Tierre Brown	40	40	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.38	-21	4	-25	16.5	15.0	1.55	12.2	13.6	-1.38
Chris Mihm	42	41	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.12	-12	-5	-7	16.8	14.7	2.09	12.0	13.8	-1.83
Chucky Atkins	43	41	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.00	-9	-8	-1	15.8	15.4	0.43	12.5	13.5	-0.96
Slava Medvedenko	57	56	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.14	-5	-12	7	16.0	15.0	1.04	13.8	12.2	1.64
Lamar Odom	55	53	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.11	-15	-2	-13	16.2	14.8	1.48	12.8	13.3	-0.49
Caron Butler	52	52	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.14	-17	0	-17	16.5	14.6	1.97	11.9	14.3	-2.37
Kobe Bryant	76	74	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	0.37	-29	12	-41	16.0	14.2	1.81	12.4	14.9	-2.49

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Samuel Dalembert	76	79	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.05	14	3	11	13.1	12.9	0.21	15.9	14.2	1.77
Allen Iverson	87	85	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.13	18	-1	19	12.8	15.2	-2.47	15.7	15.1	0.60
Andre Iguodala	60	63	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.07	15	2	13	13.2	12.9	0.22	15.8	15.2	0.57
Chris Webber	69	70	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.02	11	6	5	13.3	12.6	0.72	15.5	15.7	-0.16
Kyle Korver	70	72	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.11	7	10	-3	13.5	12.2	1.26	15.8	14.9	0.89
John Salmons	42	43	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.06	12	5	7	12.7	13.4	-0.71	15.8	15.4	0.35
Rodney Rogers	30	27	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.09	8	9	-1	12.3	13.4	-1.16	15.1	15.7	-0.57
Aaron McKie	41	40	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.16	-1	18	-19	13.4	12.8	0.57	14.3	16.4	-2.01
Marc Jackson	22	23	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.04	3	14	-11	12.9	13.1	-0.22	15.3	15.7	-0.39
Josh Davis	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	19	-21	16.0	13.0	3.01	12.7	15.7	-2.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.47,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.71,0.79,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 78, SAS 108	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
LAL 95, DAL 114	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.64,0.64,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
GSW 105, PHX 128	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.66,0.59,0.66,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.75,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%