NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	105		Excitement	4.7 [884]		MVP	Leandro Barbosa (PHX): +16.9%
Phoenix Suns	128		Comeback	1.6 [1234]		LVP	Monta Ellis (GSW): -15.1%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelenna Azubuike	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	9	64%	0.07	2	-0.02	7	100%	0.02
Mickael Pietrus	0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.04	9	65%	0.05	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.02
Mike Dunleavy	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.12	0.00	0.11	9	71%	0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	4	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Ike Diogu	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.00	0.03	5	64%	-0.01	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	-0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	7	41%	-0.01	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
Baron Davis	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	0.02	-0.02	17	46%	0.04	5	-0.09	3	0%	-0.04
Matt Barnes	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.17	-0.01	-0.05	8	12%	-0.06	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	-0.15	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.13	-0.05	-0.03	17	52%	0.04	9	-0.19	8	75%	-0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.17	0.02	0.02	17	72%	0.22	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.18	0.00	0.13	15	78%	0.07	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.09	-0.01	0.05	19	59%	0.04	1	-0.01	3	67%	0.01
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	10	45%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Banks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	55%	0.00	1	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	9	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	9	48%	0.03	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	0.01	-0.02	14	50%	0.06	6	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	2.4	28.1	15.5	23.2	2.5	27.6	127.4
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +39.4%

GSW -6.0%

GSW -3.7%

PHX +19.2%

PHX +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	PHX	NBA	GSW	PHX	NBA
this game	13.2	12.9	15.4	95.5	115.3	104.5
season	13.5	13.8		105.7	112.2
opponent	16.0	15.2		105.0	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	11.5	13.0	15.0	13.5	13.2
PHX	11.4	13.1	12.7	14.7	12.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adonal Foyle	5	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-21	19	17.8	12.9	4.86	11.2	13.0	-1.71
Troy Murphy	29	30	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.06	-6	-17	11	14.6	12.6	1.98	14.5	12.3	2.19
Ike Diogu	36	36	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.08	-2	-21	19	13.3	13.1	0.21	14.0	12.4	1.63
Mike Dunleavy	50	50	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.17	-11	-12	1	13.3	13.0	0.25	13.6	12.3	1.27
Matt Barnes	63	65	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.17	-12	-11	-1	12.2	14.4	-2.24	12.5	13.4	-0.87
Monta Ellis	85	87	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.13	-13	-10	-3	12.4	15.6	-3.20	12.7	13.5	-0.82
Andris Biedrins	70	71	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.06	-12	-11	-1	12.9	13.6	-0.72	12.3	14.0	-1.76
Mickael Pietrus	73	72	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.07	-17	-6	-11	13.0	13.5	-0.53	12.4	13.9	-1.54
Kelenna Azubuike	65	66	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.17	-21	-2	-19	14.3	11.6	2.72	13.7	11.8	1.93
Baron Davis	74	74	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	0.06	-19	-4	-15	13.2	13.1	0.16	12.3	14.1	-1.81

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raja Bell	82	83	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.27	25	-2	27	12.7	13.5	-0.83	13.3	12.7	0.61
Shawn Marion	86	85	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.26	23	0	23	12.6	13.8	-1.16	13.1	13.4	-0.36
Steve Nash	72	72	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.00	13	10	3	12.4	13.7	-1.30	13.0	13.5	-0.51
Leandro Barbosa	80	80	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.34	24	-1	25	12.7	13.4	-0.63	13.3	12.7	0.64
James Jones	60	58	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.22	19	4	15	12.9	12.9	-0.04	13.5	12.8	0.64
Boris Diaw	65	65	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.21	17	6	11	13.0	12.8	0.20	13.5	12.7	0.73
Amar'e Stoudemire	55	56	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.01	8	15	-7	12.4	13.4	-0.96	12.5	13.8	-1.32
Kurt Thomas	16	16	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	23	-23	11.5	13.1	-1.64	12.3	13.3	-1.00
Pat Burke	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	24	-25	17.3	12.6	4.69	13.4	13.2	0.25
Jalen Rose	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	27	-31	16.0	12.5	3.47	13.3	13.2	0.12
Jumaine Jones	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	28	-33	16.4	12.6	3.74	13.3	13.2	0.13
Marcus Banks	13	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	27	-31	16.0	12.5	3.51	13.4	13.1	0.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.66,0.59,0.66,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.75,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 92, POR 111	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.72,0.85,0.86,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
LAL 91, PHI 108	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.47,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.71,0.79,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
TOR 101, DAL 129	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.52,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.75,0.85,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%