NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	101		Excitement	3.8 [1025]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +14.4%
Dallas Mavericks	129		Comeback	1.5 [1036]		LVP	Jarrett Jack (TOR): -8.2%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrea Bargnani	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.13	-0.01	0.07	16	63%	0.06	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Chris Bosh	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.09	0.00	0.08	16	60%	0.07	3	-0.05	11	82%	0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.01	8	42%	0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	13	46%	0.03	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Patrick O'Bryant	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Banks	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	100%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Marco Belinelli	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	40%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	1	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Antoine Wright	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	9	25%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	0.05	8	56%	-0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.13	0.02	0.01	20	69%	0.19	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.15	0.01	0.02	11	82%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Singleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.01	0.03	5	100%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	1	150%	0.05	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Howard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	12	47%	0.02	0	0.00	10	60%	-0.03
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.12	-0.00	0.10	12	76%	0.04	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	4	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	2	125%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodrigue Beaubois	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	3	75%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.06	5	67%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	4	42%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.04
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	6	33%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.3	28.1	16.8	28.2	2.6	27.4	129.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +52.6%

TOR -14.7%

DAL +1.1%

DAL +8.4%

DAL +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	DAL	NBA	TOR	DAL	NBA
this game	15.2	14.6	15.3	104.1	134.4	106.0
season	15.0	15.2		109.6	107.2
opponent	15.5	15.5		104.6	111.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	15.6	15.6	15.5	14.0	15.2
DAL	14.4	13.8	13.3	17.3	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Banks	10	10	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.21	-7	-21	14	13.0	15.4	-2.45	19.0	14.1	4.86
Patrick O'Bryant	10	10	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.21	-7	-21	14	13.0	15.4	-2.45	19.0	14.1	4.86
Amir Johnson	43	43	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.15	-7	-21	14	14.5	15.7	-1.23	15.3	14.1	1.19
DeMar DeRozan	35	34	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.17	-10	-18	8	14.6	15.5	-0.93	15.9	14.0	1.91
Marco Belinelli	30	30	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.14	-9	-19	10	14.2	15.7	-1.49	15.8	14.1	1.68
Antoine Wright	38	37	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.04	-6	-22	16	15.3	15.1	0.24	13.3	15.5	-2.19
Jarrett Jack	51	50	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.12	-15	-13	-2	15.7	14.6	1.08	14.3	15.0	-0.76
Hedo Turkoglu	73	73	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.44	-27	-1	-26	15.5	14.3	1.15	14.8	14.2	0.56
Jose Calderon	72	72	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.02	-13	-15	2	15.1	15.5	-0.44	14.6	14.7	-0.03
Andrea Bargnani	68	67	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.23	-22	-6	-16	15.7	14.0	1.76	14.1	16.0	-1.89
Chris Bosh	65	64	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	0.17	-24	-4	-20	15.6	14.5	1.09	13.8	16.2	-2.41

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dirk Nowitzki	74	75	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.17	23	5	18	14.2	16.0	-1.76	15.5	14.3	1.19
Josh Howard	49	50	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.05	15	13	2	13.6	15.7	-2.07	15.9	14.5	1.41
Shawn Marion	59	61	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.05	10	18	-8	13.5	16.5	-3.04	15.8	14.2	1.59
Jason Terry	64	64	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.13	16	12	4	14.8	14.4	0.36	15.6	14.4	1.17
Jose Juan Barea	47	47	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.28	18	10	8	15.9	13.4	2.44	14.7	15.6	-0.92
Jason Kidd	54	56	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.07	6	22	-16	13.7	15.9	-2.15	15.3	15.1	0.21
Erick Dampier	40	39	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.01	7	21	-14	13.2	15.6	-2.39	15.2	15.2	0.02
James Singleton	35	36	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.36	18	10	8	15.7	14.0	1.73	14.5	15.6	-1.11
Quinton Ross	19	17	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.13	6	22	-16	17.6	13.9	3.72	15.1	15.2	-0.17
Kris Humphries	26	25	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.18	7	21	-14	17.0	13.8	3.23	14.2	15.5	-1.34
Matt Carroll	6	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.21	7	21	-14	16.2	14.5	1.62	12.0	15.4	-3.44
Rodrigue Beaubois	7	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.21	7	21	-14	18.0	14.4	3.62	12.1	15.5	-3.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.52,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.75,0.85,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 92, POR 111	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.72,0.85,0.86,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
DET 104, MIL 124	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.52,0.5,0.4,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
LAC 74, DET 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%