NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	95		Excitement	3.4 [1121]		MVP	Jordan Farmar (LAL): +10.4%
Dallas Mavericks	114		Comeback	1.6 [1148]		LVP	Luke Walton (LAL): -9.7%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Farmar	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.12	0.01	0.02	10	71%	0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Andrew Bynum	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.02	4	75%	0.06	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Brian Cook	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	7	56%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Smush Parker	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	6	42%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.10	-0.01	0.10	5	100%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	4	25%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	18	55%	0.09	6	-0.13	11	91%	0.01
Maurice Evans	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	10	30%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	5	27%	-0.01	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Luke Walton	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	9	40%	-0.04	4	-0.06	2	100%	-0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devean George	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.01	10	70%	0.07	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.15	-0.01	0.07	18	69%	0.10	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	7	69%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	0.00	4	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	7	61%	0.09	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Josh Howard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.00	0.04	23	58%	0.07	3	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DJ Mbenga	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Ager	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.13	-0.01	-0.07	13	43%	-0.02	6	-0.05	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.3	2.0	29.8	18.8	30.2	3.5	26.3	138.9
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +27.3%

LAL -3.7%

DAL +18.6%

DAL +7.7%

DAL +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	DAL	NBA	LAL	DAL	NBA
this game	13.7	17.1	15.4	101.1	122.6	104.5
season	15.3	16.3		106.3	108.7
opponent	15.2	14.9		102.3	107.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.1	14.7	13.6	12.3	13.7
DAL	16.6	16.6	15.2	20.4	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Cook	43	40	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.07	1	-20	21	14.3	13.2	1.15	17.2	17.1	0.10
Ronny Turiaf	27	28	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.06	-1	-18	17	11.3	14.7	-3.32	16.1	17.6	-1.45
Jordan Farmar	51	52	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.11	-2	-17	15	12.9	14.6	-1.66	18.0	16.0	1.91
Maurice Evans	54	54	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.09	-6	-13	7	12.7	15.1	-2.43	18.0	15.9	2.10
Sasha Vujacic	42	43	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.10	-6	-13	7	14.0	13.5	0.45	18.4	16.0	2.42
Vladimir Radmanovic	38	40	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.18	-16	-3	-13	14.4	13.2	1.12	17.6	16.8	0.80
Kobe Bryant	68	67	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.18	-17	-2	-15	13.5	14.3	-0.78	16.1	19.7	-3.57
Smush Parker	43	41	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.17	-17	-2	-15	14.6	12.9	1.66	16.0	18.0	-1.91
Luke Walton	61	58	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.04	-13	-6	-7	13.8	13.5	0.24	16.7	17.9	-1.18
Andrew Bynum	43	42	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.15	-18	-1	-17	15.3	12.4	2.86	17.0	17.2	-0.13

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dirk Nowitzki	69	70	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.18	20	-1	21	17.5	16.0	1.56	14.6	11.1	3.52
Erick Dampier	45	47	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.37	24	-5	29	15.4	18.7	-3.29	14.8	12.6	2.26
Jason Terry	64	66	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.11	15	4	11	16.8	17.8	-1.03	14.2	12.5	1.66
Greg Buckner	44	45	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.04	12	7	5	17.2	17.0	0.21	13.8	13.6	0.23
Jerry Stackhouse	30	30	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.07	13	6	7	16.7	17.3	-0.57	13.7	13.7	-0.00
Josh Howard	74	75	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.23	18	1	17	15.8	22.2	-6.33	13.8	13.4	0.35
Devean George	62	63	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.32	-1	20	-21	17.2	17.0	0.13	13.7	13.7	-0.06
Anthony Johnson	45	44	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.17	0	19	-19	18.6	15.7	2.91	11.9	15.3	-3.41
DJ Mbenga	3	3	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.01	4	15	-11	20.7	17.0	3.67	8.0	13.9	-5.89
Austin Croshere	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	17	-15	22.0	17.0	4.99	5.0	13.8	-8.80
Maurice Ager	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	17	-15	22.0	17.0	4.99	5.0	13.8	-8.80
DeSagana Diop	25	25	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.32	-14	33	-47	20.0	16.1	3.89	12.0	14.3	-2.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.64,0.64,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 71, LAL 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.71,0.8,0.72,0.69,0.78,0.78,0.83,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
LAL 91, PHI 108	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.47,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.71,0.79,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
DET 65, NYK 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.89,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%