NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	101		Excitement	6.8 [490]		MVP	Rashard Lewis (SEA): +42.1%
Indiana Pacers	93		Comeback	3.5 [232]		LVP	Jermaine O'Neal (IND): -24.6%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0.42	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.42	0.19	0.25	0.01	19	75%	0.44	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.05
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.03	0.18	-0.01	10	64%	0.29	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Jerome James	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.03	0.00	8	68%	0.10	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Antonio Daniels	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06	0.04	0.03	0.01	8	60%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Ray Allen	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.00	0.03	-0.02	14	55%	0.10	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.02
Nick Collison	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	73%	0.02	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.01
Ronald Murray	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Fortson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	3	0%	-0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.13	0.13	0.16	-0.01	0.02	19	70%	0.15	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.02	0.01	6	79%	0.09	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.02
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	5	59%	0.04	0	0.00	7	100%	0.04
Eddie Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.05	-0.01	5	30%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	5	58%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.05	-0.02	7	50%	0.05	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
David Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.16,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09,-0.14,-0.18,-0.24,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.16	-0.09	-0.01	13	45%	-0.10	4	-0.15	14	57%	-0.09

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.4	29.8	15.7	25.5	2.6	33.0	136.2
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +70.4%

IND -7.8%

SEA +1.9%

IND -13.5%

IND -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	IND	NBA	SEA	IND	NBA
this game	18.0	17.1	15.5	123.2	113.4	104.0
season	16.5	16.8		109.5	101.9
opponent	15.5	15.6		101.6	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	19.1	15.4	19.8	18.0	18.0
IND	16.9	17.4	18.1	16.2	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome James	38	37	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.26	12	-4	16	19.4	16.8	2.63	17.6	16.7	0.98
Rashard Lewis	67	67	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.18	14	-6	20	18.6	15.4	3.20	17.1	17.3	-0.19
Antonio Daniels	60	59	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.33	8	0	8	17.3	20.0	-2.65	17.7	15.7	2.03
Ray Allen	62	63	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.32	6	2	4	17.6	19.3	-1.77	16.7	18.5	-1.78
Vladimir Radmanovic	54	54	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.32	6	2	4	16.7	20.5	-3.78	16.9	17.6	-0.70
Danny Fortson	29	29	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.04	5	3	2	17.1	18.5	-1.46	15.6	17.9	-2.36
Reggie Evans	37	37	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.09	6	2	4	19.2	17.0	2.19	17.1	17.2	-0.10
Ronald Murray	3	3	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.04	0	8	-8	16.3	18.1	-1.74	15.7	17.2	-1.50
Luke Ridnour	36	37	-0.25	0.75	-1.01	-0.05	-7	15	-22	19.9	16.5	3.44	18.1	16.3	1.72
Nick Collison	24	24	-0.32	0.82	-1.13	-0.02	-10	18	-28	16.5	18.6	-2.08	17.2	17.1	0.20

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie Gill	30	29	0.18	-0.68	0.86	0.06	4	-12	16	18.0	16.6	1.35	17.1	18.5	-1.41
Fred Jones	45	43	0.06	-0.56	0.63	0.06	0	-8	8	16.5	17.9	-1.43	16.9	19.3	-2.42
James Jones	30	30	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.16	7	-15	22	18.0	16.6	1.46	16.6	18.8	-2.28
Scot Pollard	38	39	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.04	0	-8	8	17.3	17.0	0.33	19.6	16.6	3.06
David Harrison	17	17	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.01	-6	-2	-4	16.5	17.3	-0.73	15.8	18.6	-2.84
Jermaine O'Neal	44	44	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.33	-1	-7	6	16.2	18.1	-1.90	19.1	16.8	2.33
Reggie Miller	51	51	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.27	-4	-4	0	17.7	16.1	1.63	18.5	17.2	1.26
Austin Croshere	45	44	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.08	-15	7	-22	17.6	16.6	0.99	16.8	19.4	-2.67
Anthony Johnson	51	52	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.37	-10	2	-12	16.9	17.4	-0.50	18.8	16.6	2.28
Stephen Jackson	59	61	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.29	-15	7	-22	16.7	18.2	-1.48	18.6	16.4	2.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.27,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.3,0.37,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.39,0.42,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.48,0.58,0.69,0.59,0.78,0.47,0.16,0.06,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 92, LAC 82	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.23,0.25,0.26,0.21,0.24,0.31,0.29,0.24,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.39,0.3,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.4,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.68,0.79,0.59,0.54,0.31,0.11,0.06,0.01,0	92.2%
DAL 102, POR 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.27,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.56,0.47,0.52,0.48,0.62,0.66,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.71,0.6,0.32,0.07,0.02,0.01,0	91.0%
DAL 108, PHX 106	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.25,0.26,0.24,0.3,0.23,0.25,0.29,0.28,0.21,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.27,0.4,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.7,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.46,0.22,0.23,0.05,0	90.8%