NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	102		Excitement	7.1 [414]		MVP	Jason Terry (DAL): +18.4%
Portland Trail Blazers	94		Comeback	2.8 [251]		LVP	Greg Oden (POR): -18.9%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.07	0.11	-0.00	14	59%	0.21	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Brandon Bass	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.05	0.08	0.00	6	67%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.16	-0.01	0.04	18	71%	0.22	3	-0.10	6	83%	-0.01
Antoine Wright	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	150%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.05	0.06	-0.01	4	50%	0.10	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.02
Devean George	0.01	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Josh Howard	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.03	0.01	13	54%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
James Singleton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	100%	0.05	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	13	31%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Fernandez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.10	0.08	-0.00	8	76%	0.18	0	0.00	1	100%	0.06
Sergio Rodriguez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.00	4	112%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.03	0.01	3	86%	0.14	2	-0.06	8	75%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.03	0.06	-0.02	13	43%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.05	0.00	1	67%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	150%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.02	11	56%	0.11	4	-0.16	3	100%	0.02
Brandon Roy	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.07	0.00	20	45%	-0.04	1	-0.03	9	67%	-0.02
Greg Oden	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.10	-0.09	-0.00	6	27%	-0.10	3	-0.09	3	0%	-0.09

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.6	2.8	29.2	20.6	32.2	3.5	30.4	147.3
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +18.2%

POR -1.2%

DAL +23.0%

DAL +10.0%

POR -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	POR	NBA	DAL	POR	NBA
this game	18.0	15.5	15.5	118.6	109.3	106.4
season	15.6	16.7		108.9	111.0
opponent	16.0	15.4		105.8	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.6	18.0	19.8	20.4	18.0
POR	14.8	14.0	15.5	18.4	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jose Juan Barea	36	36	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.34	11	-3	14	19.0	17.2	1.81	16.9	14.5	2.46
Dirk Nowitzki	63	63	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.27	12	-4	16	17.7	18.6	-0.86	15.2	16.4	-1.20
Brandon Bass	19	18	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.30	11	-3	14	20.4	17.3	3.14	18.4	14.7	3.71
Jason Kidd	67	67	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.29	6	2	4	17.8	18.6	-0.77	14.8	18.0	-3.19
Jason Terry	62	60	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.23	8	0	8	18.3	17.2	1.12	15.9	14.5	1.45
Antoine Wright	12	11	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	6	-4	15.8	18.3	-2.49	16.2	15.4	0.77
Josh Howard	45	47	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.00	1	7	-6	17.8	18.2	-0.37	14.3	17.0	-2.77
DeSagana Diop	15	14	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	10	-12	17.0	18.2	-1.18	16.4	15.3	1.01
Erick Dampier	45	48	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.05	-1	9	-10	17.4	18.6	-1.16	14.3	17.1	-2.81
James Singleton	28	28	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.01	-5	13	-18	17.9	18.0	-0.07	16.2	15.2	1.09
Devean George	38	38	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.08	-3	11	-14	17.9	18.0	-0.15	15.9	15.2	0.73

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nicolas Batum	25	25	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.02	-2	-6	4	14.0	16.1	-2.19	17.2	18.3	-1.04
Joel Przybilla	34	35	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.02	-2	-6	4	16.6	14.8	1.73	17.8	18.1	-0.25
Channing Frye	10	9	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	-3	-2	16.8	15.3	1.46	15.9	18.2	-2.33
LaMarcus Aldridge	43	47	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.16	-2	-6	4	14.2	16.8	-2.65	18.3	17.6	0.71
Steve Blake	68	69	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.30	2	-10	12	15.0	17.4	-2.44	18.0	17.7	0.34
Sergio Rodriguez	18	17	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.03	-10	2	-12	17.4	15.0	2.44	17.7	18.0	-0.34
Greg Oden	47	46	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.23	-3	-5	2	14.9	16.2	-1.32	17.7	18.3	-0.70
Travis Outlaw	62	59	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.12	-7	-1	-6	15.9	14.5	1.35	18.0	18.0	-0.03
Brandon Roy	75	75	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.32	-3	-5	2	15.4	16.2	-0.77	18.4	15.4	3.00
Rudy Fernandez	48	48	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.27	-8	0	-8	16.7	13.9	2.80	18.3	17.6	0.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.27,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.56,0.47,0.52,0.48,0.62,0.66,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.71,0.6,0.32,0.07,0.02,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 97, SAC 86	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.49,0.51,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.47,0.47,0.19,0.21,0.06,0,0	92.7%
SAS 91, SEA 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.48,0.44,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.52,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.58,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.15,0.01,0.02,0	92.1%
LAC 94, HOU 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.52,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.62,0.67,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.31,0.11,0.01,0,0	91.7%