NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	92		Excitement	7.0 [447]		MVP	Jason Williams (MEM): +21.4%
Los Angeles Clippers	82		Comeback	3.7 [218]		LVP	Corey Maggette (LAC): -25.2%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Williams	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21	0.09	0.13	0.01	11	71%	0.25	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.04	-0.01	7	63%	0.09	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.03
Mike Miller	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.05	0.02	9	78%	0.18	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.02	11	65%	0.03	1	-0.02	9	89%	0.08
Earl Watson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	6	43%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.07
Shane Battier	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	4	20%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ryan Humphrey	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	6	31%	-0.07	1	-0.05	4	25%	-0.08
Stromile Swift	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	6	21%	-0.07	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Bonzi Wells	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.13	-0.05	-0.02	10	29%	-0.13	2	-0.04	4	25%	-0.03
James Posey	-0.19	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19	-0.11	-0.09	-0.01	6	50%	-0.04	6	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.03	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	6	59%	0.05	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.02
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.03	-0.03	13	50%	0.07	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.03
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	8	33%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.05
Rick Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	5	30%	-0.02	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.21,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-0.10	0.01	18	51%	0.06	5	-0.24	1	100%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.21,-0.24,-0.25	-0.25	-0.14	-0.13	-0.02	10	59%	-0.08	7	-0.17	17	82%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	1.7	31.1	15.6	22.5	2.6	40.0	139.6
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +11.5%

LAC -3.6%

MEM +26.6%

MEM +16.8%

LAC -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	LAC	NBA	MEM	LAC	NBA
this game	15.9	15.6	15.5	101.1	89.1	104.0
season	16.4	16.0		103.7	103.0
opponent	15.5	15.5		103.8	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	13.0	16.3	17.8	16.9	15.9
LAC	17.0	15.7	14.3	15.1	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pau Gasol	70	71	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.25	17	-7	24	16.5	14.0	2.56	15.6	15.2	0.41
Mike Miller	67	67	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.22	13	-3	16	16.3	14.7	1.59	15.7	15.1	0.60
Jason Williams	59	60	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.22	13	-3	16	16.3	15.2	1.18	14.8	17.0	-2.22
James Posey	55	56	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.14	15	-5	20	15.7	16.3	-0.59	15.2	16.1	-0.87
Ryan Humphrey	22	21	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.31	9	1	8	18.3	15.2	3.16	15.0	15.7	-0.66
Bonzi Wells	25	27	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.04	1	9	-8	14.4	16.5	-2.16	15.5	15.6	-0.05
Lorenzen Wright	52	52	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	-0.11	1	9	-8	15.7	16.2	-0.49	15.7	15.4	0.23
Shane Battier	40	40	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.01	-3	13	-16	15.6	16.2	-0.62	15.4	15.7	-0.23
Earl Watson	32	32	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.01	-3	13	-16	15.2	16.3	-1.18	17.0	14.8	2.22
Stromile Swift	33	34	-0.34	0.84	-1.18	0.04	-13	23	-36	14.5	16.7	-2.16	15.9	15.3	0.61

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rick Brunson	44	43	0.27	-0.77	1.04	-0.08	12	-22	34	16.0	15.1	0.85	15.8	16.0	-0.25
Chris Wilcox	19	20	0.14	-0.64	0.78	0.08	2	-12	14	13.3	16.2	-2.89	13.3	16.7	-3.36
Chris Kaman	40	39	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.12	-8	-2	-6	15.8	15.4	0.43	15.8	16.0	-0.18
Quinton Ross	19	15	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.00	-4	-6	2	16.7	15.3	1.42	14.8	16.1	-1.34
Mikki Moore	50	50	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.32	-2	-8	6	15.8	15.2	0.58	16.4	15.4	1.01
Marko Jaric	78	79	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.21	-10	0	-10	15.5	15.8	-0.27	16.4	12.7	3.75
Bobby Simmons	64	66	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.18	-12	2	-14	15.1	16.6	-1.56	16.1	15.5	0.56
Corey Maggette	71	70	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.15	-16	6	-22	15.5	15.9	-0.45	15.5	17.2	-1.65
Elton Brand	75	73	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.29	-12	2	-14	15.8	14.4	1.47	16.4	14.1	2.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.23,0.25,0.26,0.21,0.24,0.31,0.29,0.24,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.39,0.3,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.4,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.68,0.79,0.59,0.54,0.31,0.11,0.06,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 101, IND 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.27,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.3,0.37,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.39,0.42,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.48,0.58,0.69,0.59,0.78,0.47,0.16,0.06,0.02,0	92.2%
ATL 89, DEN 84	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.29,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.33,0.41,0.46,0.33,0.38,0.4,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.28,0.23,0.44,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.53,0.71,0.81,0.83,0.65,0.61,0.38,0.22,0.15,0.15,0	92.1%
DAL 105, SAC 95	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.31,0.33,0.25,0.26,0.34,0.26,0.32,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.46,0.54,0.48,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.46,0.56,0.47,0.43,0.68,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.19,0.03,0.01,0,0	90.9%