NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	90		Excitement	5.3 [799]		MVP	Toni Kukoc (MIL): +14.5%
New York Knicks	108		Comeback	1.5 [931]		LVP	Desmond Mason (MIL): -13.2%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Toni Kukoc	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	-0.01	-0.01	13	77%	0.17	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	6	60%	0.03	0	0.00	8	75%	0.01
Zaza Pachulia	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	4	30%	-0.04	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mike James	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	11	37%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	6	60%	0.02	2	-0.07	8	50%	-0.05
Keith Van Horn	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	4	40%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Mo Williams	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.13	-0.01	-0.05	13	38%	0.03	5	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	-0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	17	45%	-0.08	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.05	0.01	16	72%	0.21	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	0.00	11	64%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Sweetney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	7	90%	0.16	3	-0.08	6	100%	0.03
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.03	0.02	12	67%	0.09	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	3	75%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	8	55%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	4	40%	-0.00	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	13	45%	-0.03	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	2.3	28.4	16.3	23.5	2.4	26.6	120.9
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +39.6%

NYK +15.1%

MIL -9.8%

NYK +5.7%

MIL -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	NYK	NBA	MIL	NYK	NBA
this game	16.8	15.1	15.5	100.0	118.7	104.0
season	16.0	15.8		104.4	103.9
opponent	15.3	15.0		106.5	107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	15.0	18.2	17.6	16.5	16.8
NYK	13.8	14.5	16.0	16.2	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Smith	63	63	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.07	-8	-10	2	15.8	19.0	-3.24	14.5	16.3	-1.81
Zaza Pachulia	25	26	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.01	-6	-12	6	18.2	16.2	2.04	16.2	14.6	1.52
Mo Williams	50	51	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.06	-9	-9	0	16.3	17.3	-0.96	15.1	15.0	0.03
Toni Kukoc	78	79	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.00	-8	-10	2	16.4	19.2	-2.87	14.7	17.3	-2.61
Mike James	45	46	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.11	-14	-4	-10	17.0	16.5	0.51	15.2	15.0	0.17
Dan Gadzuric	60	59	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.11	-7	-11	4	16.3	17.7	-1.35	14.5	16.1	-1.59
Keith Van Horn	27	28	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.04	-10	-8	-2	19.0	15.8	3.24	16.3	14.5	1.81
Erick Strickland	26	25	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.03	-11	-7	-4	18.9	15.9	3.03	16.8	14.4	2.34
Desmond Mason	76	78	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.08	-17	-1	-16	16.4	18.6	-2.22	14.9	16.2	-1.36

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anfernee Hardaway	44	44	0.52	-0.02	0.53	-0.07	20	-2	22	14.9	15.3	-0.39	17.8	15.8	2.01
Michael Sweetney	41	40	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.07	14	4	10	14.8	15.3	-0.52	18.4	15.5	2.94
Kurt Thomas	85	84	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.01	13	5	8	15.2	13.8	1.32	16.4	21.3	-4.89
Jamal Crawford	69	68	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.03	12	6	6	15.6	13.5	2.01	16.0	19.0	-3.02
Jerome Williams	34	35	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.07	13	5	8	16.2	14.4	1.77	18.0	16.0	1.97
Stephon Marbury	60	59	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.03	7	11	-4	14.5	16.1	-1.51	16.7	17.0	-0.31
Tim Thomas	64	61	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.15	13	5	8	14.8	15.7	-0.91	16.6	17.2	-0.65
Trevor Ariza	9	9	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	14	-10	11.9	15.4	-3.53	15.0	17.0	-1.96
Nazr Mohammed	40	41	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	21	-24	15.4	14.8	0.55	15.5	17.8	-2.30
Moochie Norris	9	9	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.02	-3	21	-24	15.8	15.0	0.79	18.0	16.6	1.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.77,0.79,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 78, IND 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.72,0.69,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.56,0.56,0.66,0.74,0.82,0.89,0.94,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
CLE 105, UTA 113	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.85,0.83,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.97,1,0.99,1	94.7%
MIN 86, TOR 105	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.69,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.89,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.5%