NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	78		Excitement	4.9 [824]		MVP	Austin Croshere (IND): +11.9%
Indiana Pacers	91		Comeback	1.7 [847]		LVP	Quentin Richardson (LAC): -18.6%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keyon Dooling	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.01	12	64%	0.09	1	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Melvin Ely	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	4	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	0.01
Chris Kaman	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	3	75%	0.05	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Glen Rice	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Predrag Drobnjak	-0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	14	48%	-0.01	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Bobby Simmons	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.03	5	64%	0.00	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Corey Maggette	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	-0.01	-0.05	7	39%	0.01	3	-0.07	4	50%	0.02
Eddie House	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	5	25%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Chris Wilcox	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	6	44%	-0.06	1	-0.04	6	67%	-0.00
Quentin Richardson	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.13	-0.05	0.00	15	29%	-0.16	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.09	0.01	11	54%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	5	81%	0.06	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Primoz Brezec	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	10	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	9	58%	0.02	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	5	30%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.01	-0.04	8	35%	-0.00	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.02
Al Harrington	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	16	56%	0.07	4	-0.13	7	86%	0.02
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.00	10	46%	-0.03	4	-0.10	6	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	483.6	1.8	31.2	15.8	25.3	2.3	30.6	590.6
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +35.1%

IND +8.5%

IND +4.0%

LAC -2.4%

IND +4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	IND	NBA	LAC	IND	NBA
this game	16.2	16.3	15.7	87.6	103.4	100.5
season	15.5	16.7		101.3	101.1
opponent	15.7	15.4		94.7	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.5	15.7	16.5	16.1	16.2
IND	16.2	16.3	17.0	15.9	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Melvin Ely	27	26	0.09	-0.59	0.69	0.01	3	-16	19	16.5	16.1	0.45	18.2	15.5	2.68
Keyon Dooling	62	62	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-12	11	15.4	18.0	-2.58	16.8	15.3	1.52
Predrag Drobnjak	65	63	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.11	-10	-3	-7	16.2	16.3	-0.18	16.6	15.7	0.87
Corey Maggette	47	49	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.09	-4	-9	5	16.1	16.4	-0.29	17.0	15.5	1.53
Quentin Richardson	68	66	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.14	-13	0	-13	15.9	17.3	-1.48	16.8	14.9	1.91
Chris Kaman	25	26	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.22	-3	-10	7	16.8	16.0	0.89	15.4	16.7	-1.36
Glen Rice	35	35	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.14	-6	-7	1	15.8	16.5	-0.71	16.4	16.3	0.15
Eddie House	29	28	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.18	-7	-6	-1	17.9	15.4	2.56	14.9	17.0	-2.07
Chris Wilcox	50	48	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.02	-14	1	-15	16.6	15.7	0.91	15.7	17.1	-1.48
Bobby Simmons	37	37	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.15	-10	-3	-7	16.3	16.2	0.12	14.6	17.6	-2.97

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Metta World Peace	69	70	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.12	13	0	13	15.7	18.8	-3.12	16.6	14.9	1.66
Reggie Miller	43	44	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.10	17	-4	21	15.9	16.8	-0.89	17.4	15.0	2.34
Kenny Anderson	42	42	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.01	11	2	9	15.5	17.1	-1.56	16.1	16.3	-0.20
Austin Croshere	37	38	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.14	4	9	-5	17.0	15.9	1.09	15.7	16.6	-0.90
Scot Pollard	24	24	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.10	5	8	-3	17.2	16.0	1.25	16.0	16.3	-0.28
Fred Jones	48	48	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.19	1	12	-11	17.0	15.6	1.40	14.4	18.3	-3.83
Al Harrington	69	70	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.20	14	-1	15	16.6	15.4	1.17	16.3	15.9	0.32
Anthony Johnson	46	47	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.13	2	11	-9	17.1	15.5	1.56	16.3	16.1	0.20
Jeff Foster	56	56	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.07	8	5	3	15.7	17.5	-1.82	16.7	15.4	1.28
Primoz Brezec	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	18	-23	18.0	16.3	1.72	16.3	16.2	0.14
Jamaal Tinsley	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	18	-23	18.0	16.3	1.72	16.3	16.2	0.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.72,0.69,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.56,0.56,0.66,0.74,0.82,0.89,0.94,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 90, NYK 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.77,0.79,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.1%
CHA 94, UTA 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.75,0.75,0.63,0.69,0.61,0.53,0.61,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.91,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.0%
ORL 95, DET 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.69,0.78,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.52,0.56,0.5,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.9,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.97,1,1	93.7%