NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	104		Excitement	8.7 [175]		MVP	Mike Bibby (SAC): +46.2%
Boston Celtics	100		Comeback	6.5 [93]		LVP	Chris Webber (SAC): -23.9%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Bibby	0.46	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.19,0.11,0.46	0.07	0.40	0.01	20	60%	0.53	2	-0.07	5	60%	-0.09
Maurice Evans	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17	0.07	0.09	-0.00	9	77%	0.22	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.05
Brad Miller	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.10	-0.02	0.01	11	71%	0.08	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Darius Songaila	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	-0.13	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.01	-0.10	0.02	12	65%	0.06	4	-0.19	7	86%	-0.01
Chris Webber	-0.24	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.18,-0.21,-0.23,-0.25,-0.26,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.2,-0.2,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.26,-0.32,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.22	-0.04	-0.02	23	30%	-0.12	5	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.15,0.13	0.12	0.14	-0.01	0.00	16	71%	0.15	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.04
Paul Pierce	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.08	0.02	11	69%	0.17	3	-0.08	10	70%	0.02
Tom Gugliotta	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Delonte West	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	11	58%	0.09	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Tony Allen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	7	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Banks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	2	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jiri Welsch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.08	-0.01	13	53%	-0.03	3	-0.09	4	50%	-0.02
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.04	-0.02	3	37%	-0.04	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Gary Payton	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13	-0.13	-0.05	-0.08	0.01	14	43%	-0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.4	28.2	15.8	24.2	2.6	35.3	130.9
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +66.9%

BOS -16.3%

BOS -1.7%

BOS -4.5%

SAC +5.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	BOS	NBA	SAC	BOS	NBA
this game	15.1	14.4	15.5	106.1	103.1	104.0
season	14.7	14.4		108.1	104.7
opponent	16.0	15.6		104.1	106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	15.4	19.0	12.3	14.5	15.1
BOS	12.9	12.3	14.5	18.3	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maurice Evans	58	57	0.91	-0.41	1.33	0.36	19	-15	34	15.2	15.0	0.20	15.5	12.8	2.71
Mike Bibby	88	88	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.39	3	1	2	14.6	20.2	-5.63	14.4	14.2	0.19
Brad Miller	88	87	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.36	4	0	4	14.6	20.3	-5.74	14.7	11.6	3.11
Darius Songaila	26	25	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.12	10	-6	16	16.1	14.8	1.27	13.4	14.7	-1.34
Cuttino Mobley	82	80	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.24	-4	8	-12	15.1	15.4	-0.35	14.6	13.2	1.47
Chris Webber	82	82	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.28	-6	10	-16	15.5	13.4	2.04	14.4	14.6	-0.25
Matt Barnes	44	45	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.12	-3	7	-10	15.7	14.6	1.10	12.5	16.0	-3.47
Eddie House	10	9	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	3	-2	20.2	14.6	5.63	14.2	14.4	-0.19
Peja Stojakovic	12	12	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.05	-4	8	-12	12.9	15.5	-2.54	14.3	14.4	-0.07

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Allen	37	36	0.22	-0.72	0.94	0.05	6	-10	16	13.6	14.9	-1.25	13.9	15.9	-1.98
Mark Blount	80	83	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.35	10	-14	24	15.1	11.2	3.90	15.0	15.9	-0.85
Raef LaFrentz	78	78	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.30	7	-11	18	14.6	13.4	1.21	15.1	15.4	-0.39
Gary Payton	76	77	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.32	7	-11	18	15.1	11.8	3.36	14.0	19.3	-5.33
Delonte West	3	2	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.05	-5	1	-6	17.3	14.3	3.04	3.0	15.4	-12.40
Marcus Banks	18	19	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.02	-6	2	-8	10.8	15.2	-4.37	21.1	13.7	7.33
Paul Pierce	82	82	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.38	5	-9	14	14.9	11.6	3.30	15.2	14.7	0.54
Jiri Welsch	15	16	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.00	-9	5	-14	11.6	14.9	-3.30	14.7	15.2	-0.54
Kendrick Perkins	16	15	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.04	-11	7	-18	11.9	14.9	-3.01	15.9	15.0	0.85
Tom Gugliotta	19	20	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.08	-11	7	-18	13.4	14.6	-1.21	15.4	15.1	0.39
Ricky Davis	61	62	-0.79	0.29	-1.09	-0.41	-13	9	-22	14.6	14.0	0.62	15.9	13.9	1.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.78,0.69,0.59,0.6,0.56,0.66,0.57,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.41,0.35,0.46,0.47,0.72,0.57,0.72,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 102, MIA 101	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.48,0.41,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.59,0.6,0.52,0.44,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.66,0.76,0.8,0.72,0.5,0.52,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.53,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.71,0.55,0.73,0	90.1%
TOR 94, DEN 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.68,0.68,0.81,0.7,0.6,0.52,0.66,0.66,0.57,0.47,0.49,0.36,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.72,0.75,0.58,0	90.1%
BOS 91, MIA 89	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.51,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.49,0.61,0.54,0.59,0.7,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.81,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.66,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.43,0.29,0.14,0.27,0.31,0.3,0.22,0.38,0.45,0.57,0.72,0	90.1%