NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	108		Excitement	5.3 [798]		MVP	Donta Smith (ATL): +10.6%
Atlanta Hawks	114		Comeback	1.0 [1082]		LVP	Royal Ivey (ATL): -6.8%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chucky Atkins	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05	-0.03	0.09	0.01	20	52%	0.09	3	-0.04	8	75%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.02	-0.02	7	43%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Tierre Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.02	0.07	-0.04	0.05	16	63%	0.01	1	-0.02	11	82%	0.02
Brian Grant	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mihm	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Slava Medvedenko	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Brian Cook	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.06	-0.09	0.02	9	72%	0.06	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	15	56%	-0.03	3	-0.04	20	60%	-0.04

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donta Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.05	-0.01	6	69%	0.11	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.04	0.08	-0.02	9	44%	0.10	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Josh Childress	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.01	0.00	10	83%	0.11	4	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	7	31%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Predrag Drobnjak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Obinna Ekezie	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	5	45%	0.01	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02	-0.02	0.05	-0.07	0.00	15	65%	0.09	2	-0.11	10	60%	-0.08
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06	-0.06	0.02	-0.06	0.02	20	51%	-0.06	0	0.00	9	89%	-0.00
Jason Collier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	0.03	7	47%	-0.03	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.02	7	40%	-0.03	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	2.3	32.5	16.3	27.5	1.7	45.4	152.9
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +28.8%

LAL -6.7%

ATL +21.7%

ATL +0.8%

ATL +5.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	ATL	NBA	LAL	ATL	NBA
this game	13.8	14.4	15.5	106.9	110.7	104.0
season	15.7	15.6		105.8	98.1
opponent	15.1	15.3		108.1	108.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.6	12.0	15.0	13.8	13.8
ATL	12.1	16.2	16.3	13.4	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sasha Vujacic	12	12	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.23	10	-16	26	10.4	14.3	-3.86	16.9	14.1	2.84
Slava Medvedenko	15	16	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.12	5	-11	16	16.8	13.3	3.50	16.0	14.1	1.89
Tierre Brown	58	61	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.54	15	-21	36	12.7	15.4	-2.74	14.5	14.3	0.17
Luke Walton	31	31	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.06	-8	2	-10	14.2	13.7	0.54	14.1	14.6	-0.49
Brian Cook	65	68	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.65	16	-22	38	13.1	15.1	-2.05	14.7	13.8	0.88
Brian Grant	10	10	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.23	-14	8	-22	12.9	13.9	-1.02	10.4	14.8	-4.44
Chris Mihm	32	31	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.14	-12	6	-18	15.0	13.3	1.68	14.2	14.5	-0.35
Caron Butler	64	64	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.23	-2	-4	2	13.9	13.7	0.23	14.1	14.9	-0.79
Lamar Odom	84	86	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.26	-6	0	-6	13.9	13.4	0.49	14.7	13.2	1.47
Jumaine Jones	47	48	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	0.28	-26	20	-46	14.7	13.1	1.65	13.7	15.0	-1.27
Chucky Atkins	87	88	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.27	-8	2	-10	14.0	12.5	1.53	14.5	13.8	0.71

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Childress	88	87	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.29	15	-9	24	13.9	17.4	-3.50	13.6	14.9	-1.28
Boris Diaw	62	61	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.12	9	-3	12	14.8	13.8	1.08	13.3	14.6	-1.25
Donta Smith	71	68	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.38	-2	8	-10	14.4	14.5	-0.18	13.7	14.2	-0.49
Antoine Walker	69	69	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.36	-2	8	-10	14.6	14.0	0.56	13.7	14.2	-0.49
Tony Delk	71	67	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.43	-7	13	-20	14.9	13.3	1.54	13.0	15.4	-2.31
Jason Collier	24	23	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.11	11	-5	16	12.7	14.9	-2.27	15.1	13.4	1.64
Royal Ivey	34	33	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.04	8	-2	10	12.9	15.2	-2.28	15.3	13.1	2.16
Kenny Anderson	42	43	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.15	-1	7	-8	15.0	14.0	1.04	13.5	14.1	-0.62
Predrag Drobnjak	13	12	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.02	2	4	-2	14.2	14.4	-0.20	15.8	13.6	2.28
Obinna Ekezie	41	42	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	9	-12	15.5	13.7	1.83	14.6	13.3	1.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.78,0.8,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.93,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.85,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.91,0.91,0.87,0.87,0.82,0.88,0.93,0.9,0.87,0.91,0.95,0.69,0.63,0.76,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 106, CLE 113	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.83,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.86,0.84,0.91,0.8,0.78,0.84,0.98,1	93.6%
DEN 96, MEM 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.89,0.86,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.82,0.8,0.77,0.85,0.94,0.9,0.85,0.8,0.88,0.92,0.85,0.78,0.74,0.71,0.91,0.99,1	92.9%
BOS 113, DAL 118	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.73,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.88,0.87,0.8,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.89,0.96,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.81,0.84,1,0.91,1	92.8%