NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	96		Excitement	8.2 [251]		MVP	Sasha Pavlovic (CLE): +9.5%
New York Knicks	99		Comeback	4.8 [608]		LVP	Jeff McInnis (CLE): -35.3%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sasha Pavlovic	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.04	0.01	12	61%	0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.02	0.07	-0.06	-0.01	16	60%	0.02	0	0.00	8	100%	0.08
Robert Traylor	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	-0.05	0.00	8	62%	-0.03	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.05
Lucious Harris	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	4	30%	-0.11	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Drew Gooden	-0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.14	-0.07	-0.04	18	45%	-0.05	4	-0.13	11	64%	-0.05
Jeff McInnis	-0.35	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.26,-0.26,-0.33,-0.33,-0.4,-0.35	-0.19	-0.17	-0.01	20	27%	-0.30	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.06

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Sweetney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	2	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	14	62%	0.06	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0	100%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jamison Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	9	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	0.01	9	60%	0.13	4	-0.15	2	100%	0.01
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.02	0.00	9	65%	0.08	4	-0.11	16	87%	0.10
Bruno Sundov	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0.01	20	51%	-0.00	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	9	22%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	3.4	28.5	17.4	28.3	3.4	43.1	151.6
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +30.6%

NYK +12.1%

NYK +4.2%

CLE -0.7%

NYK +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	NYK	NBA	CLE	NYK	NBA
this game	15.2	16.3	15.5	104.3	108.8	104.0
season	16.2	15.8		104.6	103.9
opponent	15.3	15.3		106.5	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.8	15.9	14.7	15.3	15.2
NYK	15.2	15.4	16.6	18.3	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lucious Harris	37	35	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.09	1	-4	5	15.8	14.7	1.01	16.9	15.9	1.00
Robert Traylor	40	38	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.14	1	-4	5	16.5	14.1	2.34	16.8	16.0	0.74
DeSagana Diop	6	5	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.06	-2	-1	-1	12.7	15.3	-2.66	20.6	16.1	4.52
Drew Gooden	80	80	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.42	5	-8	13	14.9	16.5	-1.55	16.3	16.8	-0.56
Sasha Pavlovic	83	83	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.38	-2	-1	-1	14.7	19.0	-4.27	16.3	17.0	-0.73
Jeff McInnis	78	78	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.44	0	-3	3	15.1	15.4	-0.33	16.4	15.7	0.74
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	58	59	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.21	-10	7	-17	14.8	15.8	-1.02	15.8	17.3	-1.56
Eric Snow	78	77	-0.56	0.07	-0.63	-0.33	-8	5	-13	15.4	14.0	1.36	16.0	18.1	-2.06

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kurt Thomas	61	63	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.18	11	-8	19	15.6	17.8	-2.14	15.8	13.8	2.04
Anfernee Hardaway	54	56	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.41	1	2	-1	16.5	16.1	0.37	14.6	16.0	-1.44
Nazr Mohammed	76	75	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.29	5	-2	7	15.6	20.3	-4.71	14.7	17.2	-2.56
Stephon Marbury	83	81	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.39	1	2	-1	15.7	23.2	-7.59	14.9	16.8	-1.89
Jamison Brewer	17	19	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.40	-3	6	-9	19.1	15.7	3.36	15.8	15.0	0.80
Jamal Crawford	82	84	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.04	8	-5	13	16.4	15.3	1.11	15.2	14.4	0.85
Bruno Sundov	5	6	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.08	2	1	1	22.8	16.0	6.85	13.5	15.3	-1.77
Michael Sweetney	22	23	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.19	-3	6	-9	19.7	15.2	4.48	15.7	15.0	0.72
Vin Baker	0	1	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.01	2	1	1	0.0	16.3	-16.33	6.0	15.3	-9.25
Trevor Ariza	37	36	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.01	2	1	1	16.1	16.5	-0.37	16.0	14.6	1.44
Jerome Williams	18	16	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	0.08	-11	14	-25	16.1	16.4	-0.34	15.2	15.1	0.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.27,0.3,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.17,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.56,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.85,0.79,0.84,0.78,0.62,0.64,0.77,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 99, NYK 103	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.32,0.22,0.29,0.23,0.26,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.48,0.63,0.58,0.74,0.84,0.79,0.76,0.81,0.9,0.88,0.87,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.85,1	93.4%
MIA 96, BOS 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.21,0.24,0.29,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.58,0.48,0.45,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.58,0.7,0.76,0.78,0.61,0.55,0.85,0.84,1	92.1%
DEN 89, PHX 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.38,0.41,0.39,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.24,0.18,0.15,0.2,0.22,0.23,0.17,0.23,0.27,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.4,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.56,0.63,0.7,0.78,0.9,0.86,0.77,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.68,0.78,0.91,1,1	91.7%