NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	99		Excitement	7.2 [340]		MVP	Zach Randolph (NYK): +18.2%
New York Knicks	103		Comeback	3.8 [129]		LVP	Jose Calderon (TOR): -11.6%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Delfino	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.25,0.19,0.18,0.15	0.11	0.04	-0.00	11	64%	0.15	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.01
Jamario Moon	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.13	0.01	0.00	8	100%	0.20	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Parker	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06	0.08	-0.00	0.02	13	62%	0.10	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Maceo Baston	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kapono	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Kris Humphries	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Andrea Bargnani	-0.03	0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	5	42%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Rasho Nesterovic	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
T.J. Ford	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chris Bosh	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.11	0.02	-0.11	0.03	15	62%	0.03	5	-0.14	7	71%	-0.00
Jose Calderon	-0.12	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	15	44%	0.01	4	-0.13	4	100%	0.03

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach Randolph	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.18	0.18	0.06	0.12	0.00	19	55%	0.23	2	-0.05	9	78%	0.01
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.18,0.13,0.1,0.18,0.15,0.2,0.24,0.22,0.18,0.22,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.16	0.16	0.11	0.06	0.02	29	65%	0.41	7	-0.25	8	87%	0.02
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	-0.00	6	57%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	8	47%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Renaldo Balkman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	0.01	0.01	6	37%	-0.02	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Eddy Curry	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	5	33%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.4	31.4	18.4	24.5	3.3	38.6	143.1
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +30.7%

NYK +2.2%

NYK +17.1%

NYK +0.3%

TOR -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	NYK	NBA	TOR	NYK	NBA
this game	14.1	15.8	15.4	101.0	108.4	105.7
season	15.6	15.7		108.5	103.1
opponent	15.2	15.7		109.9	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	12.8	14.2	15.3	13.9	14.1
NYK	18.0	13.5	16.7	15.5	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasho Nesterovic	22	20	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.03	3	-7	10	12.9	14.4	-1.47	14.8	16.1	-1.23
Kris Humphries	17	17	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.07	3	-7	10	13.6	14.1	-0.56	17.5	15.5	2.01
Maceo Baston	7	7	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.02	-1	-3	2	13.7	14.1	-0.36	19.0	15.6	3.43
Andrea Bargnani	28	28	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.08	-7	3	-10	15.9	13.3	2.53	14.9	16.2	-1.27
Jason Kapono	16	17	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.04	-6	2	-8	13.9	14.1	-0.21	13.5	16.3	-2.79
T.J. Ford	22	22	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.03	-6	2	-8	13.1	14.3	-1.18	17.0	15.5	1.53
Jamario Moon	77	73	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.42	2	-6	8	14.1	14.0	0.06	16.2	14.6	1.60
Chris Bosh	90	88	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.42	1	-5	6	14.2	12.7	1.42	16.2	11.1	5.05
Jose Calderon	82	79	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.43	1	-5	6	14.2	13.2	1.03	15.5	17.2	-1.64
Anthony Parker	80	76	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.39	-2	-2	0	14.1	13.8	0.27	15.9	15.7	0.17
Carlos Delfino	49	48	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.30	-8	4	-12	13.6	14.5	-0.88	15.1	16.5	-1.41

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach Randolph	88	89	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.33	11	-7	18	15.3	22.4	-7.13	14.3	12.0	2.26
Jamal Crawford	91	95	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.35	8	-4	12	15.7	19.2	-3.58	14.1	12.0	2.12
David Lee	72	75	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.33	6	-2	8	15.7	16.0	-0.29	14.4	13.0	1.37
Quentin Richardson	58	60	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.34	4	0	4	16.2	15.2	0.95	14.4	13.5	0.94
Fred Jones	45	48	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.12	8	-4	12	15.5	16.1	-0.67	13.1	15.0	-1.90
Nate Robinson	76	77	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.20	4	0	4	15.2	18.2	-2.99	14.5	12.2	2.31
Renaldo Balkman	18	19	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.13	-8	12	-20	18.2	15.3	2.89	12.7	14.4	-1.70
Malik Rose	7	6	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.08	-7	11	-18	24.4	15.1	9.29	13.3	14.1	-0.76
Eddy Curry	20	21	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.04	-6	10	-16	15.9	15.8	0.16	12.5	14.5	-1.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.32,0.22,0.29,0.23,0.26,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.48,0.63,0.58,0.74,0.84,0.79,0.76,0.81,0.9,0.88,0.87,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 96, NYK 99	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.27,0.3,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.17,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.56,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.85,0.79,0.84,0.78,0.62,0.64,0.77,0.91,1	93.4%
OKC 108, LAL 111	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.3,0.38,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.63,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.76,0.71,0.89,0.95,0.93,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.97,1	92.7%
CHA 92, IND 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.81,0.9,0.86,0.8,0.81,0.74,0.76,0.72,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.96,1	92.2%