NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	108		Excitement	7.7 [254]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +24.2%
Los Angeles Lakers	111		Comeback	4.0 [729]		LVP	Jeff Green (OKC): -12.4%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thabo Sefolosha	0.09	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.09	0.12	-0.03	-0.01	10	73%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Kevin Durant	0.08	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.05	0.00	19	65%	0.28	6	-0.19	8	87%	0.02
James Harden	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.08	0.05	0.03	0.01	14	53%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nenad Krstic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.01	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.04
Nick Collison	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Russell Westbrook	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	21	46%	0.01	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.02
Serge Ibaka	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	12	33%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	12	46%	-0.00	4	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.13,0.24	0.24	0.11	0.16	0.02	26	61%	0.38	5	-0.14	14	86%	0.08
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.09	0.01	9	68%	0.19	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.06
Andrew Bynum	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.01	9	44%	0.06	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.03
Shannon Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	0.00	3	75%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.02	0.00	10	55%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.04
Pau Gasol	0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	0.01	10	58%	0.10	3	-0.10	6	83%	0.01
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	11	46%	0.05	4	-0.15	4	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	1.8	28.3	15.8	29.2	2.8	40.5	145.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +5.5%

LAL +42.3%

LAL +8.7%

OKC -6.2%

OKC -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	LAL	NBA	OKC	LAL	NBA
this game	15.1	13.5	15.3	106.9	109.9	106.0
season	15.0	15.7		106.2	107.9
opponent	15.1	15.5		103.0	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	12.9	15.9	15.5	16.2	15.1
LAL	12.8	14.1	13.9	13.2	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thabo Sefolosha	72	71	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.33	9	-12	21	14.2	17.2	-3.01	13.5	13.3	0.22
Serge Ibaka	60	58	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.38	9	-12	21	15.7	14.1	1.58	13.0	14.1	-1.07
Kevin Durant	84	85	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.27	-1	-2	1	15.3	14.1	1.20	13.9	11.3	2.55
Nick Collison	26	26	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.12	-7	4	-11	14.9	15.1	-0.18	12.6	13.8	-1.18
James Harden	54	54	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.27	-2	-1	-1	15.5	14.5	0.99	12.9	14.0	-1.10
Jeff Green	89	90	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.35	-1	-2	1	15.1	14.9	0.16	13.8	10.5	3.27
Nenad Krstic	32	33	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.01	-15	12	-27	14.9	15.1	-0.22	13.7	13.3	0.40
Russell Westbrook	88	88	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.33	-7	4	-11	14.9	15.9	-0.99	13.4	13.7	-0.27

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Metta World Peace	81	82	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.39	8	-5	13	13.7	12.4	1.25	15.2	14.3	0.92
Kobe Bryant	92	91	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.35	5	-2	7	13.6	12.1	1.48	15.1	14.4	0.73
Lamar Odom	61	61	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.38	1	2	-1	13.0	14.1	-1.15	15.3	14.7	0.64
Pau Gasol	82	81	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.28	3	0	3	13.4	13.6	-0.15	14.3	18.0	-3.67
Derek Fisher	70	67	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.19	3	0	3	13.9	12.4	1.49	14.6	15.9	-1.33
Andrew Bynum	59	60	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.17	2	1	1	14.0	12.7	1.23	15.8	14.0	1.78
Shannon Brown	24	26	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.22	-3	6	-9	13.1	13.6	-0.49	16.3	14.6	1.73
Jordan Farmar	22	24	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.08	1	2	-1	11.6	14.0	-2.38	15.5	14.9	0.58
Sasha Vujacic	14	13	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.01	-5	8	-13	12.4	13.6	-1.19	12.4	15.5	-3.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.3,0.38,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.63,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.76,0.71,0.89,0.95,0.93,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.97,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 95, SAS 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.31,0.35,0.44,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.31,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.38,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.56,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.97,0.93,0.97,0.99,1	93.1%
MEM 91, PHX 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.39,0.39,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.56,0.48,0.6,0.68,0.74,0.77,0.71,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.94,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1	93.0%
ATL 88, MIL 95	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.32,0.38,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.27,0.33,0.36,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.54,0.58,0.76,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.69,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.91,0.84,1	92.9%