NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	91		Excitement	5.8 [516]		MVP	Jared Dudley (PHX): +12.3%
Phoenix Suns	98		Comeback	3.0 [247]		LVP	Robin Lopez (PHX): -4.9%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dante Cunningham	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.03	0.00	4	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Pargo	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Pondexter	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	-0.01	-0.02	7	57%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	12	42%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	8	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.01	10	45%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Hamed Haddadi	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	15	51%	0.06	3	-0.08	11	64%	-0.04
O.J. Mayo	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	8	40%	0.01	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Rudy Gay	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	20	43%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.00	0.02	-0.10	16	59%	0.23	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	14	50%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	-0.00	0.01	9	68%	0.10	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	4	42%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Shannon Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	-0.01	6	62%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Channing Frye	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	9	50%	0.06	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	5	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.03	0.02	6	79%	0.11	5	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Michael Redd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	0.03	12	42%	-0.04	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.2	2.4	31.0	15.6	26.4	1.8	28.4	125.8
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +30.8%

PHX +6.2%

PHX +27.4%

MEM -15.9%

PHX +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	PHX	NBA	MEM	PHX	NBA
this game	14.9	15.9	15.6	96.8	105.4	102.8
season	15.6	15.0		102.0	104.7
opponent	15.7	15.7		104.9	100.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	14.7	15.1	15.6	14.1	14.9
PHX	13.6	14.9	15.1	21.1	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Allen	44	44	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.20	7	-14	21	14.0	15.7	-1.68	15.1	16.7	-1.60
Hamed Haddadi	6	6	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.04	0	-7	7	13.3	15.0	-1.64	24.0	15.4	8.62
Jeremy Pargo	6	6	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.04	0	-7	7	13.3	15.0	-1.64	24.0	15.4	8.62
Marreese Speights	46	44	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.07	-4	-3	-1	14.8	15.0	-0.22	14.1	17.6	-3.50
Dante Cunningham	33	36	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.18	-2	-5	3	14.9	14.9	0.06	16.6	15.5	1.01
Quincy Pondexter	43	42	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.05	-8	1	-9	15.0	14.8	0.24	16.5	15.5	1.03
O.J. Mayo	56	57	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.28	-2	-5	3	15.3	14.3	0.98	17.5	13.5	3.93
Marc Gasol	80	79	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.33	-4	-3	-1	14.8	15.3	-0.49	15.4	18.7	-3.27
Mike Conley	80	78	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.23	-10	3	-13	15.2	13.1	2.12	15.1	20.1	-5.01
Rudy Gay	76	73	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.21	-12	5	-17	15.1	14.1	1.01	15.8	16.4	-0.59

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Nash	71	72	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.18	13	-6	19	14.7	20.0	-5.26	14.9	14.7	0.25
Jared Dudley	68	70	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.21	8	-1	9	15.7	16.5	-0.80	14.7	15.3	-0.56
Hakim Warrick	24	25	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.27	6	1	5	19.7	14.6	5.09	15.2	14.8	0.45
Grant Hill	74	74	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.17	8	-1	9	15.0	19.7	-4.71	14.9	14.9	-0.10
Marcin Gortat	65	63	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.16	8	-1	9	14.3	19.7	-5.41	15.1	14.4	0.72
Shannon Brown	37	37	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.16	6	1	5	17.7	14.8	2.89	15.9	14.2	1.68
Channing Frye	60	62	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.07	9	-2	11	14.1	19.3	-5.17	15.2	14.3	0.85
Robin Lopez	28	31	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.13	-1	8	-9	19.7	14.3	5.41	14.4	15.1	-0.72
Sebastian Telfair	22	22	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.11	-6	13	-19	20.0	14.7	5.26	14.7	14.9	-0.25
Markieff Morris	8	7	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.08	-8	15	-23	18.5	15.7	2.81	11.1	15.2	-4.03
Michael Redd	8	7	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.07	-8	15	-23	18.5	15.7	2.81	11.1	15.2	-4.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.39,0.39,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.56,0.48,0.6,0.68,0.74,0.77,0.71,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.94,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 98, OKC 109	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.4,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.66,0.78,0.78,0.86,0.81,0.74,0.85,0.87,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	94.1%
NYK 92, PHI 109	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.38,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.48,0.66,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.8%
MEM 94, HOU 107	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.31,0.39,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.55,0.63,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.74,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.87,0.94,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.3%