NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	95		Excitement	6.3 [511]		MVP	Michael Finley (SAS): +23.3%
San Antonio Spurs	97		Comeback	3.2 [245]		LVP	Bruce Bowen (SAS): -18.3%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Howard	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	12	67%	0.16	3	-0.08	9	78%	0.00
Jason Terry	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.07	0.16	-0.04	0.04	11	74%	0.07	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.05
Brandon Bass	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	-0.03	0.00	12	60%	0.05	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.03
Erick Dampier	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Trenton Hassell	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	11	52%	0.03	4	-0.11	7	86%	0.02
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.01	0.00	9	36%	-0.02	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
Devin Harris	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.14	-0.05	-0.01	11	18%	-0.11	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.23	0.23	0.10	0.12	-0.01	9	78%	0.24	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.10	0.11	0.01	24	62%	0.33	4	-0.13	12	92%	0.07
Fabricio Oberto	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.03	0.00	3	100%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	2	83%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	5	40%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	-0.00	-0.07	0.05	-0.02	22	46%	0.11	4	-0.11	6	83%	0.01
Francisco Elson	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18	-0.18	-0.15	-0.03	0.00	7	0%	-0.13	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	2.7	32.2	16.6	29.3	2.5	39.3	149.3
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +48.6%

DAL -3.0%

DAL -7.7%

SAS +11.7%

SAS +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	SAS	NBA	DAL	SAS	NBA
this game	15.0	15.4	15.4	100.0	103.2	105.7
season	16.1	16.5		108.9	104.7
opponent	15.3	15.4		100.5	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.6	15.4	16.5	13.6	15.0
SAS	16.0	14.6	13.5	17.7	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Erick Dampier	23	23	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-5	8	16.0	14.7	1.34	17.1	14.9	2.23
Jose Juan Barea	8	7	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-1	0	16.1	14.9	1.19	14.9	15.5	-0.64
Trenton Hassell	2	1	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	1	-4	0.5	15.3	-14.84	11.0	15.5	-4.49
Devin Harris	53	51	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.14	2	-4	6	15.4	14.6	0.82	15.2	15.7	-0.51
Brandon Bass	50	51	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.37	7	-9	16	14.7	15.4	-0.78	16.0	14.8	1.21
Dirk Nowitzki	79	77	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.38	3	-5	8	14.7	16.6	-1.92	15.4	15.5	-0.03
Jason Terry	77	79	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.39	0	-2	2	15.3	13.7	1.62	15.6	14.5	1.09
Jerry Stackhouse	65	63	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.37	-3	1	-4	14.9	15.3	-0.44	15.2	15.9	-0.68
DeSagana Diop	44	43	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.09	-14	12	-26	15.0	15.1	-0.10	13.7	16.9	-3.18
Josh Howard	74	75	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.41	-4	2	-6	15.2	14.6	0.59	15.8	13.9	1.88

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Finley	62	61	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.33	11	-9	20	15.3	15.7	-0.46	15.2	14.7	0.46
Manu Ginobili	77	78	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.43	5	-3	8	15.3	16.2	-0.96	14.8	16.2	-1.39
Fabricio Oberto	50	53	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.16	10	-8	18	14.2	16.8	-2.62	15.1	15.0	0.10
Tony Parker	64	64	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.36	-2	4	-6	15.6	15.1	0.56	15.4	14.3	1.05
Bruce Bowen	82	82	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.46	-6	8	-14	15.9	12.2	3.66	15.2	14.0	1.20
Jacque Vaughn	25	26	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.07	3	-1	4	16.0	15.3	0.70	15.3	14.9	0.43
Brent Barry	39	40	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.07	1	1	0	13.8	16.6	-2.82	14.5	15.4	-0.96
Francisco Elson	48	47	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.32	-10	12	-22	16.7	14.1	2.58	15.1	14.9	0.19
Robert Horry	13	13	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.05	1	1	0	14.2	15.7	-1.50	14.8	15.1	-0.21
Matt Bonner	10	11	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.06	-3	5	-8	19.7	14.9	4.76	13.5	15.2	-1.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.31,0.35,0.44,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.31,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.38,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.56,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.97,0.93,0.97,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 112, OKC 122	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.5,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.2,0.25,0.37,0.43,0.42,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.63,0.6,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%
SAS 83, UTA 109	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.34,0.39,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.44,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.41,0.34,0.31,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.65,0.59,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.1%
LAL 91, SAS 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.21,0.24,0.26,0.28,0.36,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.44,0.52,0.6,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.88,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.9%