NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	91		Excitement	5.6 [663]		MVP	Ime Udoka (SAS): +29.9%
San Antonio Spurs	103		Comeback	4.3 [520]		LVP	Manu Ginobili (SAS): -16.1%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sasha Vujacic	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	-0.01	-0.00	7	73%	0.10	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Ronny Turiaf	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	8	58%	0.05	1	-0.03	8	50%	-0.04
Luke Walton	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	3	62%	0.04	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jordan Farmar	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	6	43%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kwame Brown	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.03	4	60%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Derek Fisher	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	12	37%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.11	0.01	-0.07	27	50%	0.16	9	-0.18	4	100%	0.02
DJ Mbenga	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.04	-0.03	0.05	7	69%	0.03	5	-0.15	2	100%	0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ime Udoka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.2,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.17	0.11	-0.01	10	86%	0.30	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.12	0.06	-0.00	21	60%	0.20	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.11	0.05	0.00	6	92%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	10	55%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	0.03	15	47%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fabricio Oberto	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	1	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.14	-0.02	-0.01	16	32%	-0.10	3	-0.06	6	67%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.3	2.7	30.8	18.6	24.6	3.7	33.2	143.8
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +31.7%

LAL -9.8%

LAL -9.4%

SAS +34.0%

SAS +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	SAS	NBA	LAL	SAS	NBA
this game	15.0	15.9	15.4	98.9	109.6	105.7
season	14.6	16.5		110.6	104.7
opponent	15.3	15.2		100.5	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	13.8	16.6	15.9	14.0	15.0
SAS	15.6	15.4	15.4	17.3	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronny Turiaf	45	45	0.20	-0.70	0.89	-0.18	13	-25	38	14.7	15.3	-0.61	15.9	16.0	-0.09
DJ Mbenga	5	5	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.01	-2	-10	8	10.4	15.3	-4.91	13.0	16.1	-3.08
Luke Walton	65	67	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.13	-1	-11	10	15.8	13.3	2.42	16.3	15.1	1.18
Jordan Farmar	41	40	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.15	-3	-9	6	13.3	16.5	-3.20	16.2	15.7	0.45
Derek Fisher	51	54	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.01	-9	-3	-6	16.5	13.3	3.20	15.7	16.2	-0.45
Sasha Vujacic	50	49	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.12	-5	-7	2	15.0	15.1	-0.10	15.8	16.0	-0.21
Kobe Bryant	88	89	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.17	-12	0	-12	15.0	15.7	-0.74	15.8	17.2	-1.36
Lamar Odom	73	77	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.03	-18	6	-24	14.5	17.2	-2.73	15.8	16.6	-0.82
Kwame Brown	42	44	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	0.02	-23	11	-34	15.9	14.3	1.63	16.3	15.6	0.72

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Duncan	77	76	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.05	18	-6	24	16.2	14.8	1.33	15.0	15.1	-0.02
Ime Udoka	48	48	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.18	9	3	6	16.0	15.9	0.09	13.8	16.4	-2.57
Bruce Bowen	42	41	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.11	11	1	10	16.3	15.6	0.71	16.4	14.0	2.43
Tony Parker	72	69	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.00	11	1	10	16.3	14.7	1.55	15.6	13.5	2.09
Michael Finley	59	56	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.04	10	2	8	16.3	15.3	1.00	15.3	14.6	0.71
Manu Ginobili	65	66	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.04	7	5	2	15.7	16.4	-0.67	14.6	16.3	-1.71
Jacque Vaughn	22	23	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.15	1	11	-10	14.7	16.3	-1.55	13.5	15.6	-2.09
Brent Barry	55	53	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.24	-3	15	-18	16.1	15.7	0.34	15.4	14.5	0.92
Robert Horry	13	12	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.08	2	10	-8	13.2	16.3	-3.11	15.0	15.0	-0.05
Fabricio Oberto	17	16	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.10	-6	18	-24	14.8	16.2	-1.33	15.1	15.0	0.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.21,0.24,0.26,0.28,0.36,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.44,0.52,0.6,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.88,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 112, OKC 122	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.5,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.2,0.25,0.37,0.43,0.42,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.63,0.6,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	94.0%
ATL 90, MEM 103	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.3,0.37,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.52,0.56,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.9%
DAL 95, SAS 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.31,0.35,0.44,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.31,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.38,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.56,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.97,0.93,0.97,0.99,1	93.9%