inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 83 Excitement4.8 [858] MVPCarlos Boozer (UTA): +11.9%
Utah Jazz 109 Comeback2.6 [540] LVPManu Ginobili (SAS): -6.8%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tony Parker0.090,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.070.040.031860%0.132-0.046100%0.01
Fabricio Oberto0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.01-0.00283%0.0500.00250%-0.01
Bruce Bowen0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.04-0.010.00383%0.0300.0000%0.00
Robert Horry0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.00362%0.041-0.022100%0.01
Michael Finley0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.01-0.01437%0.0100.0000%0.00
Jacque Vaughn0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.03430%0.0000.00250%0.00
Matt Bonner0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Beno Udrih0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.0400%0.0020.0000%0.00
Francisco Elson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.04-0.00-0.04150%0.022-0.032100%0.01
Brent Barry-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.060.00-0.02736%0.012-0.0500%0.00
Tim Duncan-0.060,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.01970%0.148-0.20580%0.00
Manu Ginobili-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.01-0.020.041247%-0.051-0.02667%-0.03

Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Carlos Boozer0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.120.020.021964%0.151-0.03475%0.01
Derek Fisher0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.020.05-0.02861%0.122-0.042100%0.00
Deron Williams0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.160.020.091967%0.142-0.05887%0.02
Paul Millsap0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.010.04-0.03757%0.111-0.0300%0.00
Jarron Collins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.060.020.01378%0.0700.003100%0.02
Gordan Giricek0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.01-0.00861%0.072-0.042100%0.01
Rafael Araujo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.020100%0.0000.002100%0.00
Ronnie Brewer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.03225%0.0000.0040%0.00
Dee Brown00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Andrei Kirilenko0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.01225%-0.0300.00450%-0.03
Matt Harpring0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.00-0.00653%0.023-0.0530%-0.04
Mehmet Okur0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.0130%-0.031-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.33.635.217.731.03.537.5156.8
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
UTA +15.4%
UTA +6.9%
UTA +19.5%
UTA +9.5%
SAS -1.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASUTANBASASUTANBA
this game16.215.815.493.3119.8104.5
season16.215.9107.5107.4
opponent15.015.4104.998.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS17.316.218.213.516.2
UTA16.215.116.115.815.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Matt Bonner88-0.00-0.500.500.26-9-17813.616.5-2.8315.415.8-0.47
Beno Udrih1011-0.00-0.500.500.26-9-17812.816.6-3.8315.115.9-0.81
Michael Finley3334-0.04-0.460.430.08-4-221816.116.3-0.2315.316.1-0.76
Fabricio Oberto5050-0.05-0.450.39-0.112-283015.616.9-1.2816.115.40.66
Francisco Elson2425-0.14-0.360.210.24-13-13016.216.2-0.0514.916.1-1.22
Bruce Bowen5051-0.24-0.260.03-0.15-3-232017.115.12.0516.315.21.03
Jacque Vaughn3537-0.26-0.24-0.020.44-24-2-2214.717.1-2.4115.316.1-0.81
Tim Duncan4849-0.27-0.23-0.050.08-12-14216.615.70.9216.315.31.00
Brent Barry3637-0.29-0.21-0.080.21-17-9-814.917.1-2.2515.116.3-1.17
Tony Parker6060-0.30-0.20-0.09-0.03-9-17816.815.01.8315.715.9-0.15
Robert Horry3837-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.00-14-12-217.914.92.9516.015.70.29
Manu Ginobili5356-0.500.00-0.510.03-18-8-1016.615.61.0416.315.01.35

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Deron Williams71700.410.090.31-0.151971216.015.20.7716.514.91.60
Gordan Giricek51490.390.110.28-0.11179815.716.0-0.3115.916.5-0.63
Andrei Kirilenko56560.340.160.18-0.16179815.915.70.2416.316.10.23
Jarron Collins19190.300.200.110.07818-1015.715.8-0.1519.415.34.09
Paul Millsap43410.280.220.06-0.191610615.416.1-0.7316.016.3-0.28
Carlos Boozer64620.280.220.06-0.071214-215.815.70.1416.316.10.18
Derek Fisher56560.200.30-0.09-0.181313015.715.9-0.1816.016.5-0.45
Matt Harpring44430.160.34-0.17-0.311610615.316.2-0.8914.817.5-2.64
Mehmet Okur39400.130.37-0.230.05323-2016.715.21.5116.116.3-0.14
Rafael Araujo430.000.50-0.50-0.09323-2015.515.8-0.3216.016.2-0.21
Ronnie Brewer430.000.50-0.50-0.09323-2015.515.8-0.3216.016.2-0.21
Dee Brown430.000.50-0.50-0.09323-2015.515.8-0.3216.016.2-0.21


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.34,0.39,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.44,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.41,0.34,0.31,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.65,0.59,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHA 86, UTA 1050.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.74,0.74,0.84,0.82,0.87,0.95,0.97,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,195.7%
OKC 88, TOR 1000.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.62,0.74,0.88,0.91,0.89,0.92,0.99,0.93,0.97,0.96,1,1,194.8%
BOS 101, WAS 1130.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.29,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.47,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.61,0.7,0.59,0.62,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,194.8%