NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	107		Excitement	11.0 [36]		MVP	Cuttino Mobley (SAC): +27.4%
Sacramento Kings	113		Comeback	3.2 [709]		LVP	Theo Ratliff (POR): -19.5%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ruben Patterson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.01	15	70%	0.18	5	-0.15	3	100%	0.02
Travis Outlaw	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Van Exel	-0.00	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.11,0	0.00	0.01	0.01	25	60%	0.33	7	-0.33	0	0%	0.00
James Thomas	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	14	53%	-0.00	2	-0.08	4	25%	-0.15
Damon Stoudamire	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.03,-0.11	-0.02	-0.15	-0.06	20	50%	0.08	3	-0.20	2	100%	0.04
Derek Anderson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	8	22%	-0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Theo Ratliff	-0.20	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	12	29%	-0.20	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.08

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.06	0.20	-0.01	15	62%	0.34	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Chris Webber	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.07,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.14	0.14	0.00	0.13	0.00	24	57%	0.23	4	-0.10	8	100%	0.08
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.00	7	75%	0.11	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.04	0.00	3	62%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.01	4	100%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	12	55%	-0.01	2	-0.04	5	80%	-0.02
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.05	0.01	13	54%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.06,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.02	0.00	10	30%	-0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	20.8	2.5	28.3	15.8	23.2	2.4	33.5	1.6	16.2	144.2
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	1.9	17.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +19.6%

SAC +15.7%

POR -37.9%

SAC +47.7%

SAC +4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	SAC	NBA	POR	SAC	NBA
this game	17.4	14.2	15.5	105.9	113.0	104.0
season	15.8	14.7		101.2	108.1
opponent	15.6	15.6		106.4	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
POR	17.1	17.9	15.6	17.9	20.2	17.4
SAC	14.9	13.4	13.7	16.4	10.9	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Theo Ratliff	83	80	0.18	-0.68	0.86	0.09	3	-9	12	17.1	18.7	-1.53	14.4	13.6	0.78
James Thomas	23	23	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-2	-2	19.8	16.7	3.13	13.5	14.4	-0.91
Sebastian Telfair	5	6	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.10	-1	-5	4	20.2	17.3	2.94	17.5	14.0	3.49
Travis Outlaw	14	15	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.20	1	-7	8	16.6	17.5	-0.89	15.9	13.9	1.94
Ruben Patterson	88	86	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.14	-3	-3	0	17.4	17.8	-0.42	14.0	15.8	-1.82
Damon Stoudamire	88	87	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.31	-1	-5	4	17.1	19.2	-2.09	14.2	14.4	-0.19
Joel Przybilla	78	78	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.42	-3	-3	0	17.1	18.6	-1.56	14.6	13.0	1.56
Nick Van Exel	91	90	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.28	-11	5	-16	17.5	16.5	1.01	14.2	14.4	-0.20
Derek Anderson	35	35	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.29	-11	5	-16	17.7	17.2	0.47	13.0	14.9	-1.83

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Webber	92	93	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.33	8	-2	10	14.1	15.2	-1.12	17.5	16.0	1.53
Cuttino Mobley	90	92	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.34	5	1	4	14.3	13.9	0.36	17.4	17.6	-0.16
Darius Songaila	29	27	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.14	8	-2	10	15.0	13.9	1.05	17.4	17.4	0.00
Kevin Martin	14	13	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.19	4	2	2	16.2	13.9	2.32	18.0	17.3	0.68
Maurice Evans	34	31	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.27	0	6	-6	14.8	13.9	0.83	17.9	17.2	0.67
Peja Stojakovic	77	79	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.08	5	1	4	13.8	15.8	-2.03	17.2	18.0	-0.76
Mike Bibby	66	68	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	-0.29	5	1	4	14.3	14.1	0.24	17.0	18.2	-1.15
Eddie House	10	10	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.06	-7	13	-20	15.3	14.1	1.20	16.4	17.5	-1.12
Brad Miller	70	72	-0.44	0.94	-1.38	-0.15	-10	16	-26	14.5	13.7	0.79	16.9	18.8	-1.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.29,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.6,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.34,0.44,0.52,0.5,0.66,0.75,0.71,0.9,0.83,0.91,0.72,0.69,0.72,0.59,0.74,0.46,0.31,0.29,0.68,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 89, PHI 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.56,0.52,0.59,0.66,0.74,0.66,0.62,0.81,0.74,0.81,0.88,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.84,0.54,0.45,0.46,0.55,0.73,1	88.6%
MIL 117, GSW 118	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.41,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.32,0.37,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.42,0.51,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.7,0.79,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.61,0.53,0.64,0.66,0.95,0.54,0.53,0.37,0.15,0.73,1	88.4%
NJN 85, HOU 94	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.7,0.64,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.72,0.83,0.8,0.78,0.69,0.63,0.78,0.74,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.78,0.96,1	88.3%