inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 107 Excitement11.3 [30] MVPJoe Smith (MIL): +9.0%
Toronto Raptors 105 Comeback7.7 [87] LVPRafer Alston (TOR): -37.2%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Joe Smith0.090,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.090.030.090.031461%0.212-0.12333%0.05
Zaza Pachulia0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.070.030.040.00480%0.151-0.082100%0.02
Toni Kukoc0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.000.04-0.00844%0.0400.0000%0.00
Dan Gadzuric0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.00-0.00362%0.0100.00250%-0.01
Marcus Fizer0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.00-0.01150%0.0100.002100%0.01
Erick Strickland-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.02-0.00425%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Mo Williams-0.050,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.050.06-0.080.021267%-0.001-0.04956%-0.00
Mike James-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.00540%-0.012-0.0400%0.00
Michael Redd-0.060,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.19,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.26,-0.21,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.06,-0.06-0.170.08-0.022032%-0.051-0.01771%-0.01
Desmond Mason-0.230,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22-0.03-0.180.021650%-0.2200.001479%0.01

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Bosh0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.040.08-0.01659%0.102-0.041090%0.12
Matt Bonner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.00-0.01-0.02844%0.0100.0000%0.00
Lamond Murray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.00440%-0.0200.0020%-0.03
Rafael Araujo0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.010.01540%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Milt Palacio0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.0020%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Jalen Rose0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.22,0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.14,-0.09-0.09-0.100.01-0.001549%0.073-0.161369%-0.05
Morris Peterson0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.11-0.110.02-0.13-0.001062%-0.012-0.11475%-0.00
Eric Williams0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.130.06-0.160.031075%0.113-0.24875%0.01
Donyell Marshall0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.2-0.20-0.00-0.21-0.021550%-0.132-0.0700%0.00
Rafer Alston0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.3,-0.27,-0.37,-0.37-0.37-0.18-0.20-0.011217%-0.3700.00683%0.05
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game26.02.034.016.027.21.647.31.822.0178.1
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.41.917.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL +42.4%
TOR -5.8%
TOR -10.8%
MIL +35.9%
TOR -11.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILTORNBAMILTORNBA
this game15.615.415.5102.9104.0104.0
season16.015.1104.4104.8
opponent15.415.0106.8107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
MIL14.419.015.913.714.715.6
TOR17.712.914.116.317.015.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Zaza Pachulia42401.26-0.762.020.7617-153215.715.50.1415.415.40.06
Desmond Mason92890.75-0.250.990.4211-92015.516.2-0.7315.514.70.76
Mo Williams71680.67-0.170.830.3710-81814.917.1-2.1815.415.5-0.15
Joe Smith78730.490.010.470.403-1415.416.2-0.7315.116.1-1.01
Michael Redd85840.380.120.270.3802-215.715.30.4216.012.53.47
Erick Strickland24230.030.47-0.450.0302-215.515.6-0.1914.015.8-1.83
Toni Kukoc2829-0.040.54-0.570.05-35-815.915.50.3916.115.20.92
Marcus Fizer1213-0.170.67-0.830.10-911-2015.715.60.0714.415.6-1.18
Dan Gadzuric5150-0.270.77-1.04-0.12-57-1216.914.42.5415.615.20.36
Mike James3736-0.601.10-1.70-0.19-1416-3015.315.8-0.4414.915.7-0.73

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Milt Palacio34350.23-0.730.96-0.018-101814.915.7-0.8518.014.43.65
Jalen Rose52550.17-0.670.85-0.2113-152814.416.5-2.0515.715.40.30
Lamond Murray13130.16-0.660.82-0.057-91613.615.7-2.0717.915.32.65
Matt Bonner25250.10-0.600.700.042-4616.015.20.7215.915.50.36
Donyell Marshall7271-0.11-0.390.29-0.6117-193614.318.1-3.7716.114.51.55
Rafael Araujo2225-0.33-0.17-0.170.14-1614-3018.014.73.3614.615.9-1.38
Chris Bosh8386-0.600.10-0.69-0.45-53-815.515.10.4415.615.6-0.01
Morris Peterson7274-0.620.12-0.74-0.36-97-1616.313.32.9515.216.7-1.54
Rafer Alston6769-0.730.23-0.96-0.44-108-1815.714.90.8514.418.0-3.65
Eric Williams6668-0.760.26-1.02-0.23-1816-3415.615.10.4615.116.6-1.45


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.35,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.48,0.59,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.63,0.69,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.59,0.76,0.73,0.88,0.85,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.74,0.8,0.67,0.68,0.63,0.57,0.23,0.46,0.39,0.21,0.22,0.18,0
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 118, GSW 1150.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.48,0.49,0.64,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.75,0.67,0.72,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.83,0.77,0.7,0.76,0.73,0.61,0.78,0.78,0.42,0.54,0.31,0.16,0.22,0.04,089.0%
LAL 125, DET 1190.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.36,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.79,0.8,0.86,0.8,0.87,0.85,0.9,0.81,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.78,0.67,0.78,0.64,0.64,0.57,0.72,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.05,0.17,088.8%
GSW 119, POR 1170.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.72,0.67,0.78,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.61,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.81,0.84,0.93,0.95,0.92,0.81,0.74,0.88,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.67,0.67,0.34,0.69,0.42,0.54,0.45,0.37,0.45,0.31,088.8%