NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	90		Excitement	9.5 [98]		MVP	Richard Hamilton (DET): +25.0%
Detroit Pistons	100		Comeback	16.7 [109]		LVP	Jason Kidd (NJN): -60.2%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.00	19	55%	0.12	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Jabari Smith	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.01	3	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	60%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Buford	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	7	57%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.00	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Jason Collins	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.10	0.02	-0.02	10	27%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.07
Nenad Krstic	-0.17	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17	-0.08	-0.08	0.01	12	43%	-0.11	2	-0.06	6	50%	-0.12
Richard Jefferson	-0.25	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.04,-0.22,-0.22,-0.16,-0.16,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.09	-0.18	-0.03	23	47%	-0.19	3	-0.06	12	92%	0.06
Jason Kidd	-0.60	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.25,-0.39,-0.43,-0.43,-0.6,-0.6,-0.6	-0.19	-0.42	0.00	8	10%	-0.43	2	-0.17	4	50%	-0.03

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Hamilton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.11	0.16	0.02	19	73%	0.36	4	-0.11	13	85%	0.01
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.11	0.16	0.00	9	54%	0.21	6	-0.16	6	100%	0.04
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.01	5	60%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.04,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	4	75%	0.13	2	-0.09	4	75%	0.01
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	14	56%	0.05	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Horace Jenkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	9	44%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Dupree	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.47,-0.47,-0.39,-0.44,-0.43,-0.43	-0.43	-0.16	-0.28	-0.01	13	21%	-0.35	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	28.5	1.7	30.4	17.4	24.5	2.5	34.3	1.8	20.6	161.7
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	1.9	17.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +84.0%

NJN -10.3%

NJN -1.3%

NJN -8.2%

NJN -14.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	DET	NBA	NJN	DET	NBA
this game	16.1	14.7	15.5	87.4	96.2	104.0
season	16.0	16.7		99.2	103.5
opponent	15.9	15.6		98.9	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
NJN	18.5	13.5	15.2	17.8	15.5	16.1
DET	14.3	15.3	14.2	15.0	14.5	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jabari Smith	32	32	0.22	-0.72	0.94	0.01	7	-17	24	12.7	17.6	-4.95	13.9	15.0	-1.09
Jacque Vaughn	12	14	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-9	8	16.5	16.0	0.49	13.1	14.9	-1.84
Travis Best	34	34	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-9	8	14.7	16.7	-2.03	14.8	14.6	0.24
Rodney Buford	30	31	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.07	-10	0	-10	18.1	15.2	2.87	15.2	14.4	0.76
Vince Carter	81	82	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.28	1	-11	12	15.9	16.7	-0.78	14.6	14.9	-0.31
Richard Jefferson	82	81	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.20	-7	-3	-4	16.1	16.1	-0.03	14.7	14.4	0.29
Jason Collins	87	88	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.23	-9	-1	-8	16.5	13.9	2.60	14.7	14.2	0.49
Jason Kidd	70	70	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.26	-11	1	-12	16.0	16.2	-0.26	14.7	14.6	0.02
Nenad Krstic	87	88	-0.73	0.23	-0.95	-0.17	-19	9	-28	16.9	11.4	5.48	14.9	13.6	1.30

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tayshaun Prince	91	89	0.85	-0.35	1.21	0.27	20	-10	30	14.3	17.1	-2.76	16.6	13.0	3.55
Richard Hamilton	87	86	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.19	20	-10	30	14.5	15.4	-0.82	16.6	13.5	3.04
Chauncey Billups	90	89	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.18	17	-7	24	14.5	15.9	-1.38	16.2	15.4	0.82
Rasheed Wallace	83	83	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.24	13	-3	16	14.6	14.8	-0.18	16.1	15.9	0.15
Ben Wallace	78	75	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.25	9	1	8	14.8	14.2	0.63	16.5	15.0	1.42
Antonio McDyess	46	46	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.06	-2	12	-14	14.3	14.9	-0.64	15.9	16.2	-0.24
Horace Jenkins	14	14	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.05	-6	16	-22	14.5	14.7	-0.19	12.6	16.6	-3.96
Ronald Dupree	8	9	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	-0.07	-5	15	-20	18.0	14.4	3.61	14.2	16.2	-2.02
Lindsey Hunter	23	24	-0.49	0.99	-1.47	-0.02	-16	26	-42	16.5	14.1	2.39	13.7	16.8	-3.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.57,0.58,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.28,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.29,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.37,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.22,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.43,0.24,0.22,0.14,0.07,0.23,0.58,0.46,0.39,0.63,0.91,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 108, DET 111	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.22,0.29,0.4,0.45,0.33,0.29,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.21,0.26,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.46,0.25,0.22,0.31,0.26,0.54,0.54,0.79,0.67,0.92,1	88.8%
MEM 98, MIN 108	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.37,0.23,0.25,0.34,0.43,0.29,0.2,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.46,0.55,0.16,0.22,0.58,0.54,0.45,0.55,0.9,0.99,1	88.8%
CHA 102, ORL 107	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.45,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.3,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.3,0.38,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.35,0.3,0.33,0.36,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.24,0.32,0.41,0.4,0.58,0.19,0.28,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.45,0.7,0.89,0.98,1	88.4%