NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	98		Excitement	9.4 [98]		MVP	Al Jefferson (MIN): +56.1%
Minnesota Timberwolves	108		Comeback	7.4 [179]		LVP	Rudy Gay (MEM): -35.2%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Lowry	0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17	0.03	0.13	-0.01	7	64%	0.23	2	-0.05	8	100%	0.06
Hakim Warrick	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	-0.01	0.09	-0.02	12	41%	0.12	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.02
O.J. Mayo	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.35,0.35,0.21,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	17	61%	0.39	3	-0.33	4	50%	-0.02
Quinton Ross	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	5	60%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	12	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Arthur	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.06	0.01	9	40%	0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Marko Jaric	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	4	40%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Rudy Gay	-0.35	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.32,-0.36,-0.35	-0.12	-0.23	0.00	18	43%	-0.19	5	-0.16	8	75%	-0.02

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.32,0.56,0.56,0.56	0.56	0.13	0.45	0.03	25	62%	0.63	3	-0.07	11	55%	-0.12
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.28,0.28,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.09	0.10	0.00	7	77%	0.31	2	-0.12	8	87%	0.06
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.13	0.00	0.03	5	82%	0.09	0	0.00	7	86%	-0.00
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	9	50%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Carney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	5	60%	0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0.1,0,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.08	-0.13	0.02	8	65%	-0.06	1	-0.03	7	100%	0.06
Rashad McCants	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.11	-0.08	-0.02	11	35%	-0.06	3	-0.11	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.2	1.7	29.3	15.7	27.1	2.5	36.5	2.4	19.1	158.4
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	2.0	41.4	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +9.6%

MIN +8.3%

MIN +13.5%

MIN +14.0%

MIN +4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	MIN	NBA	MEM	MIN	NBA
this game	15.6	15.9	15.5	97.0	106.9	106.4
season	16.1	15.8		101.7	104.3
opponent	15.1	15.3		109.2	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MEM	15.9	14.7	17.5	15.4	13.6	15.6
MIN	16.1	18.0	16.0	16.6	10.5	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quinton Ross	41	41	0.28	-0.78	1.05	0.22	2	-12	14	15.5	15.7	-0.20	16.8	15.3	1.52
Marko Jaric	5	4	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.03	2	-12	14	13.8	15.7	-1.88	17.5	15.8	1.66
Hakim Warrick	55	55	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.11	-5	-5	0	14.6	16.8	-2.20	14.9	17.1	-2.18
Mike Conley	34	33	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.05	0	-10	10	16.0	15.4	0.63	17.4	15.2	2.17
Greg Buckner	16	16	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.04	-1	-9	8	17.7	15.2	2.57	15.5	16.0	-0.48
Rudy Gay	87	86	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.18	-8	-2	-6	15.2	17.8	-2.56	16.0	15.6	0.35
Marc Gasol	67	69	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.33	-4	-6	2	17.0	12.8	4.21	16.6	14.5	2.10
Kyle Lowry	67	68	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.16	-10	0	-10	15.4	16.0	-0.63	15.2	17.4	-2.17
O.J. Mayo	76	76	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.22	-11	1	-12	15.5	15.8	-0.34	15.7	16.4	-0.66
Darrell Arthur	57	57	-0.79	0.29	-1.07	-0.35	-15	5	-20	15.2	16.1	-0.94	15.5	16.4	-0.82

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Ollie	45	46	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.20	18	-8	26	15.5	16.2	-0.74	15.3	15.8	-0.43
Ryan Gomes	74	73	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.29	13	-3	16	15.5	17.1	-1.65	15.2	16.7	-1.56
Randy Foye	76	77	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.23	13	-3	16	15.6	16.8	-1.25	15.5	15.7	-0.16
Al Jefferson	90	89	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.22	11	-1	12	15.8	17.0	-1.23	15.5	15.9	-0.38
Kevin Love	60	60	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.24	8	2	6	15.7	16.1	-0.37	15.5	15.7	-0.17
Craig Smith	41	40	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.04	2	8	-6	16.1	15.7	0.37	15.8	15.4	0.40
Brian Cardinal	11	12	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.02	-1	11	-12	17.0	15.8	1.23	15.9	15.5	0.38
Rashad McCants	25	24	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.02	-3	13	-16	16.8	15.6	1.25	15.7	15.5	0.16
Rodney Carney	27	29	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.08	-3	13	-16	17.1	15.5	1.65	16.5	15.2	1.26
Sebastian Telfair	56	55	-0.23	0.73	-0.95	0.01	-8	18	-26	16.2	15.5	0.74	15.8	15.3	0.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.37,0.23,0.25,0.34,0.43,0.29,0.2,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.46,0.55,0.16,0.22,0.58,0.54,0.45,0.55,0.9,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 106, ORL 110	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.55,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.54,0.56,0.48,0.44,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.36,0.33,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.3,0.21,0.3,0.18,0.12,0.19,0.28,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.61,0.45,0.45,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.9,1	89.2%
NJN 90, DET 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.57,0.58,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.28,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.29,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.37,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.22,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.43,0.24,0.22,0.14,0.07,0.23,0.58,0.46,0.39,0.63,0.91,0.99,1	88.8%
CHI 96, UTA 105	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.4,0.51,0.56,0.65,0.63,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.42,0.36,0.41,0.35,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.52,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.37,0.53,0.54,0.47,0.31,0.45,0.33,0.42,0.54,0.54,0.71,0.84,0.97,1	88.6%