inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 105 Excitement4.9 [881] MVPEddie Jones (MIA): +13.9%
Chicago Bulls 81 Comeback1.2 [536] LVPEddy Curry (CHI): -21.6%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Eddie Jones0.140,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.030.031178%0.1400.00580%0.01
Damon Jones0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.040.00-0.02856%0.0600.0000%0.00
Christian Laettner0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.160.010.121382%0.071-0.022100%0.01
Wesley Person0.020,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.030.01-0.031145%0.062-0.0400%0.00
Michael Doleac0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.000.00-0.01350%0.0100.002100%0.01
Udonis Haslem-0.010,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.000.00456%0.021-0.031100%0.01
Shandon Anderson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.00-0.0210%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Keyon Dooling-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.04-0.0120%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Dwyane Wade-0.070,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.140.01-0.061247%0.065-0.12837%-0.04
Shaquille O'Neal-0.090,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.08-0.05-0.041450%0.013-0.09850%-0.02

Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kirk Hinrich0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.070.00-0.011261%0.0800.004100%0.02
Othella Harrington0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.03-0.00-0.01757%0.0400.0000%0.00
Chris Duhon0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.010.011168%0.113-0.0800%0.00
Eric Piatkowski00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Frank Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.030.00-0.03425%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Adrian Griffin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Ben Gordon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.011040%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Antonio Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.05-0.02-0.00425%-0.031-0.0400%0.00
Andres Nocioni0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.08-0.01-0.02826%-0.0700.00333%-0.03
Luol Deng0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.07-0.04-0.011344%-0.003-0.091100%0.00
Tyson Chandler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.08-0.03-0.011232%-0.1000.00425%-0.05
Eddy Curry0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22-0.22-0.15-0.07-0.01621%-0.114-0.11250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.42.324.515.424.62.527.3124.0
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +41.6%
MIA +10.7%
CHI -1.7%
CHI -2.8%
MIA +2.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIACHINBAMIACHINBA
this game16.215.115.5112.989.0104.0
season15.715.1107.9100.1
opponent15.415.598.9101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA15.714.316.818.516.2
CHI14.313.316.716.615.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Eddie Jones67670.64-0.140.77-0.1828-43215.717.3-1.6115.613.81.73
Damon Jones49490.380.120.26-0.121771016.216.10.0915.015.2-0.19
Shaquille O'Neal60600.300.200.11-0.14159615.717.1-1.4515.115.2-0.08
Wesley Person68650.290.210.070.05816-816.216.2-0.0215.414.41.02
Christian Laettner54520.270.230.03-0.291951416.715.51.1514.815.6-0.79
Udonis Haslem42420.230.27-0.03-0.00816-815.716.5-0.8115.115.1-0.03
Michael Doleac30280.200.30-0.110.02618-1217.015.81.1615.814.81.03
Dwyane Wade73690.180.32-0.14-0.09915-616.714.32.4015.115.00.08
Shandon Anderson16170.150.35-0.19-0.141014-414.416.5-2.1113.615.5-1.87
Keyon Dooling66-0.130.63-0.76-0.13024-2419.316.03.3711.715.4-3.69

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Eric Piatkowski660.13-0.630.760.130-242411.715.4-3.6919.316.03.37
Adrian Griffin77-0.01-0.490.48-0.072-262817.714.92.8218.316.02.27
Frank Williams1516-0.01-0.490.480.17-6-181214.915.2-0.2918.815.63.18
Othella Harrington3637-0.12-0.380.270.03-5-191415.714.71.0116.216.2-0.03
Ben Gordon4847-0.22-0.280.050.13-12-12014.415.9-1.4715.417.0-1.53
Tyson Chandler5049-0.23-0.270.030.27-17-7-1015.514.60.9516.615.70.91
Kirk Hinrich7275-0.27-0.23-0.040.11-13-11-215.015.7-0.7316.415.21.26
Antonio Davis3334-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.07-7-171015.315.00.3515.216.7-1.54
Eddy Curry2929-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.03-10-14414.515.4-0.8715.816.4-0.62
Luol Deng6568-0.38-0.12-0.250.12-17-7-1015.115.2-0.1716.615.01.62
Chris Duhon6366-0.39-0.11-0.280.05-15-9-615.115.10.0015.916.8-0.89
Andres Nocioni3131-0.40-0.10-0.300.18-20-4-1615.714.80.9614.716.9-2.21


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.27,0.22,0.25,0.31,0.29,0.26,0.33,0.41,0.46,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.29,0.24,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
NYK 99, WAS 860.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.29,0.2,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.26,0.22,0.24,0.32,0.18,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,095.2%
LAL 106, ORL 970.5,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.36,0.42,0.31,0.43,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.32,0.22,0.15,0.22,0.15,0.19,0.11,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,094.9%
ORL 88, UTA 750.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.17,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,094.5%