NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	106		Excitement	5.3 [752]		MVP	Dwight Howard (LAL): +11.0%
Orlando Magic	97		Comeback	1.1 [1136]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -10.3%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwight Howard	0.11	0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.17	0.01	0.07	13	60%	0.11	0	0.00	39	64%	-0.10
Jodie Meeks	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.04	0.02	7	73%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0.08	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.00	-0.05	12	52%	0.09	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Earl Clark	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.01	0.05	-0.03	5	60%	0.10	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.04	7	62%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Darius Morris	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Sacre	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	9	61%	0.05	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	14	37%	-0.02	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.01	17	49%	0.06	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Kyle O'Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	7	63%	0.09	3	-0.09	5	60%	-0.02
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	37%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Nicholson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeQuan Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.06	8	67%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	6	36%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	9	33%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.03	0.02	18	42%	-0.06	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Jameer Nelson	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.00	0.00	19	51%	0.07	6	-0.16	3	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.5	35.3	16.3	29.6	2.5	32.5	144.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +33.0%

LAL +0.1%

LAL +1.5%

LAL +13.2%

LAL +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	ORL	NBA	LAL	ORL	NBA
this game	14.5	15.5	15.4	110.4	101.0	104.1
season	14.9	15.5		106.0	100.3
opponent	15.3	15.3		107.7	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.9	12.7	15.4	14.2	14.5
ORL	14.8	16.8	15.2	15.2	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwight Howard	76	76	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.03	16	-7	23	14.3	15.3	-1.00	15.9	13.8	2.13
Antawn Jamison	44	43	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.09	10	-1	11	14.4	14.6	-0.15	15.4	15.5	-0.09
Steve Nash	60	62	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.11	9	0	9	15.0	13.7	1.35	15.9	14.8	1.08
Metta World Peace	78	78	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.05	11	-2	13	14.2	15.8	-1.63	15.5	15.6	-0.15
Jodie Meeks	56	56	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.16	7	2	5	14.4	14.6	-0.20	15.2	15.8	-0.62
Earl Clark	42	43	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.15	4	5	-1	14.6	14.5	0.11	15.4	15.5	-0.09
Kobe Bryant	70	73	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.15	0	9	-9	15.2	12.7	2.44	15.2	16.4	-1.24
Steve Blake	50	47	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.20	-4	13	-17	13.8	15.2	-1.40	15.2	15.7	-0.50
Darius Morris	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	13	-17	15.0	14.5	0.50	14.0	15.5	-1.51
Robert Sacre	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	13	-17	15.0	14.5	0.50	14.0	15.5	-1.51

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle O'Quinn	10	11	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.06	0	-9	9	16.7	15.3	1.35	14.0	14.6	-0.58
DeQuan Jones	5	6	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.09	-6	-3	-3	13.8	15.6	-1.78	11.5	14.7	-3.21
Nikola Vucevic	58	59	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.22	3	-12	15	15.6	15.3	0.33	14.9	13.9	0.92
Al Harrington	22	20	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.04	-4	-5	1	15.0	15.6	-0.64	14.2	14.6	-0.39
Andrew Nicholson	5	5	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.07	-8	-1	-7	15.8	15.5	0.33	11.6	14.7	-3.07
E'Twaun Moore	38	37	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.08	-4	-5	1	14.1	16.4	-2.33	15.1	14.2	0.88
Maurice Harkless	52	53	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.06	-6	-3	-3	16.0	14.8	1.20	14.3	14.7	-0.38
Beno Udrih	34	35	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.14	-4	-5	1	14.6	16.0	-1.30	13.9	14.8	-0.89
Tobias Harris	81	80	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.21	-4	-5	1	15.6	14.9	0.74	14.6	13.9	0.69
Jameer Nelson	86	86	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.26	-6	-3	-3	15.7	13.4	2.33	14.7	13.2	1.46
Arron Afflalo	89	88	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.28	-6	-3	-3	15.7	12.4	3.30	14.6	13.2	1.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.36,0.42,0.31,0.43,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.32,0.22,0.15,0.22,0.15,0.19,0.11,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 105, CHI 81	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.27,0.22,0.25,0.31,0.29,0.26,0.33,0.41,0.46,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.29,0.24,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%
DEN 115, OKC 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.33,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.32,0.41,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.25,0.24,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.06,0.08,0.02,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0	94.7%
NYK 99, WAS 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.29,0.2,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.26,0.22,0.24,0.32,0.18,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0	94.2%