inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New York Knicks 99 Excitement4.7 [861] MVPTim Thomas (NYK): +15.2%
Washington Wizards 86 Comeback1.1 [523] LVPKwame Brown (WAS): -10.1%


New York Knicks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tim Thomas0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.160.030.03895%0.1500.00367%-0.00
Allan Houston0.130,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.090.03-0.011861%0.151-0.022100%0.01
Anfernee Hardaway0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.02-0.02844%0.031-0.022100%0.02
Cezary Trybanski0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
DerMarr Johnson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Shandon Anderson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Stephon Marbury-0.030,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.012251%0.044-0.07367%0.00
Nazr Mohammed-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.001154%0.043-0.09650%-0.03
Kurt Thomas-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.07-0.01-0.01633%-0.032-0.0300%0.00
Michael Sweetney-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.08-0.02-0.00450%-0.043-0.05683%0.01

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brendan Haywood0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.000.03-0.00558%0.061-0.03250%-0.01
Gilbert Arenas0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.01-0.01-0.052064%0.167-0.14475%-0.00
Lonny Baxter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.0210%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Juan Dixon0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.10-0.060.061869%0.053-0.0800%0.00
Jarvis Hayes0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.000.00633%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Christian Laettner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.010.00425%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Steve Blake0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.060.00-0.0210%-0.012-0.0200%0.00
Jared Jeffries0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.04-0.030.01542%-0.061-0.02250%-0.01
Etan Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.10-0.02-0.03544%-0.043-0.068100%0.03
Kwame Brown0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.08-0.020.001032%-0.081-0.02250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.22.525.70.625.22.427.5108.1
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NYK +29.2%
NYK +6.7%
NYK +11.3%
NYK +4.9%
WAS -2.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNYKWASNBANYKWASNBA
this game15.916.315.7110.096.6100.5
season15.515.298.696.4
opponent15.315.8102.4100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NYK12.415.216.720.415.9
WAS16.414.818.515.616.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Allan Houston77740.51-0.010.530.0217-42115.219.9-4.6816.316.00.31
Michael Sweetney42400.420.080.340.13103716.415.50.8216.016.4-0.38
Stephon Marbury82810.380.120.260.1485315.817.6-1.8716.514.12.34
Anfernee Hardaway41410.360.140.220.07103715.916.0-0.1315.417.0-1.65
Kurt Thomas40420.280.220.05-0.101301316.615.31.3116.815.71.09
Tim Thomas73730.250.250.000.19211-916.115.10.9916.614.62.07
Nazr Mohammed79770.220.28-0.060.13310-715.717.5-1.8516.216.9-0.76
Shandon Anderson14150.080.42-0.340.02211-916.715.80.9415.816.4-0.55
Cezary Trybanski110.000.50-0.500.00013-1323.015.87.1610.016.3-6.33
DerMarr Johnson110.000.50-0.500.00013-1323.015.87.1610.016.3-6.33

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Lonny Baxter11120.11-0.610.72-0.045-182311.916.9-4.9615.616.0-0.39
Brendan Haywood4140-0.01-0.490.47-0.103-161916.216.3-0.0715.016.7-1.66
Kwame Brown6263-0.13-0.370.23-0.11-1-121116.216.4-0.2715.616.6-1.01
Christian Laettner1413-0.15-0.350.19-0.01-5-8316.216.3-0.0514.916.1-1.17
Steve Blake78-0.19-0.310.120.07-9-4-516.116.3-0.1318.115.72.42
Juan Dixon8383-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.19-4-9516.217.2-0.9715.817.4-1.63
Gilbert Arenas8485-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.16-8-5-316.216.8-0.5715.818.6-2.84
Jarvis Hayes4746-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.03-141-1517.614.82.7416.015.80.25
Jared Jeffries4850-0.49-0.01-0.47-0.02-163-1916.316.20.0716.715.01.66
Etan Thomas4850-0.49-0.01-0.47-0.02-163-1916.316.20.0716.715.01.66


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.29,0.2,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.26,0.22,0.24,0.32,0.18,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
POR 96, LAL 880.5,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.3,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.29,0.25,0.23,0.27,0.15,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,095.5%
MIA 105, CHI 810.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.27,0.22,0.25,0.31,0.29,0.26,0.33,0.41,0.46,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.29,0.24,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.2%
LAC 114, ORL 900.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.32,0.31,0.28,0.26,0.3,0.26,0.32,0.28,0.21,0.19,0.11,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,094.9%