NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	104		Excitement	9.1 [135]		MVP	Grant Hill (ORL): +14.2%
New York Knicks	98		Comeback	7.5 [81]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (NYK): -30.3%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Grant Hill	0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.09,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.04	0.11	0.00	14	66%	0.20	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Cuttino Mobley	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.07,0.09	0.12	-0.02	0.01	21	65%	0.18	2	-0.09	10	80%	0.02
Dwight Howard	0.01	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	6	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
DeShawn Stevenson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Mario Kasun	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.05
Jameer Nelson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	3	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	5	20%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Steve Francis	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,0,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.18,-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	22	50%	0.03	5	-0.17	8	100%	0.16

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Thomas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	-0.03	0.11	-0.04	15	53%	0.21	3	-0.10	4	75%	-0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.13	-0.03	0.00	10	80%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Sweetney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	3	75%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	5	27%	-0.01	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	6	31%	-0.07	1	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.02,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21	-0.21	-0.08	-0.12	0.01	24	46%	0.00	4	-0.21	2	100%	0.01
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.23,-0.3	-0.30	-0.04	-0.26	0.00	21	56%	-0.11	5	-0.19	8	62%	-0.23

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	1.7	25.6	0.3	28.4	1.6	39.2	120.1
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK -27.5%

ORL +50.8%

ORL +1.5%

ORL +27.4%

NYK -2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	NYK	NBA	ORL	NYK	NBA
this game	14.7	14.7	15.5	107.2	99.0	104.0
season	14.3	15.8		102.9	103.9
opponent	15.3	15.5		106.5	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	14.2	13.7	15.9	15.0	14.7
NYK	13.0	15.7	16.1	14.4	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cuttino Mobley	70	71	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.29	13	-7	20	15.3	12.9	2.40	14.9	14.3	0.57
Grant Hill	76	77	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.37	8	-2	10	14.0	16.9	-2.87	15.0	13.8	1.17
Kelvin Cato	66	66	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.41	6	0	6	14.8	14.3	0.59	15.2	13.8	1.41
Hedo Turkoglu	36	36	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.35	8	-2	10	15.9	13.9	2.04	14.7	14.8	-0.10
Steve Francis	82	83	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.22	5	1	4	14.2	16.9	-2.69	14.1	17.9	-3.75
Stacey Augmon	3	5	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.16	3	3	0	1.0	15.1	-14.10	5.0	15.2	-10.24
Jameer Nelson	15	16	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.10	1	5	-4	16.9	14.2	2.69	17.9	14.1	3.75
Mario Kasun	7	8	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.04	4	2	2	14.7	14.7	0.06	14.5	14.7	-0.25
DeShawn Stevenson	19	21	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.04	-7	13	-20	12.3	15.2	-2.91	14.2	14.9	-0.68
Dwight Howard	59	61	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	-0.00	-7	13	-20	14.6	14.7	-0.13	14.7	14.7	-0.02
Tony Battie	52	51	-0.40	0.90	-1.29	-0.28	-4	10	-14	15.2	14.0	1.23	14.8	14.7	0.08

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nazr Mohammed	75	72	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.16	-2	-4	2	14.1	16.8	-2.72	13.9	16.9	-2.99
Anfernee Hardaway	40	38	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.07	2	-8	10	15.1	14.5	0.63	16.2	13.7	2.46
Trevor Ariza	23	23	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.05	1	-7	8	14.7	14.7	-0.10	18.2	13.6	4.61
Michael Sweetney	29	28	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.15	-2	-4	2	16.0	14.2	1.80	15.5	14.3	1.13
Stephon Marbury	85	82	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.23	-3	-3	0	14.5	16.0	-1.48	14.2	17.3	-3.08
Kurt Thomas	71	70	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.14	-7	1	-8	14.5	15.4	-0.88	14.6	14.9	-0.32
Jerome Williams	23	24	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.52	-1	-5	4	16.0	14.3	1.71	16.3	14.1	2.17
Tim Thomas	68	67	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.29	-9	3	-12	14.7	14.7	0.03	13.9	16.3	-2.42
Jamal Crawford	81	81	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.32	-9	3	-12	14.8	14.5	0.28	14.1	17.7	-3.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.56,0.64,0.74,0.61,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.81,0.76,0.61,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.35,0.33,0.39,0.21,0.32,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 108, POR 104	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.77,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.69,0.75,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.52,0.65,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.34,0.25,0.15,0.15,0.37,0	90.7%
NOH 93, PHI 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.41,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.68,0.66,0.75,0.7,0.58,0.65,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.41,0.24,0.17,0.2,0.28,0.43,0.27,0	90.6%
BOS 88, MIN 86	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.8,0.78,0.67,0.58,0.59,0.45,0.41,0.56,0.56,0.66,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.27,0.36,0.46,0.28,0.25,0.29,0.43,0.53,0	90.6%