NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	108		Excitement	8.5 [154]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +28.7%
Portland Trail Blazers	104		Comeback	3.7 [135]		LVP	Rasheed Wallace (POR): -53.8%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0.29	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.29	0.12	0.16	-0.01	18	70%	0.32	2	-0.03	10	100%	0.12
Michael Finley	0.26	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.32,0.32,0.37,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.14	0.13	0.01	23	66%	0.37	2	-0.11	4	100%	0.02
Danny Fortson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.03	0.00	4	100%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Shawn Bradley	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Josh Howard	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	8	28%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Antoine Walker	-0.14	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14	-0.06	-0.08	0.00	12	38%	-0.09	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Antawn Jamison	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.15,-0.15	-0.04	-0.13	-0.02	16	44%	-0.15	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02
Travis Best	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.16,-0.16	-0.06	-0.10	0.00	4	0%	-0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Person	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.08	0.11	-0.03	5	86%	0.22	0	0.00	4	75%	0.03
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.1,0.2,0.07	0.07	0.08	-0.01	-0.00	16	71%	0.19	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Qyntel Woods	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	83%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	1	80%	0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.00	6	79%	0.07	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Vladimir Stepania	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	7	14%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.07	-0.14	-0.01	9	67%	0.08	6	-0.27	9	89%	0.02
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.54	-0.54	-0.14	-0.38	0.02	20	47%	-0.41	5	-0.12	11	73%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	1.0	28.6	15.4	26.8	1.8	33.5	135.1
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +8.8%

POR -7.3%

DAL +9.1%

DAL +42.5%

POR -3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	POR	NBA	DAL	POR	NBA
this game	15.0	16.1	15.7	116.1	113.0	100.5
season	14.6	17.1		109.2	101.5
opponent	15.7	15.6		103.2	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	13.8	14.9	15.1	16.6	15.0
POR	15.0	15.1	17.8	16.9	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Finley	76	75	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.34	11	-7	18	15.0	15.0	0.04	16.3	15.2	1.07
Dirk Nowitzki	77	77	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.36	7	-3	10	15.2	14.1	1.10	16.2	15.6	0.61
Antoine Walker	75	74	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.45	1	3	-2	15.2	14.2	1.00	16.1	16.1	-0.00
Travis Best	38	40	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.11	10	-6	16	15.9	14.4	1.55	17.3	15.2	2.11
Antawn Jamison	65	63	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.34	0	4	-4	14.6	16.1	-1.49	15.5	17.5	-2.06
Josh Howard	53	50	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.33	-4	8	-12	15.1	14.9	0.19	15.3	17.1	-1.82
Shawn Bradley	24	25	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.02	4	0	4	12.5	15.9	-3.47	17.6	15.6	1.99
Danny Fortson	32	31	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	-0.06	-2	6	-8	16.7	14.1	2.57	16.2	16.1	0.13

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff McInnis	34	36	0.27	-0.77	1.03	0.00	9	-13	22	15.7	16.3	-0.59	16.3	14.2	2.08
Qyntel Woods	8	8	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.05	7	-11	18	16.9	16.0	0.84	18.0	14.8	3.25
Vladimir Stepania	20	20	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.03	-4	0	-4	17.9	15.6	2.29	15.4	14.9	0.53
Zach Randolph	72	73	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.22	3	-7	10	15.7	17.6	-1.91	14.6	16.6	-2.00
Wesley Person	43	45	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.37	3	-7	10	15.2	16.9	-1.69	15.3	14.8	0.45
Derek Anderson	54	55	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.18	-5	1	-6	16.6	15.5	1.08	15.0	15.1	-0.03
Dale Davis	44	45	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.10	-9	5	-14	16.0	16.2	-0.21	14.7	15.4	-0.67
Ruben Patterson	63	63	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.40	0	-4	4	15.5	17.4	-1.91	14.6	15.9	-1.28
Rasheed Wallace	69	69	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.36	-8	4	-12	16.6	14.8	1.77	15.7	13.0	2.74
Damon Stoudamire	53	51	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.27	-16	12	-28	16.6	15.4	1.21	13.8	16.5	-2.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.77,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.69,0.75,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.52,0.65,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.34,0.25,0.15,0.15,0.37,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 117, IND 112	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.75,0.86,0.76,0.75,0.72,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.66,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.33,0.38,0.53,0.4,0.47,0.25,0.11,0.09,0.16,0	91.8%
CHI 87, MIA 86	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.71,0.71,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.77,0.7,0.67,0.73,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.43,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.51,0.46,0.26,0.16,0.06,0.42,0	91.7%
NJN 79, BOS 74	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.63,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.34,0.27,0.31,0.36,0.09,0.04,0	91.2%