NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	88		Excitement	8.6 [147]		MVP	Leon Powe (BOS): +52.7%
Minnesota Timberwolves	86		Comeback	4.0 [413]		LVP	Marko Jaric (MIN): -29.7%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Leon Powe	0.53	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.53	0.06	0.46	0.00	10	80%	0.64	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.07	0.07	0.00	8	78%	0.20	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Rajon Rondo	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.09	-0.04	0.14	0.01	12	48%	0.20	3	-0.11	1	0%	-0.02
Glen Davis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	4	37%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Ray Allen	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	16	47%	0.03	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Kendrick Perkins	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	0	50%	0.00	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Brian Scalabrine	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	3	0%	-0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.15,-0.15	0.00	-0.14	0.01	16	47%	-0.12	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.07

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.32	0.32	0.09	0.23	-0.00	10	70%	0.35	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.07	-0.01	8	62%	0.14	0	0.00	5	100%	0.04
Al Jefferson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.07	0.13	-0.00	17	53%	0.22	6	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Rashad McCants	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.00	8	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.03	-0.02	12	32%	-0.04	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.02
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	8	12%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	10	42%	-0.06	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.09	-0.08	0.00	5	30%	-0.07	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.15,-0.3	-0.30	0.01	-0.30	0.01	6	58%	-0.14	1	-0.16	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	3.6	30.2	19.4	29.5	3.6	36.2	148.8
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +54.3%

BOS +8.2%

MIN -19.8%

BOS +13.6%

MIN -6.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	MIN	NBA	BOS	MIN	NBA
this game	15.3	16.5	15.4	97.8	94.5	105.7
season	15.6	15.9		108.0	102.2
opponent	15.0	15.9		109.6	98.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.9	17.5	13.9	15.0	15.3
MIN	16.4	15.2	17.4	17.0	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ray Allen	71	73	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.47	5	-3	8	15.3	15.4	-0.09	16.9	15.1	1.75
Leon Powe	50	51	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.48	3	-1	4	15.6	14.9	0.77	16.3	16.8	-0.55
James Posey	52	53	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.45	1	1	0	15.5	15.0	0.52	15.8	17.5	-1.64
Rajon Rondo	60	60	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.43	-2	4	-6	15.6	14.7	0.85	16.7	16.2	0.44
Paul Pierce	61	62	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.23	2	0	2	15.1	15.8	-0.73	17.5	14.3	3.19
Tony Allen	27	26	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.15	2	0	2	15.5	15.2	0.26	14.7	17.2	-2.50
Eddie House	30	31	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.01	4	-2	6	14.7	15.6	-0.85	16.2	16.7	-0.44
Brian Scalabrine	36	36	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.01	-1	3	-4	14.3	15.9	-1.61	17.2	16.1	1.17
Glen Davis	14	14	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.00	-1	3	-4	15.4	15.3	0.15	15.3	16.7	-1.45
Kendrick Perkins	49	49	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	-0.02	-3	5	-8	15.6	14.9	0.69	16.5	16.5	-0.06

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rashad McCants	37	36	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.08	2	-4	6	15.4	17.3	-1.87	15.8	15.0	0.80
Randy Foye	48	47	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.12	-2	0	-2	16.3	16.7	-0.39	15.4	15.2	0.13
Al Jefferson	70	69	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.28	2	-4	6	16.9	15.2	1.66	15.3	15.3	0.02
Ryan Gomes	50	49	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.03	-7	5	-12	17.2	15.7	1.43	14.5	16.2	-1.69
Craig Smith	62	60	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.49	7	-9	16	16.1	17.4	-1.32	15.9	14.0	1.90
Sebastian Telfair	43	43	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.32	0	-2	2	16.7	16.3	0.39	15.2	15.4	-0.13
Antoine Walker	26	26	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.11	-8	6	-14	16.1	16.7	-0.56	15.3	15.3	0.06
Corey Brewer	57	58	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.41	-1	-1	0	16.5	16.5	-0.02	15.3	15.2	0.13
Marko Jaric	62	62	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.38	-3	1	-4	16.8	15.9	0.96	15.0	16.1	-1.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.8,0.78,0.67,0.58,0.59,0.45,0.41,0.56,0.56,0.66,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.27,0.36,0.46,0.28,0.25,0.29,0.43,0.53,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 99, SEA 95	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.64,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.69,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.38,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.37,0.69,0.42,0	91.4%
LAL 92, DEN 88	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.31,0.34,0.4,0.46,0.28,0.22,0.42,0	90.7%
ORL 104, NYK 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.56,0.64,0.74,0.61,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.81,0.76,0.61,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.35,0.33,0.39,0.21,0.32,0.42,0	90.6%