inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New York Knicks 91 Excitement2.4 [1266] MVPVince Carter (TOR): +13.4%
Toronto Raptors 114 Comeback1.2 [1118] LVPJamal Crawford (NYK): -10.6%


New York Knicks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nazr Mohammed0.040,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.120.000.071469%0.0400.00887%0.00
Michael Sweetney0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Stephon Marbury0.020,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.100.000.081669%0.042-0.024100%0.01
Bruno Sundov0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Vin Baker-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.060.00-0.06325%-0.001-0.002100%-0.00
Jamison Brewer-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.090.00-0.0830%-0.0020.0000%0.00
Jerome Williams-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.00-0.03744%-0.0110.00250%0.00
Kurt Thomas-0.010,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.00-0.02560%0.053-0.0600%0.00
Tim Thomas-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.05-0.00-0.02540%-0.012-0.0200%0.00
Trevor Ariza-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.090.00-0.05932%-0.011-0.02475%-0.00
Anfernee Hardaway-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.011030%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Jamal Crawford-0.110,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.160.00-0.051425%-0.083-0.0300%0.00

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Vince Carter0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.160.000.031379%0.1300.002100%0.00
Matt Bonner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.070.00-0.00967%0.0800.0000%0.00
Lamond Murray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.050.01-0.01490%0.091-0.022100%0.00
Milt Palacio0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.080.010.03975%0.081-0.026100%0.03
Morris Peterson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.020.01-0.06950%0.072-0.0200%0.00
Loren Woods0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.030.000.00560%0.0200.0000%0.00
Rafer Alston0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.04-0.000.02856%0.0200.0000%0.00
Pape Sow0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.03333%0.0010.0000%0.00
Jalen Rose0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.030.000.051452%-0.0200.003100%0.00
Rafael Araujo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.070.00-0.0620%-0.012-0.0000%0.00
Chris Bosh0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.110.00-0.07842%-0.012-0.031050%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.61.826.416.324.81.827.2120.8
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +42.9%
TOR +3.3%
NYK -2.3%
TOR +5.5%
TOR +0.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNYKTORNBANYKTORNBA
this game15.913.815.594.8116.3104.0
season15.815.1103.9104.8
opponent15.415.3106.8106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NYK16.016.615.215.715.9
TOR12.813.413.116.313.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bruno Sundov340.00-0.500.50-0.062-252715.315.9-0.5720.013.66.44
Jamison Brewer2425-0.01-0.490.480.02-1-222116.015.80.2115.713.22.54
Vin Baker1820-0.01-0.490.480.13-5-181314.616.2-1.5716.413.23.30
Tim Thomas4647-0.15-0.350.210.18-11-12113.917.7-3.7514.812.91.85
Michael Sweetney1313-0.20-0.300.110.10-10-13319.215.43.7811.014.3-3.26
Jerome Williams4143-0.22-0.280.060.02-8-15716.715.31.4314.013.70.35
Jamal Crawford5959-0.28-0.22-0.060.19-16-7-915.316.8-1.5513.314.6-1.31
Nazr Mohammed6565-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.06-8-15715.616.5-0.9313.614.3-0.72
Kurt Thomas6060-0.31-0.19-0.120.22-18-5-1315.316.9-1.6513.414.4-1.01
Trevor Ariza4245-0.32-0.18-0.130.01-11-12117.414.72.7013.913.80.12
Anfernee Hardaway4242-0.32-0.18-0.15-0.00-11-12118.114.14.0112.514.8-2.28
Stephon Marbury6767-0.39-0.11-0.290.13-18-5-1315.417.0-1.6013.514.5-0.91

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Matt Bonner42400.350.150.20-0.151761113.913.70.1817.514.72.85
Lamond Murray32320.350.150.20-0.151761112.314.5-2.2019.314.25.14
Morris Peterson48450.320.180.14-0.001112-113.913.70.2217.214.72.43
Milt Palacio59570.300.200.10-0.021112-114.113.50.5616.515.11.40
Chris Bosh72710.250.250.01-0.16149513.714.1-0.3415.317.6-2.26
Loren Woods55540.210.29-0.07-0.081013-313.614.1-0.4714.817.3-2.45
Rafer Alston39390.200.30-0.10-0.151211113.514.1-0.5615.116.5-1.40
Rafael Araujo27270.180.32-0.140.03518-1314.313.60.7017.115.41.71
Jalen Rose50510.180.32-0.14-0.171211113.713.9-0.2214.717.2-2.43
Vince Carter56560.150.35-0.20-0.03617-1113.713.9-0.1814.717.5-2.85
Pape Sow1080.000.50-0.500.00023-2319.013.25.7610.516.4-5.88


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHA 80, MEM 1130.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.5%
MIN 117, DAL 1310.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.3%
PHI 65, BOS 890.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.2%