NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	101		Excitement	8.6 [190]		MVP	Josh Howard (DAL): +12.2%
Dallas Mavericks	103		Comeback	1.6 [913]		LVP	Anfernee Hardaway (NYK): -29.2%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerome Williams	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	3	82%	0.06	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Michael Sweetney	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	5	73%	0.06	1	-0.01	5	100%	0.04
Stephon Marbury	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.01,0.03,0.04	-0.01	0.06	0.00	18	57%	0.13	4	-0.08	6	100%	0.09
Jamal Crawford	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.02	0.06	-0.05	-0.01	21	62%	0.12	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.03	14	57%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Moochie Norris	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tim Thomas	-0.29	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.29	-0.11	-0.19	-0.01	10	20%	-0.27	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Hardaway	-0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.23,-0.29	-0.10	-0.19	0.00	11	29%	-0.26	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.08

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Howard	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.06	0.01	13	73%	0.19	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.01
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.07	0.01	10	50%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Calvin Booth	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	-0.03	2	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.05	0.00	21	60%	0.20	5	-0.16	8	75%	0.00
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06	-0.06	-0.11	0.04	-0.01	18	42%	0.01	2	-0.07	9	78%	-0.07
Devin Harris	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	14	40%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	30%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.4	25.4	16.6	22.5	2.3	41.4	133.8
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +78.3%

NYK -22.4%

NYK -6.6%

DAL +0.6%

DAL +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	DAL	NBA	NYK	DAL	NBA
this game	15.3	14.6	15.5	105.2	106.2	104.0
season	15.8	14.9		103.9	108.2
opponent	15.5	15.3		103.4	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	12.4	16.5	17.2	15.8	15.3
DAL	13.4	17.8	13.5	14.2	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome Williams	46	50	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.08	6	-8	14	15.0	15.5	-0.52	14.6	14.5	0.13
Michael Sweetney	39	39	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.15	7	-9	16	14.5	15.9	-1.40	16.3	13.4	2.97
Moochie Norris	9	9	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.00	-2	0	-2	18.0	15.0	2.99	20.3	14.0	6.37
Tim Thomas	49	51	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.24	4	-6	10	15.8	14.7	1.11	15.1	14.0	1.06
Stephon Marbury	80	80	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.39	7	-9	16	14.8	17.5	-2.65	14.3	15.6	-1.32
Nazr Mohammed	25	25	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.13	-13	11	-24	17.0	14.7	2.31	14.1	14.7	-0.64
Trevor Ariza	18	19	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.09	-7	5	-12	15.2	15.3	-0.09	13.1	14.9	-1.87
Jamal Crawford	89	89	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.45	4	-6	10	14.9	19.9	-4.92	14.1	19.2	-5.12
Kurt Thomas	79	79	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.42	-4	2	-6	15.1	16.1	-0.93	13.9	17.2	-3.27
Anfernee Hardaway	46	44	-0.86	0.36	-1.21	-0.50	-12	10	-22	16.0	14.6	1.36	14.4	14.7	-0.23

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marquis Daniels	78	79	0.74	-0.24	0.99	0.45	10	-8	18	14.2	16.2	-1.99	15.6	13.9	1.71
Shawn Bradley	49	47	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.29	11	-9	20	15.6	13.5	2.05	15.2	15.3	-0.11
Josh Howard	86	83	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.43	4	-2	6	14.5	14.7	-0.19	15.7	12.8	2.83
Jerry Stackhouse	79	79	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.50	1	1	0	14.6	14.4	0.21	15.3	15.1	0.28
Dirk Nowitzki	83	82	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.37	4	-2	6	14.0	17.7	-3.69	15.4	14.9	0.43
Alan Henderson	26	26	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	6	-10	13.3	15.0	-1.76	14.2	15.7	-1.56
Calvin Booth	12	11	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.03	-4	6	-10	17.2	14.2	3.07	15.8	15.2	0.59
Devin Harris	72	73	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	0.11	-12	14	-26	14.9	13.6	1.34	14.8	17.0	-2.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.56,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.63,0.64,0.74,0.78,0.88,0.91,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.67,0.81,0.96,0.79,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 105, LAL 108	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.6,0.64,0.74,0.82,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.83,0.84,0.72,0.81,0.95,0.96,0.92,1	93.0%
LAC 96, MEM 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.58,0.59,0.44,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.7,0.78,0.85,0.95,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.9,0.96,0.93,0.84,0.85,1	92.9%
ATL 99, WAS 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.59,0.69,0.75,0.7,0.76,0.61,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.75,0.66,0.63,0.71,0.8,0.9,0.83,0.76,0.87,0.92,0.85,0.9,0.84,1	92.7%