NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	99		Excitement	7.2 [418]		MVP	Dennis Schroder (ATL): +24.0%
Washington Wizards	103		Comeback	1.9 [849]		LVP	Paul Millsap (ATL): -12.8%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dennis Schroder	0.24	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.24,0.24	0.18	0.07	0.01	18	71%	0.28	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.03	0.00	2	83%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Mike Muscala	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	2	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Taurean Prince	-0.05	0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	11	42%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tim Hardaway Jr.	-0.07	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	18	39%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Dwight Howard	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	3	50%	-0.01	2	-0.06	4	25%	-0.05
Ersan Ilyasova	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	6	17%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.02	12	25%	-0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	-0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13	-0.04	-0.09	0.00	19	48%	-0.07	3	-0.06	6	83%	0.02

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Otto Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.16	0.05	0.00	4	94%	0.21	0	0.00	10	90%	0.04
Bradley Beal	0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.09	0.13	0.02	22	54%	0.19	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.11	0.06	0.00	7	78%	0.17	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
John Wall	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04	0.04	-0.04	0.06	-0.02	20	49%	0.15	4	-0.11	1	100%	0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Jennings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tomas Satoransky	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.01	9	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.03	-0.01	6	31%	0.02	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	9	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.8	36.3	16.7	29.8	2.8	33.9	146.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +37.1%

WAS +23.5%

ATL -16.9%

WAS +8.0%

ATL -1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	WAS	NBA	ATL	WAS	NBA
this game	16.6	14.3	14.8	106.5	109.6	107.7
season	14.4	14.4		104.2	109.9
opponent	14.9	14.9		108.7	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	16.0	16.0	15.6	19.0	16.6
WAS	13.4	15.3	13.8	14.6	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thabo Sefolosha	1	1	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.04	0	-4	4	4.0	16.7	-12.70	0.0	14.4	-14.41
Mike Muscala	31	29	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.05	1	-5	6	17.8	15.9	1.92	14.8	14.0	0.78
Mike Dunleavy	25	24	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.07	0	-4	4	16.4	16.6	-0.16	13.7	14.4	-0.73
Jose Calderon	21	20	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.04	-7	3	-10	17.2	16.4	0.82	14.4	14.2	0.25
Ersan Ilyasova	16	16	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.03	-7	3	-10	18.1	16.2	1.82	13.1	14.5	-1.36
Kent Bazemore	45	46	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.23	1	-5	6	15.7	17.4	-1.73	14.4	14.1	0.22
Dwight Howard	54	56	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.11	-4	0	-4	15.9	17.5	-1.55	14.1	14.4	-0.32
Taurean Prince	61	63	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.26	-3	-1	-2	16.2	17.3	-1.15	14.6	13.6	0.96
Dennis Schroder	71	73	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.46	3	-7	10	16.5	16.6	-0.04	14.4	13.8	0.64
Tim Hardaway Jr.	71	72	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.40	-2	-2	0	16.9	15.3	1.63	14.4	13.8	0.63
Paul Millsap	69	70	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.44	-2	-2	0	16.7	16.1	0.64	14.1	14.8	-0.72

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Markieff Morris	38	39	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.30	10	-6	16	13.4	14.8	-1.36	17.5	15.9	1.55
Bradley Beal	82	81	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.46	2	2	0	14.4	13.6	0.77	16.1	19.3	-3.19
Marcin Gortat	77	76	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.42	0	4	-4	14.3	14.1	0.24	16.4	17.4	-1.04
John Wall	75	75	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.27	3	1	2	14.5	13.2	1.38	16.5	17.0	-0.55
Otto Porter Jr.	62	62	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.26	1	3	-2	14.4	14.0	0.43	16.0	17.6	-1.58
Bojan Bogdanovic	46	46	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.06	6	-2	8	15.1	13.5	1.59	16.6	16.6	0.01
Brandon Jennings	31	31	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.02	3	1	2	14.1	14.3	-0.24	17.5	16.1	1.44
Kelly Oubre Jr.	26	23	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.08	-1	5	-6	13.7	14.5	-0.83	18.3	16.0	2.38
Tomas Satoransky	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	4	-4	0.0	14.4	-14.41	0.0	16.6	-16.56
Jason Smith	32	32	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.05	-4	8	-12	13.8	14.5	-0.62	16.0	16.9	-0.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.59,0.69,0.75,0.7,0.76,0.61,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.75,0.66,0.63,0.71,0.8,0.9,0.83,0.76,0.87,0.92,0.85,0.9,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 99, NOK 104	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.44,0.52,0.46,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.7,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.92,0.89,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.91,0.91,1	92.8%
HOU 91, UTA 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.69,0.63,0.64,0.78,0.69,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.98,1	92.7%
NOP 87, NYK 95	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.33,0.42,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.48,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.76,0.84,0.86,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.95,1	92.7%