NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	96		Excitement	6.9 [433]		MVP	Zach Randolph (MEM): +21.6%
Memphis Grizzlies	102		Comeback	2.2 [421]		LVP	Jamal Crawford (LAC): -11.8%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11	0.02	0.09	0.00	13	49%	0.14	1	-0.03	11	82%	0.03
Matt Barnes	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.05	-0.01	13	58%	0.16	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0.03,-0.01	0.00	0.01	0.02	21	50%	0.06	2	-0.07	14	57%	-0.04
Darren Collison	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	36%	0.00	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Reggie Bullock	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.01	3	45%	-0.03	0	0.00	5	20%	-0.08
Jared Dudley	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	37%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12	-0.01	-0.11	0.00	20	50%	-0.02	3	-0.09	6	67%	-0.02

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0,0.05,0.13,0.22	0.22	0.05	0.15	-0.01	17	55%	0.25	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.08	0.11	-0.00	4	112%	0.21	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.04	-0.01	10	65%	0.14	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	-0.00	8	76%	0.11	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Courtney Lee	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	8	59%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	6	50%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.04	0.02	16	47%	0.05	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	10	41%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nick Calathes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.0	31.5	15.8	25.0	2.5	42.5	141.6
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +62.4%

LAC -8.0%

LAC -14.7%

MEM +4.9%

MEM +5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	MEM	NBA	LAC	MEM	NBA
this game	13.0	16.2	15.1	99.0	102.0	105.2
season	14.3	16.4		111.0	104.5
opponent	15.2	15.4		103.4	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	10.3	13.6	17.5	11.4	13.0
MEM	17.4	14.6	16.8	16.1	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Hollins	12	11	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.00	3	-9	12	10.8	13.3	-2.46	14.3	16.4	-2.17
Willie Green	8	8	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.03	-5	-1	-4	15.0	12.8	2.19	13.2	16.5	-3.21
Chris Paul	79	80	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.31	6	-12	18	12.4	15.5	-3.08	16.5	14.8	1.75
Matt Barnes	72	74	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.25	3	-9	12	12.7	13.8	-1.04	16.3	16.0	0.32
Darren Collison	28	31	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.06	-5	-1	-4	13.2	12.9	0.37	15.5	16.5	-1.04
Jamal Crawford	78	81	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.33	4	-10	14	12.7	14.3	-1.65	16.7	14.3	2.39
Jared Dudley	35	37	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.04	-6	0	-6	13.0	13.0	0.02	15.2	16.8	-1.65
Reggie Bullock	6	6	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.03	-9	3	-12	19.0	12.6	6.41	14.2	16.3	-2.16
DeAndre Jordan	74	77	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.24	-5	-1	-4	13.1	12.7	0.44	16.5	15.2	1.33
Hedo Turkoglu	14	13	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.01	-14	8	-22	16.7	12.4	4.35	14.0	16.5	-2.53
Blake Griffin	79	82	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.39	-2	-4	2	12.9	13.2	-0.29	16.8	13.3	3.50

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Allen	41	38	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.23	14	-8	22	15.2	16.9	-1.70	14.5	12.0	2.48
James Johnson	38	35	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.03	17	-11	28	14.8	17.0	-2.23	14.1	12.3	1.80
Mike Conley	72	72	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.20	9	-3	12	16.1	16.4	-0.32	12.9	13.3	-0.44
Kosta Koufos	27	23	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.14	9	-3	12	15.9	16.3	-0.48	14.8	12.4	2.35
Mike Miller	54	51	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.24	3	3	0	15.7	16.8	-1.08	11.4	14.8	-3.41
Zach Randolph	61	63	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.21	1	5	-4	16.5	15.7	0.75	13.3	12.4	0.94
Courtney Lee	71	69	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.17	-4	10	-14	16.6	15.1	1.54	12.4	14.4	-1.97
Marc Gasol	65	63	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.26	-8	14	-22	16.8	15.0	1.80	12.2	14.5	-2.37
Tayshaun Prince	36	37	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.06	-1	7	-8	17.1	15.7	1.34	14.7	11.9	2.73
Nick Calathes	26	24	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.07	-3	9	-12	16.7	16.0	0.61	13.4	12.8	0.57
Ed Davis	9	10	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.07	-7	13	-20	16.6	16.2	0.39	8.0	13.6	-5.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.58,0.59,0.44,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.7,0.78,0.85,0.95,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.9,0.96,0.93,0.84,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 97, LAL 114	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.73,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.7,0.85,0.85,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.5%
GSW 101, PHX 117	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.5,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.29,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.55,0.64,0.61,0.74,0.68,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.62,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.88,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.97,1,1,1,1	93.3%
CLE 109, DAL 126	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.39,0.38,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.48,0.61,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.69,0.63,0.68,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.1%