inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 105 Excitement10.3 [54] MVPRaef LaFrentz (BOS): +4.5%
Washington Wizards 110 Comeback11.5 [192] LVPPaul Pierce (BOS): -33.1%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Raef LaFrentz0.050,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.06-0.000.01776%0.071-0.02367%-0.00
Kendrick Perkins0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Al Jefferson0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.00-0.00450%0.0100.0000%0.00
Tony Allen0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.010.00267%0.031-0.022100%0.01
Jiri Welsch-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.01-0.010.01560%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Marcus Banks-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.000.00329%-0.0200.0010%-0.01
Walter McCarty-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07-0.03-0.04-0.0020%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Tom Gugliotta-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.07-0.01-0.0030%-0.061-0.0200%0.00
Gary Payton-0.100,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.06-0.05-0.021549%0.043-0.14580%0.00
Mark Blount-0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.03-0.120.00643%-0.141-0.032100%0.01
Ricky Davis-0.210,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21-0.08-0.130.001445%-0.093-0.12367%-0.01
Paul Pierce-0.330,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.03,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.31,-0.33,-0.33-0.05-0.230.052553%-0.263-0.072090%0.15

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jarvis Hayes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.03-0.00954%0.051-0.03887%0.03
Juan Dixon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Anthony Peeler00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Laron Profit00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Larry Hughes0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0-0.00-0.030.030.001462%0.125-0.126100%0.05
Michael Ruffin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.020.0000%0.001-0.0400%0.00
Jared Jeffries0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.02-0.08-0.01962%0.033-0.11683%0.01
Brendan Haywood0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.13-0.04-0.01927%-0.122-0.05450%-0.02
Antawn Jamison0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.2,-0.26,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25-0.25-0.07-0.18-0.012445%-0.211-0.031275%0.02
Gilbert Arenas0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.26,-0.27-0.27-0.12-0.19-0.032544%-0.004-0.277100%0.07
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game24.02.032.015.830.20.234.52.417.4158.4
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.41.917.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +33.8%
BOS -3.0%
WAS +34.6%
BOS -13.0%
BOS -2.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSWASNBABOSWASNBA
this game17.014.715.5104.0110.0104.0
season14.414.7104.7104.7
opponent15.516.0105.5104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
BOS17.218.214.120.813.517.0
WAS13.415.215.915.212.614.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Al Jefferson1213-0.01-0.490.470.02-1-4318.816.72.1113.114.9-1.82
Kendrick Perkins66-0.03-0.470.44-0.030-5519.216.82.3416.314.61.78
Raef LaFrentz4848-0.07-0.430.35-0.01-2-3116.917.0-0.0615.613.81.74
Tony Allen1516-0.11-0.390.280.04-50-519.716.53.2415.314.50.78
Marcus Banks1919-0.15-0.350.200.03-61-717.017.00.0412.915.1-2.11
Tom Gugliotta2121-0.15-0.350.19-0.06-3-2-118.516.61.9614.114.8-0.65
Paul Pierce8280-0.24-0.260.02-0.333-81116.419.6-3.2814.814.00.83
Walter McCarty3029-0.27-0.23-0.05-0.24-1-4316.817.0-0.1914.414.8-0.40
Mark Blount7775-0.31-0.19-0.13-0.23-3-2-117.116.60.5115.113.21.95
Gary Payton8483-0.35-0.15-0.21-0.412-7916.618.6-1.9514.814.20.58
Ricky Davis8280-0.37-0.13-0.25-0.31-2-3116.817.6-0.8114.614.7-0.11
Jiri Welsch2930-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.21-72-916.217.3-1.1213.115.3-2.28

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Antawn Jamison93930.69-0.190.880.3113-82114.813.01.7817.213.93.36
Brendan Haywood61620.68-0.180.860.1518-133115.113.91.2117.516.21.33
Gilbert Arenas88910.61-0.110.730.2911-61714.913.21.7017.016.30.74
Larry Hughes85870.58-0.080.650.348-31114.614.9-0.3216.519.9-3.35
Jared Jeffries65670.55-0.050.600.289-41315.413.32.1116.118.7-2.66
Jarvis Hayes3938-0.040.54-0.570.11-510-1513.315.6-2.3018.316.22.16
Anthony Peeler99-0.070.57-0.630.08-510-1515.914.51.3518.116.91.25
Juan Dixon1211-0.150.65-0.800.08-813-2113.214.9-1.7016.317.1-0.78
Laron Profit1110-0.170.67-0.85-0.06-49-1311.415.1-3.7015.817.1-1.30
Michael Ruffin3737-0.180.68-0.870.17-1217-2914.514.7-0.1916.817.0-0.21


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.76,0.76,0.87,0.88,0.84,0.79,0.74,0.67,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.26,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.21,0.38,0.37,0.26,0.47,0.54,0.69,0.72,0.76,0.72,0.54,0.45,0.63,0.77,0.99,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 110, CHI 1140.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.76,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.6,0.53,0.45,0.39,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.21,0.2,0.21,0.26,0.3,0.32,0.42,0.42,0.3,0.19,0.39,0.47,0.46,0.68,0.15,0.54,0.45,0.63,0.68,0.85,186.6%
DEN 105, IND 1090.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.78,0.53,0.64,0.45,0.53,0.46,0.55,0.79,0.77,0.74,186.6%
DAL 104, LAL 1080.5,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.63,0.71,0.76,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.54,0.57,0.4,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.38,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.37,0.21,0.46,0.61,0.68,0.54,0.57,0.82,0.54,0.81,0.72,0.97,0.92,185.7%