NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	88		Excitement	7.2 [405]		MVP	Darius Miles (POR): +22.3%
Boston Celtics	90		Comeback	1.8 [779]		LVP	Zach Randolph (POR): -39.4%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darius Miles	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.16,0.25,0.36,0.22	0.06	0.16	-0.00	13	68%	0.28	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.05
Ruben Patterson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.00	0.06	-0.01	6	67%	0.15	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.00
Sebastian Telfair	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	4	60%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	8	57%	0.01	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.02
Derek Anderson	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	6	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nick Van Exel	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	6	29%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Damon Stoudamire	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	11	25%	-0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Zach Randolph	-0.39	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.26,-0.39	-0.04	-0.33	0.02	18	50%	-0.33	2	-0.06	8	75%	-0.15

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.27,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.08	0.14	0.01	11	69%	0.23	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.05
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.13	0.13	-0.01	0.15	0.01	13	57%	0.31	2	-0.17	9	67%	-0.01
Mark Blount	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.05	-0.01	7	61%	0.09	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.03	-0.00	11	62%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Banks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.13	-0.03	-0.06	11	25%	-0.06	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jiri Welsch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.02	5	33%	-0.03	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.3	28.5	15.7	30.2	2.5	31.9	136.2
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +58.4%

POR -3.3%

BOS +6.2%

POR -15.3%

BOS +4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	BOS	NBA	POR	BOS	NBA
this game	17.6	15.3	15.5	100.0	103.4	104.0
season	15.8	14.4		101.2	104.7
opponent	16.0	15.6		104.1	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	18.1	17.3	17.4	17.5	17.6
BOS	13.8	14.0	14.7	19.5	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damon Stoudamire	74	75	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.31	7	-9	16	17.9	15.6	2.37	15.5	14.4	1.06
Darius Miles	48	46	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.47	10	-12	22	16.2	19.2	-3.04	16.4	14.1	2.29
Sebastian Telfair	8	8	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.05	-8	6	-14	17.9	17.5	0.34	15.4	15.3	0.05
Derek Anderson	41	41	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.02	-8	6	-14	18.5	16.8	1.68	13.7	16.8	-3.08
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	54	53	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.05	-7	5	-12	17.5	17.6	-0.13	14.3	17.0	-2.69
Nick Van Exel	51	49	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.45	6	-8	14	16.9	18.5	-1.58	16.4	14.0	2.41
Ruben Patterson	43	43	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.38	1	-3	4	16.9	18.2	-1.34	16.1	14.6	1.46
Theo Ratliff	55	53	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.23	-7	5	-12	17.6	17.5	0.13	14.2	17.0	-2.78
Zach Randolph	66	67	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.39	-4	2	-6	18.5	14.7	3.79	15.9	13.5	2.32

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Blount	48	50	0.78	-0.28	1.05	0.51	9	-7	16	15.0	15.7	-0.65	18.3	16.6	1.69
Raef LaFrentz	53	53	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.41	8	-6	14	16.2	14.0	2.14	18.1	16.8	1.28
Paul Pierce	72	73	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.58	-1	3	-4	15.5	14.4	1.13	17.3	18.9	-1.57
Gary Payton	68	68	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.52	1	1	0	16.0	13.1	2.85	17.9	16.5	1.38
Ricky Davis	61	61	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.54	0	2	-2	15.9	14.0	1.96	17.8	17.0	0.77
Al Jefferson	28	27	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.04	2	0	2	13.7	16.1	-2.39	16.3	18.1	-1.83
Jiri Welsch	26	27	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.10	2	0	2	14.0	15.9	-1.96	17.0	17.8	-0.77
Marcus Banks	19	20	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.08	1	1	0	13.1	16.0	-2.85	16.5	17.9	-1.38
Tony Allen	15	15	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	-0.14	3	-1	4	14.4	15.5	-1.13	18.9	17.3	1.57
Tom Gugliotta	33	33	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.00	-4	6	-10	14.5	15.9	-1.42	17.6	17.5	0.06
Walter McCarty	12	13	-0.41	0.91	-1.32	-0.09	-11	13	-24	19.0	14.7	4.25	15.2	18.0	-2.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.78,0.77,0.83,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.78,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.53,0.62,0.57,0.66,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 95, IND 96	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.69,0.77,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.83,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.4,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.85,1	92.1%
BKN 104, POR 112	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.89,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.8,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.41,0.35,0.34,0.55,0.63,0.57,0.91,1	91.7%
PHX 93, POR 98	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.74,0.8,0.86,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.88,0.86,0.82,0.8,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.8,0.84,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.71,0.58,0.68,0.64,0.41,0.53,0.47,0.72,0.9,0.98,1	91.6%