NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	93		Excitement	6.8 [410]		MVP	Isaiah Rider (POR): +18.7%
Portland Trail Blazers	98		Comeback	1.5 [597]		LVP	Rasheed Wallace (POR): -24.7%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Kidd	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.03,0.09	0.06	0.03	0.01	18	62%	0.15	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Danny Manning	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.02	8	71%	0.12	3	-0.07	5	60%	-0.02
Antonio McDyess	0.02	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0.02,0.02	-0.07	0.07	-0.03	8	50%	0.06	3	-0.04	6	83%	0.02
Mark Bryant	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hot Rod Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	3	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Rex Chapman	-0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.04	0.01	15	42%	0.02	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.03
Steve Nash	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Scott	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	9	39%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	12	38%	-0.13	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.02

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Rider	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19	0.19	0.06	0.10	-0.02	22	61%	0.25	3	-0.07	10	90%	0.07
Walt Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.04	-0.01	12	67%	0.13	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	0.00	11	46%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.05
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	4	67%	0.01	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	6	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	4	75%	0.10	3	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Brian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	6	53%	0.04	2	-0.10	5	100%	0.06
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.22,-0.24,-0.25	-0.25	-0.17	-0.10	-0.02	11	35%	-0.08	5	-0.17	4	75%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.7	22.0	15.5	26.2	1.8	42.3	134.3
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +15.8%

POR +32.9%

POR +23.2%

PHX -22.5%

POR +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	POR	NBA	PHX	POR	NBA
this game	13.8	14.9	15.6	93.0	97.0	102.5
season	15.0	15.9		105.3	101.9
opponent	15.4	15.9		100.6	100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.1	16.1	14.3	11.0	13.8
POR	12.1	15.9	16.3	15.6	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Manning	45	48	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.13	2	-7	9	14.2	13.4	0.82	15.5	14.3	1.18
Clifford Robinson	66	68	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.18	2	-7	9	13.2	14.8	-1.58	14.7	15.3	-0.60
Kevin Johnson	15	15	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.04	-6	1	-7	13.9	13.7	0.22	13.7	15.1	-1.37
Mark Bryant	22	23	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.05	-4	-1	-3	16.1	13.1	3.00	15.9	14.6	1.31
Steve Nash	35	34	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.05	-9	4	-13	13.3	14.0	-0.67	14.1	15.3	-1.18
Rex Chapman	74	76	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.40	3	-8	11	13.7	13.8	-0.08	14.9	14.9	-0.03
Hot Rod Williams	51	48	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.19	-5	0	-5	14.1	13.4	0.71	15.1	14.8	0.31
Dennis Scott	70	71	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.31	-2	-3	1	13.4	14.5	-1.12	14.8	15.1	-0.33
Jason Kidd	80	80	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.34	-1	-4	3	13.7	13.8	-0.06	15.0	14.5	0.54
Antonio McDyess	42	42	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.25	-5	0	-5	13.4	14.0	-0.64	14.8	15.0	-0.20

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasheed Wallace	87	85	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.35	6	-1	7	15.2	12.9	2.29	14.1	11.8	2.29
Arvydas Sabonis	63	67	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.29	7	-2	9	14.4	15.8	-1.42	14.2	12.8	1.48
Isaiah Rider	88	88	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.36	2	3	-1	14.5	17.6	-3.12	13.1	18.4	-5.30
Brian Grant	53	54	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.27	3	2	1	15.9	13.8	2.15	12.8	14.8	-1.99
Damon Stoudamire	24	25	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.13	13	-8	21	14.5	15.0	-0.58	16.8	12.7	4.01
Rick Brunson	78	76	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.48	-8	13	-21	15.1	14.4	0.66	13.0	16.2	-3.23
Stacey Augmon	40	39	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.13	1	4	-3	12.5	16.5	-3.98	14.2	13.5	0.66
Kelvin Cato	15	12	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.03	2	3	-1	16.3	14.7	1.68	17.0	13.3	3.69
Walt Williams	57	54	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.04	-1	6	-7	16.0	13.5	2.44	13.2	14.3	-1.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.74,0.8,0.86,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.88,0.86,0.82,0.8,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.8,0.84,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.71,0.58,0.68,0.64,0.41,0.53,0.47,0.72,0.9,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 101, ATL 102	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.84,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.72,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.72,0.84,0.92,1	93.5%
CHA 87, MIA 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.79,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.79,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.86,0.85,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.91,0.87,0.86,0.79,0.78,0.89,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.64,0.71,0.53,0.55,0.64,0.77,0.99,1	92.4%
BOS 102, ORL 104	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.72,0.69,0.77,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.76,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.91,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.82,0.81,0.87,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.67,0.77,0.79,0.47,0.67,0.62,0.89,0.77,0.95,1	92.4%