NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	104		Excitement	6.9 [447]		MVP	CJ McCollum (POR): +48.4%
Portland Trail Blazers	112		Comeback	2.6 [735]		LVP	Thaddeus Young (BKN): -13.0%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brook Lopez	0.29	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.31,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.29	0.19	0.12	0.02	24	68%	0.39	3	-0.10	5	80%	-0.02
Joe Johnson	0.15	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.15	0.02	0.13	0.00	13	63%	0.22	4	-0.08	4	100%	0.04
Donald Sloan	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07	0.06	0.03	0.02	10	58%	0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Markel Brown	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	6	58%	0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Willie Reed	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	7	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shane Larkin	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.01	-0.08	-0.00	5	58%	0.01	1	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Thomas Robinson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	4	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	7	31%	-0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Thaddeus Young	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.08	-0.02	11	33%	-0.09	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ McCollum	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.48,0.48	0.48	0.23	0.27	0.01	20	79%	0.61	3	-0.12	3	100%	0.01
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.08,-0.07,0.04,0.12,0.04,0.13,0.15	0.15	0.14	0.04	0.03	18	68%	0.32	4	-0.18	14	100%	0.06
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.02	8	56%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Meyers Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Noah Vonleh	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	8	56%	0.07	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.04	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Allen Crabbe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	5	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.01	3	40%	0.02	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Maurice Harkless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	6	33%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.3	25.6	15.4	26.3	1.8	34.2	127.9
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +58.6%

BKN -2.9%

POR +1.0%

BKN -14.2%

POR +7.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	POR	NBA	BKN	POR	NBA
this game	14.3	14.5	14.9	104.0	112.0	105.1
season	15.0	15.0		101.9	107.1
opponent	14.6	14.8		106.7	109.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	15.3	15.1	13.0	13.8	14.3
POR	13.0	14.2	15.3	15.6	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bojan Bogdanovic	46	45	0.20	-0.70	0.90	-0.03	8	-16	24	14.1	14.4	-0.34	14.7	14.3	0.37
Thomas Robinson	25	25	0.03	-0.53	0.55	0.06	-1	-7	6	15.4	13.9	1.48	13.4	14.9	-1.53
Willie Reed	15	14	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-6	4	15.9	14.0	1.85	15.2	14.4	0.82
Shane Larkin	30	30	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	-5	2	15.2	13.9	1.25	14.2	14.6	-0.40
Wayne Ellington	38	40	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.07	-2	-6	4	14.8	14.0	0.76	14.3	14.6	-0.31
Donald Sloan	70	70	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.22	-5	-3	-2	13.9	15.2	-1.25	14.6	14.2	0.40
Brook Lopez	84	86	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.31	-4	-4	0	14.2	14.9	-0.70	14.4	15.2	-0.82
Joe Johnson	71	70	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.25	-8	0	-8	13.9	15.1	-1.19	14.5	14.5	-0.03
Thaddeus Young	75	75	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.32	-7	-1	-6	13.9	15.4	-1.48	14.9	13.4	1.53
Markel Brown	46	45	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.15	-16	8	-24	14.3	14.3	0.03	14.5	14.5	-0.04

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al-Farouq Aminu	60	59	0.91	-0.41	1.33	0.30	21	-13	34	14.7	14.1	0.60	14.2	14.4	-0.25
Mason Plumlee	57	54	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.35	16	-8	24	14.8	14.1	0.73	14.4	14.2	0.26
Damian Lillard	76	75	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.32	12	-4	16	14.4	14.8	-0.37	14.5	13.5	1.03
Allen Crabbe	50	52	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.30	8	0	8	14.8	14.2	0.54	14.3	14.3	-0.00
CJ McCollum	79	78	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.27	6	2	4	15.0	12.7	2.33	13.8	16.0	-2.13
Noah Vonleh	28	27	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.08	-2	10	-12	15.4	14.2	1.18	14.3	14.3	-0.04
Meyers Leonard	25	27	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.11	4	4	0	12.9	15.1	-2.17	14.5	14.2	0.26
Maurice Harkless	37	37	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.04	-4	12	-16	13.9	14.9	-0.94	14.0	14.4	-0.42
Ed Davis	43	45	-0.36	0.86	-1.21	-0.06	-10	18	-28	14.1	14.8	-0.73	14.5	14.1	0.32
Gerald Henderson	45	46	-0.38	0.88	-1.26	-0.06	-11	19	-30	14.0	14.9	-0.85	14.6	14.0	0.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.89,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.8,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.41,0.35,0.34,0.55,0.63,0.57,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 95, IND 96	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.69,0.77,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.83,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.4,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.85,1	93.2%
ATL 92, CHI 96	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.67,0.72,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.79,0.82,0.81,0.81,0.83,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.82,0.83,0.89,0.89,0.78,0.73,0.77,0.71,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.51,0.62,0.58,0.41,0.35,0.27,0.38,0.46,0.55,0.91,1	92.8%
POR 88, BOS 90	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.78,0.77,0.83,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.78,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.53,0.62,0.57,0.66,0.73,1	91.7%