NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	97		Excitement	9.3 [114]		MVP	Vince Carter (TOR): +39.8%
Toronto Raptors	101		Comeback	4.9 [352]		LVP	Nick Van Exel (POR): -32.6%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach Randolph	0.15	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15	0.05	0.11	0.01	21	62%	0.25	3	-0.10	11	82%	-0.04
Ruben Patterson	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.03	0.08	0.00	5	60%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0.00	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	13	50%	0.08	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Richie Frahm	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.03	0.01	13	57%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Derek Anderson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	7	59%	0.05	4	-0.16	3	100%	0.03
Darius Miles	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	7	39%	-0.03	3	-0.10	4	25%	-0.04
Theo Ratliff	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.18	-0.04	-0.14	-0.01	4	33%	-0.18	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Nick Van Exel	-0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.19,-0.19,-0.33	-0.07	-0.28	-0.02	11	36%	-0.25	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.03,0.4	0.40	0.12	0.28	0.00	16	69%	0.56	1	-0.16	4	100%	0.07
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.12	0.11	0.01	9	80%	0.22	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	6	58%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	62%	0.05	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.05	-0.00	14	53%	0.02	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	16	48%	0.05	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	7	47%	-0.05	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Loren Woods	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chris Bosh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.15	-0.04	-0.01	9	18%	-0.14	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	2.6	28.4	17.4	24.6	2.5	41.4	139.8
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +49.8%

TOR +7.5%

POR -29.8%

TOR +23.4%

POR -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	TOR	NBA	POR	TOR	NBA
this game	16.5	14.1	15.5	103.2	107.4	104.0
season	15.8	15.1		101.2	104.8
opponent	15.4	15.6		106.8	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.9	16.1	17.0	17.1	16.5
TOR	14.7	13.4	13.8	14.8	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ruben Patterson	34	36	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.29	-7	3	-10	17.5	15.9	1.55	15.2	13.5	1.68
Darius Miles	38	38	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.12	-6	2	-8	16.8	16.3	0.47	13.8	14.4	-0.57
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	59	59	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.07	-2	-2	0	16.1	17.3	-1.19	14.2	14.0	0.16
Zach Randolph	79	79	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.44	8	-12	20	16.4	16.9	-0.42	14.1	14.1	-0.01
Nick Van Exel	48	48	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.31	-4	0	-4	17.1	15.9	1.17	13.6	14.6	-0.98
Derek Anderson	72	72	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.54	2	-6	8	16.4	16.9	-0.46	13.8	15.1	-1.26
Theo Ratliff	63	62	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.45	-4	0	-4	16.5	16.5	0.04	14.3	13.8	0.53
Damon Stoudamire	77	76	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.46	-9	5	-14	16.1	18.5	-2.39	14.2	13.8	0.36

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Bosh	66	66	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.46	7	-3	10	13.8	14.8	-0.94	16.1	17.4	-1.31
Rafer Alston	68	68	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.50	2	2	0	13.8	14.9	-1.10	16.5	16.5	0.07
Donyell Marshall	65	63	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.31	7	-3	10	14.2	13.9	0.33	17.0	15.5	1.53
Jalen Rose	62	62	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.51	-2	6	-8	14.0	14.4	-0.42	16.4	16.8	-0.41
Vince Carter	62	62	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.51	-2	6	-8	14.0	14.4	-0.42	16.4	16.8	-0.41
Morris Peterson	33	34	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.12	7	-3	10	14.0	14.2	-0.24	15.9	16.9	-0.98
Lamond Murray	31	31	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.14	6	-2	8	14.9	13.8	1.11	16.7	16.4	0.25
Milt Palacio	27	27	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.10	2	2	0	14.4	14.0	0.34	16.6	16.5	0.11
Loren Woods	28	29	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.07	-4	8	-12	14.4	14.0	0.38	16.4	16.5	-0.09
Matt Bonner	28	28	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	-0.08	-3	7	-10	14.8	13.8	0.94	17.4	16.1	1.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.71,0.78,0.82,0.67,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.69,0.73,0.81,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.69,0.77,0.83,0.66,0.66,0.57,0.47,0.37,0.31,0.35,0.27,0.47,0.36,0.55,0.27,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 91, SAC 92	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.68,0.62,0.59,0.67,0.56,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.29,0.27,0.32,0.37,0.45,0.26,1	91.1%
CHI 78, PHI 79	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.41,0.4,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.71,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.8,0.76,0.75,0.85,0.72,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.5,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.33,0.53,0.36,0.22,0.09,1	90.0%
CHA 92, PHI 95	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.55,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.77,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.71,0.65,0.78,0.77,0.81,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.31,0.46,0.33,0.38,0.54,0.67,0.73,1	90.0%