NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	78		Excitement	8.6 [141]		MVP	Andre Iguodala (PHI): +79.3%
Philadelphia 76ers	79		Comeback	9.6 [128]		LVP	CJ Watson (CHI): -35.0%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Taj Gibson	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.02	0.11	0.00	10	52%	0.16	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.06
John Lucas III	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	-0.00	5	70%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	6	53%	0.08	2	-0.08	7	57%	-0.18
Ronnie Brewer	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.03	-0.06	0.01	16	54%	0.06	2	-0.09	3	100%	0.02
Richard Hamilton	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.01,-0.05,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.05	-0.15	-0.02	20	46%	-0.08	3	-0.11	1	100%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	-0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.18	-0.04	-0.01	11	13%	-0.12	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
CJ Watson	-0.35	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.35	-0.08	-0.27	0.00	11	25%	-0.35	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Iguodala	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.79	0.79	0.14	0.65	-0.00	12	71%	0.79	0	0.00	4	100%	0.20
Jodie Meeks	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	11	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.02	-0.01	10	40%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	8	50%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.04	-0.09	0.02	11	52%	-0.07	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Louis Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	12	45%	-0.00	3	-0.08	7	57%	-0.03
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	0.00	9	25%	-0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	2.8	41.2	16.0	29.0	2.8	40.5	156.0
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +34.5%

PHI +43.8%

CHI -63.6%

PHI +29.2%

PHI +6.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	PHI	NBA	CHI	PHI	NBA
this game	17.8	16.7	15.6	91.8	96.3	102.8
season	16.0	15.6		104.7	101.0
opponent	16.1	15.9		97.6	97.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	19.2	18.4	14.2	20.2	17.8
PHI	16.8	13.5	16.4	20.9	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Hamilton	65	63	0.42	-0.92	1.34	0.15	9	-10	19	17.9	17.6	0.28	17.6	13.4	4.21
John Lucas III	18	16	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.05	3	-4	7	17.4	17.9	-0.54	13.1	17.5	-4.39
Jimmy Butler	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-1	1	2.0	18.0	-16.00	24.0	16.6	7.43
Kyle Korver	11	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-1	1	18.3	17.7	0.53	11.0	17.4	-6.44
Carlos Boozer	50	50	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.00	-7	6	-13	17.7	18.0	-0.32	15.0	19.2	-4.25
Omer Asik	68	65	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.51	8	-9	17	18.2	16.4	1.75	17.9	12.0	5.88
Luol Deng	73	72	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.43	1	-2	3	17.7	18.2	-0.51	17.4	11.0	6.44
Taj Gibson	51	49	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.43	-3	2	-5	17.8	17.9	-0.07	16.7	16.5	0.19
CJ Watson	67	65	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.42	-4	3	-7	17.9	17.4	0.54	17.4	13.8	3.65
Ronnie Brewer	21	19	-1.01	0.51	-1.53	-0.66	-12	11	-23	17.6	17.9	-0.26	13.4	17.6	-4.21

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jrue Holiday	69	72	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.51	7	-6	13	17.0	15.0	1.97	17.7	18.5	-0.86
Louis Williams	46	48	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.39	5	-4	9	15.2	18.5	-3.33	18.1	17.4	0.67
Andre Iguodala	72	74	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.47	1	0	1	17.4	11.0	6.44	17.7	18.3	-0.53
Thaddeus Young	51	52	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.40	2	-1	3	16.2	17.5	-1.28	18.1	17.3	0.83
Spencer Hawes	55	55	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.51	-4	5	-9	17.3	15.4	1.81	17.3	18.8	-1.53
Jodie Meeks	10	13	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.17	0	1	-1	11.0	17.4	-6.44	15.8	18.2	-2.41
Elton Brand	58	61	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.14	4	-3	7	16.5	17.0	-0.48	18.5	16.0	2.58
Evan Turner	49	50	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.04	-10	11	-21	17.6	15.3	2.32	17.7	17.9	-0.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.41,0.4,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.71,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.8,0.76,0.75,0.85,0.72,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.5,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.33,0.53,0.36,0.22,0.09,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 91, SAC 92	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.68,0.62,0.59,0.67,0.56,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.29,0.27,0.32,0.37,0.45,0.26,1	91.7%
TOR 90, DET 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.65,0.74,0.82,0.76,0.84,0.82,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.66,0.52,0.43,0.37,0.42,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.19,0.28,0.45,0.26,1	90.2%
POR 97, TOR 101	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.71,0.78,0.82,0.67,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.69,0.73,0.81,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.69,0.77,0.83,0.66,0.66,0.57,0.47,0.37,0.31,0.35,0.27,0.47,0.36,0.55,0.27,1	90.0%