inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 89 Excitement6.2 [605] MVPRafer Alston (TOR): +11.3%
Toronto Raptors 101 Comeback2.3 [800] LVPVince Carter (TOR): -21.0%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Elden Campbell0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Darvin Ham0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Chauncey Billups-0.000,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,00.03-0.04-0.011760%0.063-0.07667%-0.02
Carlos Delfino-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.00-0.01125%-0.0100.00250%0.00
Ben Wallace-0.020,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.050.01-0.021045%0.032-0.0520%-0.02
Lindsey Hunter-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.00237%-0.031-0.03475%0.00
Antonio McDyess-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.08-0.020.00420%-0.081-0.0220%-0.03
Richard Hamilton-0.110,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.04-0.050.032447%-0.072-0.05367%-0.01
Rasheed Wallace-0.130,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.10-0.05-0.021042%-0.023-0.10450%-0.03
Tayshaun Prince-0.160,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.09-0.070.001638%-0.082-0.08250%0.00

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rafer Alston0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.070.03-0.021159%0.1100.0000%0.00
Loren Woods0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.05,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.080.030.031268%0.141-0.061100%0.00
Morris Peterson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.040.03-0.00473%0.0700.00771%-0.00
Matt Bonner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.002100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Milt Palacio0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.01750%0.021-0.03475%0.00
Chris Bosh0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.060.03-0.031747%0.053-0.06450%-0.02
Lamond Murray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.00837%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Jalen Rose0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.06-0.03-0.02-0.00869%0.045-0.1000%0.00
Donyell Marshall0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.0130%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Vince Carter0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21-0.21-0.11-0.040.061635%-0.172-0.04250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.71.832.315.723.02.632.5131.5
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +35.3%
TOR +7.6%
TOR +1.1%
TOR +6.0%
DET -0.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETTORNBADETTORNBA
this game16.614.715.598.9107.4104.0
season16.715.1103.5104.8
opponent15.415.9106.898.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET14.717.718.416.016.6
TOR13.513.016.016.814.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Carlos Delfino1012-0.05-0.450.41-0.050-121214.716.8-2.1514.214.8-0.65
Elden Campbell67-0.13-0.370.250.08-7-5-217.016.60.4213.714.8-1.10
Darvin Ham2325-0.19-0.310.120.08-9-3-615.317.1-1.8114.814.70.09
Tayshaun Prince7276-0.20-0.300.09-0.200-121216.417.5-1.1114.715.1-0.40
Rasheed Wallace5354-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.09-6-6016.716.50.1715.214.11.06
Chauncey Billups7175-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.11-6-6016.816.00.7714.216.7-2.51
Ben Wallace7780-0.29-0.21-0.09-0.18-4-8416.815.51.2514.615.5-0.90
Antonio McDyess4042-0.32-0.18-0.13-0.08-8-4-416.916.40.5214.215.1-0.90
Lindsey Hunter2122-0.35-0.15-0.19-0.05-10-2-816.216.7-0.5515.114.60.53
Richard Hamilton7777-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.13-10-2-817.014.22.8715.411.53.91

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Morris Peterson42370.410.090.330.1593614.714.8-0.1216.116.9-0.81
Milt Palacio30270.390.120.270.061111014.614.8-0.2017.116.40.71
Lamond Murray31290.360.140.230.041111015.614.31.2616.716.60.07
Loren Woods57560.290.210.08-0.01102814.415.3-0.8816.916.10.89
Matt Bonner18190.250.25-0.00-0.0193613.615.0-1.4617.616.31.29
Donyell Marshall35330.240.26-0.020.1348-415.414.41.0216.316.8-0.44
Chris Bosh76710.220.28-0.060.1339-615.013.61.4616.317.6-1.29
Rafer Alston60590.170.33-0.170.11210-815.014.30.6416.716.50.14
Jalen Rose62610.140.36-0.230.11111-1014.515.2-0.7816.616.7-0.07
Vince Carter59580.040.46-0.430.04012-1214.415.3-0.8816.516.9-0.41


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.53,0.45,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.45,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.51,0.68,0.63,0.73,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.59,0.7,0.79,0.85,0.92,0.82,0.89,0.93,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.97,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
OKC 100, BOS 1080.5,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.67,0.79,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.93,0.96,194.3%
MEM 82, NYK 900.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.87,0.87,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1,194.0%
ATL 78, DAL 870.5,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.73,0.77,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.86,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.89,0.9,1,193.7%