inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New Jersey Nets 84 Excitement3.7 [1059] MVPRasual Butler (MIA): +12.8%
Miami Heat 96 Comeback1.4 [953] LVPAaron Williams (NJN): -14.0%


New Jersey Nets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brandon Armstrong0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.030.02-0.03462%0.0800.0000%0.00
Rodney Rogers-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.011148%-0.0100.005100%0.01
Richard Jefferson-0.020,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.02-0.010.041182%0.106-0.1200%0.00
Lucious Harris-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.05-0.00-0.03831%-0.001-0.0200%0.00
Jason Collins-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Kerry Kittles-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.080.00-0.0340%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Kenyon Martin-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.10-0.00-0.05742%-0.013-0.04540%-0.01
Tamar Slay-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.09-0.01-0.031332%-0.051-0.03250%-0.01
Jason Kidd-0.080,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.01-0.011041%-0.033-0.052100%0.01
Zoran Planinic-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.03-0.010.06852%-0.081-0.02786%-0.01
Aaron Williams-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.03-0.03531%-0.063-0.08650%-0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rasual Butler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.050.02-0.051173%0.133-0.0000%0.00
Brian Grant0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.050.010.01679%0.071-0.02250%-0.01
Caron Butler0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.00-0.021565%0.094-0.04475%0.00
Malik Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Wang Zhi-zhi0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02367%0.0000.0000%0.00
John Wallace0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.060.00-0.06430%-0.001-0.00250%0.00
Lamar Odom0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.01-0.01653%0.021-0.025100%0.02
Dwyane Wade0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.050.01-0.02952%0.022-0.04771%0.01
Samaki Walker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.0000%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Eddie Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.01367%0.012-0.05683%0.00
Rafer Alston0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.10-0.01-0.04625%-0.033-0.0400%0.00
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.06-0.020.00542%-0.032-0.05250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.01.828.417.426.22.729.7133.2
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +38.6%
MIA +10.4%
NJN -6.4%
MIA +6.7%
MIA +0.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNJNMIANBANJNMIANBA
this game15.814.215.787.5100.0100.5
season15.316.298.199.3
opponent15.916.298.895.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NJN13.816.319.014.515.8
MIA14.514.314.413.814.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rodney Rogers52510.10-0.600.69-0.2512-243613.818.1-4.2614.613.80.87
Lucious Harris3029-0.08-0.420.340.18-9-3-616.515.51.0015.013.91.07
Brandon Armstrong2424-0.11-0.390.29-0.379-213013.716.5-2.8212.714.7-2.07
Tamar Slay4848-0.16-0.340.18-0.346-182415.016.6-1.5613.814.6-0.85
Jason Kidd4445-0.24-0.260.03-0.00-8-4-416.415.31.1214.514.00.51
Aaron Williams5049-0.24-0.260.01-0.18-2-10815.116.5-1.4613.714.8-1.07
Zoran Planinic5251-0.26-0.24-0.03-0.15-4-8415.316.4-1.1214.014.5-0.51
Richard Jefferson4243-0.31-0.19-0.130.04-120-1216.515.21.2814.613.90.66
Kerry Kittles4243-0.31-0.19-0.130.04-120-1216.515.21.2814.613.90.66
Kenyon Martin3838-0.44-0.06-0.370.24-2311-3418.114.33.7613.814.5-0.67
Jason Collins5859-0.44-0.06-0.390.05-175-2216.814.32.5114.613.51.10

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Eddie Jones62620.430.070.37-0.0918-62414.014.6-0.5316.514.61.89
Dwyane Wade52530.400.100.300.0213-11414.913.51.4117.114.12.97
Lamar Odom39410.370.130.23-0.0414-21613.714.5-0.8017.614.43.23
Brian Grant47470.260.240.01-0.101201214.414.00.4116.215.40.85
Samaki Walker30300.250.250.000.0284414.514.10.3617.015.21.82
Rasual Butler41400.250.250.000.34-315-1813.714.6-0.9415.116.3-1.17
Caron Butler66660.250.25-0.000.0766014.114.5-0.3615.217.0-1.82
Rafer Alston45460.160.34-0.18-0.191201214.713.80.9716.015.60.38
Udonis Haslem43420.130.37-0.25-0.17102815.313.32.0015.715.8-0.08
John Wallace22210.000.50-0.490.30-1022-3213.514.4-0.9313.116.5-3.44
Malik Allen18180.000.50-0.500.35-1224-3613.014.5-1.5012.216.6-4.38
Wang Zhi-zhi15140.000.50-0.500.23-820-2812.614.5-1.9210.916.6-5.68


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.76,0.84,0.85,0.92,0.9,0.97,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
ORL 100, CHA 1110.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.82,0.82,0.91,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,195.9%
CHA 92, SAC 1090.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.53,0.47,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.54,0.59,0.7,0.79,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.7%
ATL 86, ORL 1000.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.54,0.49,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.8,0.75,0.87,0.8,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.7%