NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	84		Excitement	7.5 [301]		MVP	Jamal Crawford (CHI): +38.0%
Chicago Bulls	81		Comeback	3.2 [181]		LVP	Kirk Hinrich (CHI): -23.5%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lucious Harris	0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.33,0.33	0.05	0.25	-0.03	17	56%	0.35	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tamar Slay	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Goldwire	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	-0.07	0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	15	56%	0.04	4	-0.10	6	67%	-0.01
Jason Collins	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	0.01	-0.01	6	36%	-0.01	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Brandon Armstrong	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	0.01	-0.00	12	42%	0.02	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.02
Kerry Kittles	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	8	50%	-0.06	2	-0.07	8	75%	-0.04
Rodney Rogers	-0.18	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18	-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	10	37%	-0.11	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.37,0.44,0.38	0.38	0.21	0.16	-0.01	20	77%	0.42	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.04
Ronald Dupree	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	9	45%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.04	-0.02	2	50%	0.05	1	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Kendall Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	4	20%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Eddy Curry	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	14	40%	0.00	3	-0.19	2	100%	0.01
Linton Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.19	-0.19	-0.07	-0.12	-0.01	8	39%	0.00	2	-0.19	2	50%	-0.02
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.15	-0.09	0.00	13	32%	-0.10	4	-0.14	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.8	2.4	29.4	15.5	24.2	2.3	34.3	130.0
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +0.4%

CHI -0.7%

NJN +15.2%

NJN +31.6%

NJN +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	CHI	NBA	NJN	CHI	NBA
this game	18.1	16.0	15.7	100.0	95.3	100.5
season	15.3	15.2		98.1	94.6
opponent	15.4	16.2		101.3	95.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	15.7	20.2	18.9	17.9	18.1
CHI	16.3	16.6	16.1	15.0	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kerry Kittles	59	64	0.91	-0.41	1.32	0.44	16	-13	29	18.2	17.8	0.44	16.3	15.0	1.38
Richard Jefferson	73	76	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.32	9	-6	15	17.9	19.5	-1.55	16.4	12.7	3.71
Rodney Rogers	57	59	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.34	4	-1	5	17.3	19.7	-2.41	15.5	17.2	-1.68
Jason Collins	63	64	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.32	-2	5	-7	17.7	19.4	-1.70	15.2	18.4	-3.18
Aaron Williams	21	21	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.09	5	-2	7	19.4	17.7	1.70	18.4	15.2	3.18
Lucious Harris	75	74	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.40	-6	9	-15	17.5	23.1	-5.60	15.5	19.1	-3.56
Brian Scalabrine	27	26	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.07	-1	4	-5	19.7	17.3	2.41	17.2	15.5	1.68
Tamar Slay	4	3	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.03	0	3	-3	29.0	17.6	11.44	20.7	15.8	4.85
Anthony Goldwire	3	2	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.04	-5	8	-13	10.7	18.4	-7.72	5.0	16.3	-11.25
Brandon Armstrong	38	36	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.00	-5	8	-13	18.9	17.4	1.49	15.7	16.2	-0.46

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome Williams	30	30	0.17	-0.67	0.83	-0.01	6	-9	15	16.3	15.8	0.53	18.7	17.8	0.97
Ronald Dupree	15	16	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.11	9	-12	21	16.3	15.9	0.42	20.1	17.6	2.49
Kendall Gill	11	12	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.01	-1	-2	1	20.3	15.4	4.92	20.4	17.7	2.69
Antonio Davis	49	49	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.10	-6	3	-9	16.7	15.1	1.57	17.2	19.3	-2.07
Eddy Curry	64	65	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.37	-3	0	-3	14.7	20.0	-5.39	17.3	20.8	-3.47
Jamal Crawford	81	79	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.41	-2	-1	-1	15.5	25.2	-9.72	17.8	23.4	-5.63
Kirk Hinrich	85	84	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.41	-3	0	-3	16.0	0.0	15.99	18.1	0.0	18.11
Tyson Chandler	40	37	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.47	-5	2	-7	17.2	14.9	2.29	19.6	16.9	2.76
Linton Johnson	50	48	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.37	-10	7	-17	15.6	16.6	-1.04	17.8	18.6	-0.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.27,0.36,0.43,0.44,0.41,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.76,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.52,0.53,0.62,0.53,0.69,0.65,0.53,0.39,0.28,0.22,0.17,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 104, NJN 100	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.33,0.31,0.25,0.3,0.28,0.32,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.33,0.41,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.7,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.62,0.72,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.38,0.21,0.33,0.26,0	92.5%
ATL 89, OKC 85	0.5,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.47,0.53,0.7,0.71,0.6,0.45,0.28,0.22,0.05,0	92.4%
PHX 116, BOS 111	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.46,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.57,0.63,0.7,0.76,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.24,0.08,0	91.5%