NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	104		Excitement	8.9 [133]		MVP	Rik Smits (IND): +23.6%
New Jersey Nets	100		Comeback	3.1 [659]		LVP	Kendall Gill (NJN): -30.0%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rik Smits	0.24	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.24,0.24	0.01	0.22	-0.01	15	52%	0.26	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.01
Reggie Miller	0.20	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0,0.06,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.12	0.08	0.00	18	68%	0.30	2	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Antonio Davis	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.01	9	72%	0.07	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.02
Eddie Johnson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	7	36%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	9	62%	0.03	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.04
Fred Hoiberg	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.09,-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	3	62%	0.03	1	-0.09	10	80%	0.05
Jalen Rose	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.01	5	45%	-0.02	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Duane Ferrell	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	8	36%	-0.06	1	-0.03	6	33%	-0.05
Jerome Allen	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	4	25%	-0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.24,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.04	-0.01	12	71%	0.17	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.02
Yinka Dare	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	56%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Xavier McDaniel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ed O'Bannon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	20	49%	-0.01	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.04
Khalid Reeves	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.04	0.02	10	70%	0.05	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.12,-0.28	-0.28	-0.10	-0.19	-0.01	15	44%	-0.08	4	-0.20	2	100%	0.01
Kendall Gill	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.27,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.3	-0.30	-0.15	-0.15	0.00	26	35%	-0.22	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.4	27.5	15.6	22.3	2.4	37.4	134.0
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +46.3%

IND +31.8%

NJN -35.5%

IND +8.1%

NJN -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	NJN	NBA	IND	NJN	NBA
this game	14.6	16.7	15.6	113.0	108.7	104.4
season	15.3	15.4		103.6	101.7
opponent	14.9	16.3		106.6	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	11.8	14.4	18.1	14.9	14.6
NJN	16.4	12.2	18.8	21.1	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Fred Hoiberg	35	36	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.46	7	-3	10	15.1	14.3	0.78	20.1	14.4	5.69
Jerome Allen	37	37	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.46	7	-3	10	15.5	14.0	1.48	19.1	15.1	4.03
Antonio Davis	50	50	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.38	9	-5	14	14.0	15.4	-1.47	15.9	17.6	-1.74
Reggie Miller	74	73	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.34	3	1	2	14.4	15.8	-1.43	15.6	20.7	-5.12
Dale Davis	80	80	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.38	-3	7	-10	15.1	11.7	3.41	16.9	15.1	1.83
Rik Smits	54	53	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.04	4	0	4	14.6	14.7	-0.05	17.3	15.8	1.57
Jalen Rose	53	54	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.05	0	4	-4	14.0	15.5	-1.44	14.9	19.2	-4.37
Eddie Johnson	27	28	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	6	-8	14.2	14.8	-0.63	17.1	16.5	0.57
Duane Ferrell	50	49	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.02	-5	9	-14	14.9	14.3	0.63	15.3	18.2	-2.84

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ed O'Bannon	25	26	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.05	3	-7	10	15.8	17.0	-1.20	12.8	15.4	-2.59
Tony Massenburg	44	43	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.13	-4	0	-4	18.5	15.0	3.41	15.1	14.2	0.91
Yinka Dare	4	5	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.00	-1	-3	2	10.0	17.0	-6.98	14.2	14.7	-0.46
Xavier McDaniel	28	27	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.13	2	-6	8	12.7	18.4	-5.69	13.4	15.2	-1.78
Shawn Bradley	73	71	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.40	2	-6	8	16.1	18.8	-2.73	15.0	13.2	1.80
Jayson Williams	58	59	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.44	1	-5	6	16.8	16.4	0.37	14.5	14.8	-0.29
Khalid Reeves	80	79	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.33	-4	0	-4	17.5	11.2	6.24	15.1	11.9	3.15
Kendall Gill	90	90	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.40	-2	-2	0	16.6	20.5	-3.91	14.5	19.5	-4.98
Kerry Kittles	58	60	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.28	-17	13	-30	17.7	15.0	2.66	14.9	14.2	0.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.33,0.31,0.25,0.3,0.28,0.32,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.33,0.41,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.7,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.62,0.72,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.38,0.21,0.33,0.26,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 84, CHI 81	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.27,0.36,0.43,0.44,0.41,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.76,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.52,0.53,0.62,0.53,0.69,0.65,0.53,0.39,0.28,0.22,0.17,0	92.5%
SEA 90, POR 82	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.36,0.3,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.5,0.44,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.24,0.27,0	91.9%
SAS 111, PHX 108	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.32,0.36,0.38,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.67,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.38,0.46,0.32,0.04,0	91.7%