NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	89		Excitement	8.0 [232]		MVP	Marvin Williams (ATL): +9.0%
Oklahoma City Thunder	85		Comeback	5.0 [315]		LVP	Earl Watson (OKC): -15.1%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marvin Williams	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	-0.02	0.11	0.00	11	54%	0.16	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.01
Solomon Jones	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	4	42%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Zaza Pachulia	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	60%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Mike Bibby	0.01	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	9	57%	0.02	1	-0.01	5	60%	-0.01
Joe Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.01,0.01,-0.01	-0.08	0.02	-0.05	25	45%	0.10	4	-0.10	6	67%	-0.00
Acie Law	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Murray	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	14	44%	0.02	1	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Maurice Evans	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	4	40%	0.03	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Al Horford	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	6	44%	-0.02	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robert Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	1	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	14	48%	0.08	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.02
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Johan Petro	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.1,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	10	47%	-0.03	1	-0.03	10	80%	0.02
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	11	36%	0.02	2	-0.11	3	33%	-0.02
Jeff Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.03	-0.03	12	31%	-0.04	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Durant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.1,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.05	-0.02	21	45%	0.04	6	-0.18	2	100%	0.01
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.06,-0.14,-0.15	-0.15	-0.02	-0.14	-0.01	11	50%	-0.01	2	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.3	2.6	26.2	15.6	25.0	2.6	45.5	145.9
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +23.4%

ATL +2.9%

ATL +0.5%

ATL +28.9%

OKC -5.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	OKC	NBA	ATL	OKC	NBA
this game	14.9	14.9	15.5	91.8	88.5	106.4
season	15.8	14.9		106.7	100.5
opponent	15.1	16.1		106.6	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.0	16.0	14.8	14.1	14.9
OKC	14.4	15.3	16.5	13.6	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marvin Williams	81	80	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.23	15	-11	26	14.3	18.0	-3.65	14.6	16.5	-1.92
Joe Johnson	83	83	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.45	5	-1	6	15.7	10.4	5.28	15.2	12.9	2.28
Al Horford	89	87	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.38	4	0	4	15.1	13.2	1.85	14.5	18.9	-4.41
Ronald Murray	58	56	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.54	-2	6	-8	13.7	16.8	-3.05	13.7	16.6	-2.96
Mike Bibby	68	70	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.32	4	0	4	15.6	13.3	2.29	14.6	15.7	-1.15
Zaza Pachulia	18	18	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.15	8	-4	12	14.6	15.0	-0.41	16.4	14.6	1.84
Acie Law	12	11	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	7	-10	13.7	15.1	-1.37	16.1	14.7	1.35
Maurice Evans	33	32	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.09	-5	9	-14	15.1	14.9	0.26	16.4	14.1	2.27
Solomon Jones	43	43	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.01	-6	10	-16	15.2	14.7	0.47	15.8	14.2	1.62

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Swift	16	17	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.04	2	-6	8	16.4	14.6	1.85	13.7	15.2	-1.51
Chris Wilcox	11	10	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.06	3	-7	10	14.5	14.9	-0.40	19.1	14.5	4.63
Nick Collison	36	37	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.10	-3	-1	-2	16.4	14.0	2.34	15.2	14.8	0.43
Damien Wilkins	1	1	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.02	0	-4	4	5.0	15.0	-10.00	2.0	15.1	-13.08
Russell Westbrook	51	54	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.33	7	-11	18	14.3	15.5	-1.20	14.1	16.0	-1.89
Johan Petro	36	37	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.12	-9	5	-14	15.9	14.3	1.59	15.5	14.6	0.96
Desmond Mason	54	55	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.35	3	-7	10	14.9	14.9	-0.02	14.3	15.8	-1.52
Joe Smith	53	54	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.46	-1	-3	2	14.1	15.9	-1.79	14.7	15.3	-0.64
Earl Watson	67	66	-0.52	0.01	-0.53	-0.31	-7	3	-10	14.9	14.8	0.10	15.5	13.7	1.87
Jeff Green	76	75	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.35	-6	2	-8	14.6	16.1	-1.58	14.9	15.1	-0.24
Kevin Durant	79	79	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.30	-9	5	-14	14.8	15.2	-0.34	15.2	13.7	1.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.47,0.53,0.7,0.71,0.6,0.45,0.28,0.22,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 84, CHI 81	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.27,0.36,0.43,0.44,0.41,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.76,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.52,0.53,0.62,0.53,0.69,0.65,0.53,0.39,0.28,0.22,0.17,0	92.4%
HOU 89, CLE 85	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.45,0.39,0.52,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.46,0.48,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.76,0.85,0.78,0.47,0.21,0.16,0.16,0	92.1%
GSW 106, TOR 100	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.81,0.78,0.71,0.75,0.68,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.53,0.22,0.03,0,0	91.6%